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Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Economics Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Survey evidence suggests that many investors form beliefs about future stock market returns by extrapolating past returns: they expect the stock market to perform well (poorly) in the near future if it performed well (poorly) in the recent past. Such beliefs are hard to reconcile with existing models of the aggregate stock market. We study a consumption-based asset pricing model in which some investors form beliefs about future price changes in the stock market by extrapolating past price changes, while other investors hold fully rational beliefs. We find that the model captures many features of actual prices and returns, but is also consistent with the survey evidence on investor expectations. This suggests that the survey evidence does not need to be seen as an inconvenient obstacle to understanding the stock market; on the contrary, it is consistent with the facts about prices and returns, and may be the key to understanding them.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Economics Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Survey evidence suggests that many investors form beliefs about future stock market returns by extrapolating past returns: they expect the stock market to perform well (poorly) in the near future if it performed well (poorly) in the recent past. Such beliefs are hard to reconcile with existing models of the aggregate stock market. We study a consumption-based asset pricing model in which some investors form beliefs about future price changes in the stock market by extrapolating past price changes, while other investors hold fully rational beliefs. We find that the model captures many features of actual prices and returns, but is also consistent with the survey evidence on investor expectations. This suggests that the survey evidence does not need to be seen as an inconvenient obstacle to understanding the stock market; on the contrary, it is consistent with the facts about prices and returns, and may be the key to understanding them.
Author: Alejandro Maass Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 140202469X Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 232
Book Description
This book contains the lectures given at the Second Conference on Dynamics and Randomness held at the Centro de Modelamiento Matematico of the Universidad de Chile, from December 9-13, 2003. This meeting brought together mathematicians, theoretical physicists, theoretical computer scientists, and graduate students interested in fields related to probability theory, ergodic theory, symbolic and topological dynamics. The courses were on: -Some Aspects of Random Fragmentations in Continuous Times; -Metastability of Ageing in Stochastic Dynamics; -Algebraic Systems of Generating Functions and Return Probabilities for Random Walks; -Recurrent Measures and Measure Rigidity; -Stochastic Particle Approximations for Two-Dimensional Navier Stokes Equations; and -Random and Universal Metric Spaces. The intended audience for this book is Ph.D. students on Probability and Ergodic Theory as well as researchers in these areas. The particular interest of this book is the broad areas of problems that it covers. We have chosen six main topics and asked six experts to give an introductory course on the subject touching the latest advances on each problem.
Author: Sudipto Bhattacharya Publisher: World Scientific ISBN: 9812701028 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 387
Book Description
The first edition of Theory of Valuation is a collection of important papers in the field of theoretical financial economics published from 1973 to 1986, and original accompanying essays contributed by eminent researchers including Robert C Merton, Edward C Prescott, Stephen A Ross, and Joseph E Stiglitz. Since then, with the perspective of major theoretical strides in the field, the book has more than fulfilled its original expectations. The realization that it remains today a compendium of classic articles and a must-read for any serious student in theoretical financial economics, has prompted the publication of a new edition. This second edition presents a summary statement of significant research in theoretical financial economics for both the specialist and non-specialist financial economist. It also provides material for PhD-level courses covering valuation theory, and elective reading for advanced MasterOCOs and undergraduate courses. In addition to reproducing the original contributions, this edition includes the seminal paper by Edward C Prescott and Rajnish Mehra, OC Recursive Competitive Equilibrium: The Case of Homogeneous Households, OCO originally published in Econometrica in 1980."
Author: Giovanni Petris Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 0387772383 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 258
Book Description
State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology. After a detailed introduction to general state space models, this book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is available online. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics or time series analysis is required, although familiarity with basic statistics and R is assumed.
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Public Works. Subcommittee on Environmental Pollution Publisher: ISBN: Category : Air Languages : en Pages : 650
Author: Thorsten Hens Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9781402073373 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 336
Book Description
The purpose of General Equilibrium Foundations of Finance is to give a sound economic foundation of finance based on the general equilibrium model with incomplete markets which embodies the famous CAPM as an important special case. This goal is achieved by giving reasonable restrictions on the agents' characteristics that lead to a well determined financial markets model having a unique competitive equilibrium. The innovation of this book is to transfer and to extend the theoretical results on the structure of competitive equilibria into the modern context of incomplete financial markets. General Equilibrium Foundations of Finance should be easily accessible by advanced Ph.D. students as well as by theorists of any subfield of mathematical economics. It should be interesting both for theorists who are looking for possible applications of rigorous theorizing as well as for practitioners who seek for a theoretical foundation of fruitful applications of financial markets' models.
Author: Ramesh K. S. Rao Publisher: World Scientific ISBN: 9812708375 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 105
Book Description
The cost of capital concept is widely used in business decision-making. The current theory and estimates for measurement of cost of capital are derived from the seminal Modigliani-Miller analyses. This book generalizes this framework to include non-debt tax shields (e.g., depreciation) and default considerations. It develops several new results and shows how better cost of capital and marginal tax rate estimates can be generated. The unified cost of capital theory presented in the book is illustrated graphically and with comprehensive numerical examples. This book will be of great interest to practicing managers, academics, governmental agencies and private companies that generate cost of capital estimates for public consumption.
Author: Haim Levy Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1139503022 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 457
Book Description
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the mean-variance (M-V) rule, which are based on classic expected utility theory, have been heavily criticized theoretically and empirically. The advent of behavioral economics, prospect theory and other psychology-minded approaches in finance challenges the rational investor model from which CAPM and M-V derive. Haim Levy argues that the tension between the classic financial models and behavioral economics approaches is more apparent than real. This book aims to relax the tension between the two paradigms. Specifically, Professor Levy shows that although behavioral economics contradicts aspects of expected utility theory, CAPM and M-V are intact in both expected utility theory and cumulative prospect theory frameworks. There is furthermore no evidence to reject CAPM empirically when ex-ante parameters are employed. Professionals may thus comfortably teach and use CAPM and behavioral economics or cumulative prospect theory as coexisting paradigms.
Author: Khosrow-Pour, D.B.A., Mehdi Publisher: IGI Global ISBN: 1522573631 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 1482
Book Description
Businesses consistently work on new projects, products, and workflows to remain competitive and successful in the modern business environment. To remain zealous, businesses must employ the most effective methods and tools in human resources, project management, and overall business plan execution as competitors work to succeed as well. Advanced Methodologies and Technologies in Business Operations and Management provides emerging research on business tools such as employee engagement, payout policies, and financial investing to promote operational success. While highlighting the challenges facing modern organizations, readers will learn how corporate social responsibility and utilizing artificial intelligence improve a company’s culture and management. This book is an ideal resource for executives and managers, researchers, accountants, and financial investors seeking current research on business operations and management.
Author: Morton Glantz Publisher: Academic Press ISBN: 0124016944 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 545
Book Description
Multi-Asset Risk Modeling describes, in a single volume, the latest and most advanced risk modeling techniques for equities, debt, fixed income, futures and derivatives, commodities, and foreign exchange, as well as advanced algorithmic and electronic risk management. Beginning with the fundamentals of risk mathematics and quantitative risk analysis, the book moves on to discuss the laws in standard models that contributed to the 2008 financial crisis and talks about current and future banking regulation. Importantly, it also explores algorithmic trading, which currently receives sparse attention in the literature. By giving coherent recommendations about which statistical models to use for which asset class, this book makes a real contribution to the sciences of portfolio management and risk management. - Covers all asset classes - Provides mathematical theoretical explanations of risk as well as practical examples with empirical data - Includes sections on equity risk modeling, futures and derivatives, credit markets, foreign exchange, and commodities
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Author: Alejandro Maass
Author: Sudipto Bhattacharya
Author: Giovanni Petris
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Public Works. Subcommittee on Environmental Pollution
Author: Thorsten Hens
Author: Ramesh K. S. Rao
Author: Haim Levy
Author: Khosrow-Pour, D.B.A., Mehdi
Author: Morton Glantz