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Author: Carlos Caceres Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475525877 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 34
Book Description
This paper analyzes the potential risks and vulnerabilities of non-financial corporates in Latin America and Canada. We quantify the impact of company-specific, countryspecific, and global factors in driving corporate spreads. Overall, we found that all these factors play a role in explaining corporate risk. In particular, country specific factors such as exchange rate and sovereign CDS spreads are significantly associated with changes in corporate spreads, underscoring the importance of solid policy frameworks. We also find that global conditions, such as the VIX, are dominant drivers of corporate spreads. In recent years, the adverse effects from deteriorating domestic conditions have been broadly offset by relatively bening global financial conditions. However, a sustained reversal in these conditions would put significant pressure on corporate risk.
Author: Carlos Caceres Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475525877 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 34
Book Description
This paper analyzes the potential risks and vulnerabilities of non-financial corporates in Latin America and Canada. We quantify the impact of company-specific, countryspecific, and global factors in driving corporate spreads. Overall, we found that all these factors play a role in explaining corporate risk. In particular, country specific factors such as exchange rate and sovereign CDS spreads are significantly associated with changes in corporate spreads, underscoring the importance of solid policy frameworks. We also find that global conditions, such as the VIX, are dominant drivers of corporate spreads. In recent years, the adverse effects from deteriorating domestic conditions have been broadly offset by relatively bening global financial conditions. However, a sustained reversal in these conditions would put significant pressure on corporate risk.
Author: Ms.Maria Gonzalez Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475513488 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 43
Book Description
We examine corporate sector vulnerabilities in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. First, we identify stylized facts based on corporate financial indicators. Second, we assess vulnerability of individual firms to a sudden stop in financing through a probit model, using a panel of 18 countries in 2000-11. Results suggest that higher leverage and maturity exposures raise a firm’s probability to become exposed to a funding shock, while a larger firm size and buffers reduce it. Further, greater exchange rate flexibility can help mitigate corporate vulnerability. Identification of firms at risk through the model suggests that some vulnerabilities may be building in Latin America led by leverage, currency exposures and moderating buffers. These effects are partially offset, however, by a significant reduction in maturity exposures.
Author: Maria de los Angeles Gonzalez Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 43
Book Description
We examine corporate sector vulnerabilities in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. First, we identify stylized facts based on corporate financial indicators. Second, we assess vulnerability of individual firms to a sudden stop in financing through a probit model, using a panel of 18 countries in 2000-11. Results suggest that higher leverage and maturity exposures raise a firm's probability to become exposed to a funding shock, while a larger firm size and buffers reduce it. Further, greater exchange rate flexibility can help mitigate corporate vulnerability. Identification of firms at risk through the model suggests that some vulnerabilities may be building in Latin America led by leverage, currency exposures and moderating buffers. These effects are partially offset, however, by a significant reduction in maturity exposures.
Author: Fernando Robles Publisher: Taylor & Francis ISBN: 1000846091 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 283
Book Description
Business in Latin America provides readers with a comprehensive overview of the business environment of this dynamic and challenging region. The book begins with an overview of the most important macroenvironments shaping the region’s opportunities and risks, while the second part focuses on the business strategies that respond to those opportunities and risks. Capturing the dynamism of this region, this new edition provides a thorough and nuanced understanding of the commonalities and differences within the multifaceted business environments of Latin America. The second edition has been thoroughly revised and updated to include: The sources of economic, political, and natural risks, including the impact of COVID-19 The endemic role of corruption in institutions, the economy, and society The region’s cultural and social diversity and resilience The role of technology and digitalization on corporate and marketing strategies The challenges of managing local and regional supply chains The book includes examples and cases from across the region on corporate strategies, marketing, entrepreneurship, leadership, human resource management, and social and environmental sustainability. An ideal resource for anyone considering a business venture in the region, the book will especially appeal to practitioners and students who have a particular interest in Latin America.
Author: Cheng Hoon Lim Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 147558959X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 41
Book Description
Many countries in Latin America and the Caribbean now publish financial stability reports. This study reviews their latest issues to assess their content, quality, and transparency. While some reports provide a strong analysis of risks and vulnerabilities, there are significant cross-country differences, and many reports could be improved by adopting a more comprehensive, forward-looking, and thematic assessment of financial stability. A well thought out communication strategy, including a regular and predictable publication schedule and an easily accessible website, is also important to enhance the impact of the reports. Data gaps, particularly at the disaggregated level, are material and need to be urgently addressed.
Author: Mr.Jose De Gregorio Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475550219 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
This paper analyzes the unprecedented resilience of Latin American countries to the global financial crisis. It argues that sound macroeconomic conditions, which allowed an unusual monetary and fiscal expansion, exchange rate flexibility, a strong and well--regulated financial system, high level of reserves, and a bit of luck coming from very high terms of trade, were central to good economic performance. Persevering along the road of strong macroeconomic and financial policies is necessary, but not sufficient, to go from recovery to sustained growth.
Author: Santiago Herrera Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 17
Book Description
Models for an early warning system do a good job predicting vulnerability to macroeconomic crises in several Latin American countries.Herrera and Garcia develop an early warning system for macroeconomic vulnerability for several Latin American countries, drawing on the work of Kaminsky, Lizondo, and Reinhart (1997) and Kaminsky (1988).They build a composite leading indicator that signals macroeconomic vulnerability, showing that, historically, crises tend to happen in certain vulnerable situations.Interested mainly in providing an operational tool, Herrera and Garcia use a different approach to the problem than Kaminsky did. First, they use fewer variables to generate the signals. Then, after the variables are aggregated, a signal is issued, depending on the behavior of the composite index. (Kaminsky's procedure was to generate signals with each variable and then aggregate them.)Their results are satisfactory both statistically and operationally.Statistically, Type I and Type II errors are smaller than those reported in previous papers.Operationally, this system of leading indicators is less costly to maintain, given fewer variables - which are widely available and reported with timeliness.Herrera and Garcia tested the models' out-of-sample predictive ability on crises that occurred after the first stage of their project was finished: Colombia (September 1998), Brazil (January 1999), and Ecuador (February 1999). In all cases the models correctly anticipated the speculative attacks.Moreover, Mexico's models, estimated with information available two years before the 1994 crisis, show that these signaling devices would have been useful for signaling the macroeconomic vulnerability before December 1994.This paper - a product of the Economic Policy Sector Unit, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to build tools that policymakers can use to prevent crises. The authors may be contacted at [email protected] or [email protected].
Author: Santiago Herrera Publisher: World Bank Publications ISBN: Category : Financial crises Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
"Models for an early warning system do a good job predicting vulnerability to macroeconomic crises in several Latin American countries"--Cover.
Author: Carlos Caceres
Author: Carlos Caceres
Author: Ms.Maria Gonzalez
Author: Maria de los Angeles Gonzalez
Author: Fernando Robles
Author: Cheng Hoon Lim
Author: Mr.Jose De Gregorio
Author: Latin American Newsletters
Author: Santiago Herrera
Author: 
Author: Santiago Herrera