Author: Thomas Gilbert Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 74
Book Description
We model how firms releasing information on different dates causes the CAPM to fail, requiring an additional factor based on the information structure to price assets. We exemplify this mechanism's empirical relevance using quarterly earnings announcements, which cluster across months along size and book-to-market. Seventy percent of the alpha reduction from including SMB and HML occurs in the four main earnings announcement months. The information structure factor accounts for all of SMB and HML's seasonal alpha reduction and one third of their overall alpha reduction. Controlling for size and book-to-market, exposures to SMB and HML vary with firms' earnings announcement month.
Author: Yuxiao Jiao Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
We propose a unsupervised learning approach to construct latent factor model for cross sectional asset returns where firm characteristics instrument for the dynamic factor exposures. Firm characteristics are clustered with consideration to their prior economic content. Our method can also be viewed as a constrained version of Instrumented Principal Components Analysis (IPCA) model by Kelly et al (2019). We apply the method to a set of 94 firm characteristics to form clustered factor models. The model outperforms all benchmark models, and outperforms IPCA latent factor model out-of-sample.
Author: John H. Cochrane Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 1400829135 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 560
Book Description
Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.
Author: Victoria Atanasov Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 77
Book Description
Discount rate variation is driven by a short run business cycle component and a longer run trend component. This leads to state variable hedging of these two components and ICAPM logic implies a three factor model for expected returns. The factors represent cash ĵow news, short term discount rate news, and long term discount rate news. Both discount rate news components are important in describing the cross section of stock returns, and long run discount rate news commands a higher risk premium. Our results are consistent with any shape of the term structure of discount rates.
Author: Jules H. van Binsbergen Publisher: ISBN: Category : Rate of return Languages : en Pages : 37
Book Description
We summarize and extend the new literature on the term structure of equity. Short-term equity claims, or dividend strips, have on average significantly higher returns than the aggregate stock market. The returns on short-term dividend claims are risky as measured by volatility, but safe as measured by market beta. These facts are hard to reconcile with traditional macro-finance models and we provide an overview of new models that can reproduce some of these facts. We relate our evidence on dividend strips to facts about other asset classes such as nominal and corporate bonds, volatility, and housing. We conclude by discussing the broader economic implications by linking the term structure of returns to real economic decisions such as hiring and investment.
Author: Randall Barry Howard Publisher: ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 308
Book Description
After thirty years of vigorous research, there is still little agreement in the field of asset pricing theory. Shanken and Smith (1996) sum up the vast amount of empirical research on asset pricing models by saying, "Although we have learned much about the cross sectional and time series properties of returns and have developed sophisticated statistical methods to increase the power of the tests, numerous unanswered questions remain." Two of the most fundamental, yet unanswered, questions are: How many factors are there? and What are those factors? The two primary equilibrium, expected return models are the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), developed almost simultaneously by Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Mossin (1966), and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), introduced by Ross (1976, 1977). The CAPM is a one factor model that states that the equilibrium rate of return on any asset is a linear function of the asset's covariance with the market portfolio. The APT, on the other hand, is a multifactor model.
Author: Thomas Gilbert
Author: Catherine T. McDonough
Author: Yuxiao Jiao
Author: Peter Christoffersen
Author: John H. Cochrane
Author: Victoria Atanasov
Author: Vasant Naik
Author: Edward P. Herbst
Author: Jules H. van Binsbergen
Author: Randall Barry Howard