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The Role of Exchange Rate in the US-China Trade Dispute

The Role of Exchange Rate in the US-China Trade Dispute PDF Author: Máté Dávid Orbán
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The massive bilateral trade deficit of the United States with China for which the stated undervaluation of the yuan was blamed has been a reoccurring friction point in the past two decades that culminated in the recent trade war between the two nations. The gradually changing currency policy of China and the academically divisive nature of the topic created the need for the creation of more recent studies. The author investigated both components of the allegations: firstly, whether the Chinese yuan was really undervalued during the chosen 2010-2020 period and secondly, whether the exchange rate has a significant effect on the trade balance. The former was analyzed with a constructed regression model that was tested on a dataset of 183 countries provided by the Penn World Table 10.0. The outcome outlined a gradually strengthening Chinese currency in real terms that reached equilibrium in 2012 and even became overvalued from 2013. The effect of the exchange rate on the trade balance was examined via structured literature review. 13 out of 50 studies went through deeper analysis and despite the focused approach, yielded mixed results from a limited number of relevant studies. In conclusion, neither part of the American claim could be confirmed and seemingly more importance has been assigned to the effect of exchange rate due to political intentions than can be reassured by academic research. However, methodological diversity and general disagreement about approaching the question leaves plenty of space for further research.*****The massive bilateral trade deficit of the United States with China for which the stated undervaluation of the yuan was blamed has been a reoccurring friction point in the past two decades that culminated in the recent trade war between the two nations. The gradually changing currency policy of China and the academically divisive nature of the topic created the need for the creation of more recent studies. The author investigated both components

The Role of Exchange Rate in the US-China Trade Dispute

The Role of Exchange Rate in the US-China Trade Dispute PDF Author: Máté Dávid Orbán
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The massive bilateral trade deficit of the United States with China for which the stated undervaluation of the yuan was blamed has been a reoccurring friction point in the past two decades that culminated in the recent trade war between the two nations. The gradually changing currency policy of China and the academically divisive nature of the topic created the need for the creation of more recent studies. The author investigated both components of the allegations: firstly, whether the Chinese yuan was really undervalued during the chosen 2010-2020 period and secondly, whether the exchange rate has a significant effect on the trade balance. The former was analyzed with a constructed regression model that was tested on a dataset of 183 countries provided by the Penn World Table 10.0. The outcome outlined a gradually strengthening Chinese currency in real terms that reached equilibrium in 2012 and even became overvalued from 2013. The effect of the exchange rate on the trade balance was examined via structured literature review. 13 out of 50 studies went through deeper analysis and despite the focused approach, yielded mixed results from a limited number of relevant studies. In conclusion, neither part of the American claim could be confirmed and seemingly more importance has been assigned to the effect of exchange rate due to political intentions than can be reassured by academic research. However, methodological diversity and general disagreement about approaching the question leaves plenty of space for further research.*****The massive bilateral trade deficit of the United States with China for which the stated undervaluation of the yuan was blamed has been a reoccurring friction point in the past two decades that culminated in the recent trade war between the two nations. The gradually changing currency policy of China and the academically divisive nature of the topic created the need for the creation of more recent studies. The author investigated both components

The US-China Trade Dispute

The US-China Trade Dispute PDF Author: Imad Moosa
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1781001553
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 321

Book Description
'Imad Moosa reminds us that there are at least two sides to a relationship – including those in trade – and that failure of a relationship is rarely due to one side alone. Moosa handles the technicalities of exchange rates dexterously but reminds us constantly of the wider context of the trade relationships that determine them.' – Paul Rule, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia Dealing with a topic that has attracted significant media attention, this highly accessible book provides a detailed analysis of the trade dispute between China and the US. While the Americans accuse China of damaging their economy, the Chinese claim their policies are legitimate and that the US has no right to dictate how the Chinese economy should be run. Imad Moosa addresses contentious issues including: whether the Chinese currency is undervalued, whether the undervaluation of the yuan, should it exist, is the cause of the US trade deficit with China (hence revaluation being a justifiable cure) and whether Chinese economic policies are immoral and illegal according to IMF and WTO rules. This challenging and thought provoking book will prove a stimulating read for academics, researchers, students and policymakers with an interest in international economics, international finance, political economy and Asian studies.

US-China Trade Disputes: Rising Tide, Rising Stakes

US-China Trade Disputes: Rising Tide, Rising Stakes PDF Author:
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 9780881325645
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 148

Book Description
As China continues its rise as a great power, The United States Congress and the administration wrestle with one another over the strategies to shape US-China economic relations. What major disputes now, and looming on the horizon, will shape future US-China relations? This book examines these issues and offers suggestions for both sides.

US-China Trade Disputes

US-China Trade Disputes PDF Author: Gary Clyde Hufbauer
Publisher: Peterson Institute for International Economics
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 148

Book Description
As China continues its rise as a great power, The United States Congress and the administration wrestle with one another over the strategies to shape US-China economic relations. What major disputes now, and looming on the horizon, will shape future US-China relations? This book examines these issues and offers suggestions for both sides.

Impact Estimation Of Exchange Rates On Exports And Annual Update Of Competitiveness Analysis For 34 Greater China Economies

Impact Estimation Of Exchange Rates On Exports And Annual Update Of Competitiveness Analysis For 34 Greater China Economies PDF Author: Khee Giap Tan
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811207895
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 271

Book Description
The Chinese economy has been playing an increasingly significant role on the global stage. This book is the sixth annual project of Asia Competitiveness Institute studying competitiveness at the sub-national level of Greater China. ACI's flagship competitiveness study not only adopts a comprehensive framework to measure competitiveness by incorporating 102 indicators under four environments and 11 sub-environments, but is also undertaken at the sub-national level to account for the considerable disparities within a large economy like Greater China. The comparative strengths and weaknesses based on the scores and rankings as well as the what-if simulation analysis can be used to formulate development strategies that are specific and of practical value for each sub-national economy and region.The Shapley methodology adopted by ACI introduces a novel approach for the assignment of weights to the various indicators that constitute competitiveness. This concept has introduced an element of objectivity in terms of the assignment of weights. The findings using the Shapley value also tend to validate the robustness of results obtained from the competitiveness studies over the past years.Moreover, the empirical research featured in this book attempts to understand the drivers of exports of Mainland China provinces, with a specific focus on real effective exchange rate movements and volatility. Nowadays with the international flows of goods and capital becoming ubiquitous and comprising an important aspect of national competitiveness, the role of exchange rate is drawing much more policy attention. In view of this, the research findings presented in this book make an important academic and policy contribution by empirically examining the relationship between exports and exchange rate.Finally, the timing of this publication makes it indispensable to include some dedicated discussions of the trade disputes between the US and China. Several topics would be discussed in this book, including China's protection on Intellectual Property Rights, its violation of World Trade Organisation rules, challenges to its economic growth, the development of its three regional megalopolises, and how to mitigate the impact and ramification of its trade war against the US. This book attempts to identify the growing concerns in the US-China trade tension and provide suggestions for China's development in the future.

US-China Trade and Exchange Rate Dilemma

US-China Trade and Exchange Rate Dilemma PDF Author: Karam Shaar
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Balance of trade
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


The China-U.S. Trade War and Future Economic Relations

The China-U.S. Trade War and Future Economic Relations PDF Author: Lawrence J. Lau
Publisher: The Chinese University Press
ISBN: 9882371124
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 216

Book Description
The relation between China and the United States is arguably the most important bilateral relation in the world today. The U.S. and China are respectively the largest and the second largest economies in the world. They are also respectively the largest and the second largest trading nations in the world as well as each other’s most important trading partner. If China and the U.S. work together as partners towards a common goal, many things are possible. However, there exist significant friction and potential conflict in their economic relations. The large and persistent U.S.-China bilateral trade deficit is one of the problems. It is essential to know the true state of the China-U.S. trade balance before effective solutions can be devised to narrow the trade surplus or deficit. The impacts and potential impacts of the 2018 trade war between China and the U.S. on the two economies are analysed and discussed. The longterm forces that underlie the economic relations between the two countries beyond the 2018 trade war are examined. In this connection, how a “new type of major-power relation” between the two countries can help to keep the competition friendly and avert a war between them is explored. ~~~~~~~~ Lawrence J. Lau’s timely The China-U.S. Trade War and Future Economic Relations is full of careful analysis, penetrating insight and helpful suggestions from the world’s preeminent economist on this relationship. —Michael J. Boskin Tully M. Friedman Professor of Economics, Stanford University Former Chair, U.S. President’s Council of Economic Advisers This sober and systematic study of U.S.-China trade relations and of technological development in the two countries is particularly timely. Lawrence Lau is one of the world’s foremost economists working on these issues. —Dwight H. Perkins Harold Hitchings Burbank Professor of Political Economy, Emeritus Former Chair, Department of Economics, Harvard University This is a timely and penetrating analysis of the China-U.S. trade and economic relations, from its origins to its impacts and to a way forward. —Yingyi Qian Chairman of the Council, Westlake University Former Dean, School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University Counsellor of the State Council, People’s Republic of China Lawrence Lau’s book on the current U.S.-China trade war is insightful, balanced and comprehensive; rich in data on trade, investment, science and technology. It is essential reading for anyone who wants to get past the headlines. —A. Michael Spence Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences (2001) Senior Fellow, The Hoover Institution, Stanford University Lawrence Lau brings light in the form of rigorous honest fact-based economic analysis to a subject where most of the discussion has been heated bluster, false claims, and political rhetoric. —Lawrence H. Summers Former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury; Former President, Harvard University There is no topic more important, or more timely, or more urgent, than the China-U.S. trade war. Professor Lau is the ideal person to write about the implications of the China-U.S. trade war and the proposed resolution. —Tung Chee-Hwa Vice-Chairman, Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference National Committee Chairman, China-U.S. Exchange Foundation The history of Sino-American relations, to a great extent, has been a shared history. Lawrence Lau’s timely and penetrating study will tell us it is still in best interest for both countries if they continue to pursue a shared journey and destination instead of parting ways. —Xu Guoqi Kerry Group Professor in Globalization History, The University of Hong Kong Author of Chinese and Americans: A Shared History This beautifully composed book uses nontechnical language to unravel the intricacies of the 2018 U.S.-China trade war, together with its long-term impact. I learned a lot from reading it. —Chen-Ning Yang Nobel Laureate in Physics (1957)

Schism

Schism PDF Author: Paul Blustein
Publisher: McGill-Queen's Press - MQUP
ISBN: 1928096867
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 249

Book Description
China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 was heralded as historic, and for good reason: the world's most populous nation was joining the rule-based system that has governed international commerce since World War II. But the full ramifications of that event are only now becoming apparent, as the Chinese economic juggernaut has evolved in unanticipated and profoundly troublesome ways. In this book, journalist Paul Blustein chronicles the contentious process resulting in China's WTO membership and the transformative changes that followed, both good and bad - for China, for its trading partners, and for the global trading system as a whole. The book recounts how China opened its markets and underwent far-reaching reforms that fuelled its economic takeoff, but then adopted policies - a cheap currency and heavy-handed state intervention - that unfairly disadvantaged foreign competitors and circumvented WTO rules. Events took a potentially catastrophic turn in 2018 with the eruption of a trade war between China and the United States, which has brought the trading system to a breaking point. Regardless of how the latest confrontation unfolds, the world will be grappling for decades with the challenges posed by China Inc.

China's Exchange Rate Regime and Its Effects on the U.S. Economy

China's Exchange Rate Regime and Its Effects on the U.S. Economy PDF Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Domestic and International Monetary Policy, Trade, and Technology
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 112

Book Description


Currency Conflict and Trade Policy

Currency Conflict and Trade Policy PDF Author: C. Fred Bergsten
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0881327255
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 392

Book Description
Conflicts over currency valuations are a recurrent feature of the modern global economy. To strengthen their international competitiveness, many countries resort to buying foreign currencies to make their exports cheaper and their imports more expensive. In the first decade of the 21st century, for example, China's currency manipulation practices were so flagrant that they produced a backlash in the United States and other trading partners, prompting threats of retaliation. How damaging is the practice of currency manipulation—and how extensive is the problem? This book by C. Fred Bergsten and Joseph E. Gagnon—two leading experts on trade, investment, and the effects of currency manipulation—traces the history, causes, and effects of currency manipulation and analyzes a range of policy responses that the United States could adopt. The book is an indispensable guide to a complex and serious problem and what might be done to solve it.