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Author: Kenneth P. Green Publisher: Fullerene Publishing Inc. ISBN: 1778041302 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 232
Book Description
Sometimes, reading the news, it seems we are drowning in a sea of risks. Every day, dozens of news articles proclaim some activity, some exposure, some change in the environment exposes us to new and terrifying risks. And every day, governments in developed countries pop out regulations to ensure that we make those changes in behavior to address those supposed risks, whether we want to or not. You probably think such claims, and regulation of risk are backed up by something resembling actual real-world evidence of harm. You probably assume that governments, when regulating, are relying on hard data: physical observations of exposures to a potential harm, physical measurements of harms that result from exposure, and that sort of thing. But if you assume that, you are probably wrong. Since the computer revolution of the 1970s, actual hard evidence of risk have been replaced, both in the estimation of risks, and in the regulation of risks, with computer models - simulations of reality - that may have little or no relation to the actual reality in which actual people live. This book is about the influence of computer risk-modeling on public policy, specifically, the giant gushing fountain of EHS regulations that have poured forth since the 1970s. That shift to simulation of risk has led to a massive increase in regulation: a Plague of Regulation that rests on the Plague of Models.
Author: Kenneth P. Green Publisher: Fullerene Publishing Inc. ISBN: 1778041302 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 232
Book Description
Sometimes, reading the news, it seems we are drowning in a sea of risks. Every day, dozens of news articles proclaim some activity, some exposure, some change in the environment exposes us to new and terrifying risks. And every day, governments in developed countries pop out regulations to ensure that we make those changes in behavior to address those supposed risks, whether we want to or not. You probably think such claims, and regulation of risk are backed up by something resembling actual real-world evidence of harm. You probably assume that governments, when regulating, are relying on hard data: physical observations of exposures to a potential harm, physical measurements of harms that result from exposure, and that sort of thing. But if you assume that, you are probably wrong. Since the computer revolution of the 1970s, actual hard evidence of risk have been replaced, both in the estimation of risks, and in the regulation of risks, with computer models - simulations of reality - that may have little or no relation to the actual reality in which actual people live. This book is about the influence of computer risk-modeling on public policy, specifically, the giant gushing fountain of EHS regulations that have poured forth since the 1970s. That shift to simulation of risk has led to a massive increase in regulation: a Plague of Regulation that rests on the Plague of Models.
Author: Kurt Bittner Publisher: Addison-Wesley Professional ISBN: 9780201709131 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 374
Book Description
Discusses how to define and organize use cases that model the user requirements of a software application. The approach focuses on identifying all the parties who will be using the system, then writing detailed use case descriptions and structuring the use case model. An ATM example runs throughout the book. The authors work at Rational Software. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Author: Eric Bean Publisher: Lark Books ISBN: 9781579905767 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 186
Book Description
This is what every aspiring model, male or female, needs: candid, inside, and illustrated information about how to get started in this competitive field.
Author: Thomas A. Watson Publisher: Permuted Press ISBN: 9781618686985 Category : Fiction Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
The Preppers were right. And the time is now. The Blue Plague came roaring out of the Congo and into the United States—and it can’t be stopped. The Infected become violently insane and impossibly strong. They’re not zombies—no, that would be too easy—they’re something much worse. The Infected are violent and unstoppable, but they can think. They can heal from most wounds. And worst of all—they can reproduce. Bruce, Debbie, Mike and Nancy have been preparing for the worst for years. There’s nothing to do but bug out—and they know exactly where to go. But on the arduous journey to reach the sanctuary of their farm, they confront thousands of The Infected. Along the way they make some invaluable new friends, and together, the emboldened troop kicks the hell out of the Infected—and the equally dangerous marauders who are willing to murder anyone in their way. Join Bruce, Mike, and their newfound friends as they battle their way across Infected Louisiana, thwarting every foe imaginable in order to reach the sanctuary of their farm. Blue Plague Book One: The Fall is a survivalist adventure filled with courage and betrayal, tragedy and hope.
Author: Michael Weisberg Publisher: OUP USA ISBN: 0199933669 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 211
Book Description
This book is an account of modeling and idealization in modern scientific practice, focusing on concrete, mathematical, and computational models. The main topics of this book are the nature of models, the practice of modeling, and the nature of the relationship between models and real-world phenomena. In order to elucidate the model/world relationship, Weisberg develops a novel account of similarity called weighted feature matching.
Author: Judea Pearl Publisher: Basic Books ISBN: 0465097618 Category : Computers Languages : en Pages : 432
Book Description
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence "Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality -- the study of cause and effect -- on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Author: Matt J. Keeling Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 1400841038 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 385
Book Description
For epidemiologists, evolutionary biologists, and health-care professionals, real-time and predictive modeling of infectious disease is of growing importance. This book provides a timely and comprehensive introduction to the modeling of infectious diseases in humans and animals, focusing on recent developments as well as more traditional approaches. Matt Keeling and Pejman Rohani move from modeling with simple differential equations to more recent, complex models, where spatial structure, seasonal "forcing," or stochasticity influence the dynamics, and where computer simulation needs to be used to generate theory. In each of the eight chapters, they deal with a specific modeling approach or set of techniques designed to capture a particular biological factor. They illustrate the methodology used with examples from recent research literature on human and infectious disease modeling, showing how such techniques can be used in practice. Diseases considered include BSE, foot-and-mouth, HIV, measles, rubella, smallpox, and West Nile virus, among others. Particular attention is given throughout the book to the development of practical models, useful both as predictive tools and as a means to understand fundamental epidemiological processes. To emphasize this approach, the last chapter is dedicated to modeling and understanding the control of diseases through vaccination, quarantine, or culling. Comprehensive, practical introduction to infectious disease modeling Builds from simple to complex predictive models Models and methodology fully supported by examples drawn from research literature Practical models aid students' understanding of fundamental epidemiological processes For many of the models presented, the authors provide accompanying programs written in Java, C, Fortran, and MATLAB In-depth treatment of role of modeling in understanding disease control
Author: Josh Reynolds Publisher: Games Workshop ISBN: 9781784966218 Category : Fiction Languages : en Pages : 416
Book Description
The Stormcast Eternals of the Hallowed Knights must brave Nurgles's Realm of Decay if they are to find their lost leader, Lord-Castellant Lorrus Grymn. As the war for the Realm of Life continues, Lord-Castellant Lorrus Grymn leads the battered remnants of the Steel Souls warrior chamber against the sargasso-citadels of the Verdant Bay. The Hallowed Knights claim victory, but at a terrible cost - Grymn is lost to the Realm of Chaos. Now Gardus, newly reforged and fresh from the destruction of the Scabrous Sprawl, must lead his warriors into the foetid heart of Nurgle's realm in search of the Lord-Castellant, where they must once more brave the horrors of the Realm of Decay...
Author: Tyra Banks Publisher: Delacorte Books for Young Readers ISBN: 0375899448 Category : Young Adult Fiction Languages : en Pages : 578
Book Description
Modelland - the FIERCE NEW NOVEL BY TYRA BANKS—IS OUT! No one gets in without being asked. And with her untamable hair, large forehead, and gawky body, Tookie De La Crème isn’t expecting an invitation. Modelland—the exclusive, mysterious place on top of the mountain—never dares to make an appearance in her dreams. But someone has plans for Tookie. Before she can blink her mismatched eyes, Tookie finds herself in the very place every girl in the world obsesses about. And three unlikely girls have joined her. Only seven extraordinary young women become Intoxibellas each year. Famous. Worshipped. Magical. What happens to those who don’t make it? Well, no one really speaks of that. Some things are better left unsaid. Thrown into a world where she doesn’t seem to belong, Tookie glimpses a future that could be hers—if she survives the beastly Catwalk Corridor and terrifying Thigh-High Boot Camp. Along the way, she learns all about friendship, courage, laughter and what it feels like to start to believe in yourself. When you enter the fantastical world of Modelland, you'll see that Tookie was inspired by Tyra’s life as a supermodel. All those crazy and wild adventures Tookie has with her friends? Some of them were ripped straight from the headlines of Tyra’s life! Tyra knows all about beauty and fashion and fierceness, and she shares everything here in MODELLAND. It’s fun, zany, and 100 bazillion-percent Tyra. You don’t want to miss Tyra’s amazing new novel! From the Hardcover edition.
Author: Kenneth P. Green
Author: Kenneth P. Green
Author: Kurt Bittner
Author: Eric Bean
Author: Thomas A. Watson
Author: Michael Weisberg
Author: Jason Aaron Baca
Author: Judea Pearl
Author: Matt J. Keeling
Author: Josh Reynolds
Author: Tyra Banks