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Author: Ewa Sletten Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 53
Book Description
I examine the impact of exogenous changes in stock prices on voluntary disclosure. Specifically, I investigate whether stock price declines prompt managers to voluntarily disclose firm-value-related information (management forecasts) that was withheld prior to the decline because it was unfavorable but became favorable at a lower stock price. Consistent with my predictions, I find that managers are more likely to release good-news forecasts following larger stock price declines but that there is no association between the likelihood of releasing good-news forecasts and the magnitude of stock price increases. Additional evidence indicates that the good-news forecasts eventually conveyed by withholding firms after negative price shocks would likely have resulted in negative market reactions had they been released before the shocks. More generally, I provide evidence that managers withhold bad news and that exogenous stock price declines can induce its disclosure.
Author: Ewa Sletten Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 53
Book Description
I examine the impact of exogenous changes in stock prices on voluntary disclosure. Specifically, I investigate whether stock price declines prompt managers to voluntarily disclose firm-value-related information (management forecasts) that was withheld prior to the decline because it was unfavorable but became favorable at a lower stock price. Consistent with my predictions, I find that managers are more likely to release good-news forecasts following larger stock price declines but that there is no association between the likelihood of releasing good-news forecasts and the magnitude of stock price increases. Additional evidence indicates that the good-news forecasts eventually conveyed by withholding firms after negative price shocks would likely have resulted in negative market reactions had they been released before the shocks. More generally, I provide evidence that managers withhold bad news and that exogenous stock price declines can induce its disclosure.
Author: Luo Zuo (Ph. D.) Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 59
Book Description
This paper studies whether managers use investor information they learn from the stock market when making forward-looking disclosures. Using annual management earnings forecasts from 1996 to 2010, I find that the association between forecast revisions and stock price changes over the revision periods is stronger when there is more informed trading. Further, the effect of investor information on the revision-return relation remains after controlling for various sources of managerial and public information, and is more pronounced when the information is more relevant to predicted earnings. In addition, more investor information contained in stock prices leads to a greater improvement in forecast accuracy but a weaker market reaction to the subsequent forecast announcement. My study highlights the two-way information flows between firms and capital markets and has implications for the real effects of financial markets.
Author: Bjorn Jorgensen Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
We model managers' equilibrium strategies for voluntarily disclosing information about their firm's risk. We consider a multi-firm setting in which the variance of each firm's future cash flow is uncertain. A manager can disclose, at a cost, this variance before offering the firm for sale in a competitive stock market with risk-averse investors. In our partial disclosure equilibrium, managers voluntarily disclose if their firm has a low variance of future cash flows, but withhold the information if their firm has highly variable future cash flows. We establish how the manager's discretionary risk disclosure affects the firm's share price, expected stock returns, and beta, within the framework of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. We show that whereas one manager's discretionary disclosure of his firm's risk does not affect other firms' share prices, it does affect the other firms' betas. Also, we demonstrate that a disclosing firm has lower risk premium and beta ex-post than a non-disclosing firm. Finally, we show that ex-ante, the expected risk premium and expected beta of each firm are higher under a mandatory risk disclosure regime than in the partial disclosure equilibrium that arises under a voluntary disclosure regime.
Author: Venky Nagar Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
We examine the relation between managers' disclosure activities and their stock price-based incentives. Managers are privy to information that investors demand and are reluctant to publicly disseminate it unless provided appropriate incentives. We argue that stock price-based incentives in the form of stock-based compensation and share ownership mitigate this disclosure agency problem. Consistent with this prediction, we find that firms' disclosures, measured both by management earnings forecast frequency and analysts' subjective ratings of disclosure practice, are positively related to the proportion of CEO compensation affected by stock price and the value of shares held by the CEO.
Author: Yun Ma Publisher: ISBN: Category : Insider trading in securities Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Corporate executives are prohibited from trading on material nonpublic information. In 2000, the SEC enacted Rule 10b5-1, which allows insiders to preplan their transactions before being aware of material nonpublic information. However, do corporate executives subsequently influence the timing and content of information disclosure to benefit their preplanned trades? We examine cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) around insider transactions and document patterns suggesting that insiders are "perfect" timers. That is, stock prices go up (go down) prior to but drop (back up) after insider sells (buys). Further classifying insider trades into preplanned (routine) trades and non-preplanned (opportunistic) trades, we show that the stock return patterns hold not only for non-preplanned (opportunistic) trades but also for preplanned (routine) trades. Using 8-K filings as a proxy of corporate discretionary disclosure, we find that there are significantly more 8-K filings prior to insider trades than during normal times. Moreover, based on the sentiment score from RavenPack News Analytics, we find that analyst reports and corporate news releases both have significant explanatory power of stock returns around insider transactions. The evidence documented in our study cannot rule out the hypothesis that corporate executives influence the timing and content of information disclosure to benefit their preplanned trades. In the second part of my dissertation, we investigate in insider trading's implications on stock returns. The literature posits that insiders are contrarian, i.e., buy stocks when they are under-valued and sell stocks when they are over-valued. In addition, insider transactions contain information about future firm fundamentals. As such, insider trading helps improve stock price efficiency and promote stock price discovery. In this study, we test the implications of both hypotheses. First, we follow the literature and identify undervalued and overvalued stocks and examine whether insider trades help correct mispricing of these stocks. Second, we examine whether insider trades contain more information about future firm fundamentals for mispriced stocks and the extent to which insider trades incorporate future fundamental information into stock prices. Our findings indicate that insider transactions play a role in correcting mispricing. However, the effect is significant mainly for overvalued stocks over short-term and undervalued stocks over long-term. In addition, we find that insider transactions contain information about long-term future firm fundamentals mainly for overvalued stocks. Nevertheless, our analysis suggests that insider transactions only incorporate a small fraction of future firm fundamental information into stock prices. To sharpen our analysis, we exclude pre-scheduled or routine insider trades, which are believed to be less informed of stock valuation and replicate our empirical tests, and show that our main findings are consistent.
Author: Ewa Sletten
Author: Ewa Sletten
Author: Joseph David Piotroski
Author: Luo Zuo (Ph. D.)
Author: William E. Wilcox
Author: Bjorn Jorgensen
Author: Venky Nagar
Author: Paul M. Healy
Author: Paul M. Healy
Author: Paul M. Healy
Author: Yun Ma