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The economywide impacts of climate change on Philippine agriculture

The economywide impacts of climate change on Philippine agriculture PDF Author: Rosegrant, Mark W.
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN: 0896292452
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 12

Book Description
FOR MOST COUNTRIES, HIGH PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR HAS BEEN A KEY DRIVER of structural transformation promoting long-term economic growth. Historically, low agricultural productivity growth has hindered economic growth and employment creation in the Philippines, where agriculture—which accounts for one-third of employment—remains a key sector. Climate change has the potential to disrupt crop productivity, and in turn affect domestic agricultural production, consumption, and food security. Moreover, the global impact of climate change could stimulate changes in international and domestic commodity prices, ultimately having negative effects on both Philippine agriculture and the country’s overall economy. Developing agricultural adaptation and growth strategies is of utmost importance, not only to maintain domestic agricultural production, but also to underpin broader economic growth and structural transformation. Sustaining agricultural production growth to help achieve inclusive growth and poverty reduction is a key goal for the Philippine government.

The economywide impacts of climate change on Philippine agriculture

The economywide impacts of climate change on Philippine agriculture PDF Author: Rosegrant, Mark W.
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN: 0896292452
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 12

Book Description
FOR MOST COUNTRIES, HIGH PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR HAS BEEN A KEY DRIVER of structural transformation promoting long-term economic growth. Historically, low agricultural productivity growth has hindered economic growth and employment creation in the Philippines, where agriculture—which accounts for one-third of employment—remains a key sector. Climate change has the potential to disrupt crop productivity, and in turn affect domestic agricultural production, consumption, and food security. Moreover, the global impact of climate change could stimulate changes in international and domestic commodity prices, ultimately having negative effects on both Philippine agriculture and the country’s overall economy. Developing agricultural adaptation and growth strategies is of utmost importance, not only to maintain domestic agricultural production, but also to underpin broader economic growth and structural transformation. Sustaining agricultural production growth to help achieve inclusive growth and poverty reduction is a key goal for the Philippine government.

The Future of Philippine Agriculture under a Changing Climate

The Future of Philippine Agriculture under a Changing Climate PDF Author: Mark W. Rosegrant
Publisher: ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute
ISBN: 9814818356
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 592

Book Description
The Philippine economy has grown rapidly since 2010, but despite this growth, poverty and inequality remain high. Two-thirds of the poor live in rural areas, and the weak performance of the agriculture sector has contributed to the slow improvement in livelihoods. The challenge for agriculture will further increase, with climate change posing a growing threat to the sector. But agricultural transformation to spur sustained growth and reduce poverty is still possible under climate change with aggressive institutional reforms and implementation of the right mix of policies and programmes. The identification of the suitable policy and programme combination requires an accurate assessment of the key drivers of agricultural growth and food security; the impacts of climate change on agriculture and the overall economy; and the effectiveness of policies for adaptation and growth. This book addresses these big issues, focusing on enhancing the adaptation capacity of the Philippine agriculture sector. It is designed to provide a much-needed base of knowledge and menu of policy options to support decision- and policymaking on agriculture, climate change, and food security. The volume uses newly generated data, modelling outputs, and innovative analyses to provide a scientific basis for a variety of adaptation measures under different sets of climate change scenarios to guide decision-makers in strategic planning and policy formulation. “As we have actually experienced in Leyte, an island province in the Visayas where Super Typhoon Yolanda (Haiyan) struck, disasters caused by natural hazards could completely negate economic gains, devastate families and shatter dreams. Our greatest challenge is to make ourselves better prepared for and be more resilient to such disasters. Natural hazards need not always lead to loss of so many lives and properties. This book shows us ways and provides tools to draw up climate change and socioeconomic scenarios at the regional and provincial levels, allowing us to identify strategies for mitigating climate change risks.” — Ernesto M. Pernia, Secretary of Socioeconomic Planning, National Economic and Development Authority, Philippines “This book by top Philippine researchers combines state-of-the-art biophysical and economic modeling of climate impacts and adaptation policies with in-depth synthesis of agriculture, natural resources, climate trends, and policies. It provides a comprehensive assessment of climate change impacts on agriculture and the broader economy to provide important insights for Philippine policymakers.” — Dr Cynthia Rosenzweig, Head, Climate Impacts Group, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Co-Founder of the Agricultural Model Inter-comparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP)

Exploring transformational adaptation strategy through rice policy reform in the Philippines

Exploring transformational adaptation strategy through rice policy reform in the Philippines PDF Author: Pradesha, Angga
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 31

Book Description
The Philippines is much more prone to climate change effects than are many other countries. The potential impact on the agriculture sector is of particular concern, given its vital role in the economy and for vulnerable households. Most research warns of the negative impact of climate change on yields for major cereal crops, which could threaten food security and hinder the long-run development process. Incremental adaptation through the introduction of new crop varieties, improved agricultural management practices, and more efficient irrigation are expected to reduce yield losses. However, efforts to promote systemwide adjustment would have broader effects, especially as the risk of climate change increases. This study proposes a new approach for adaptation strategies by exploring policy reform in agriculture as a transformative way to help economic agents adapt to climate change. We specifically explore the rice policy reform currently being pursued by the government through the abolishment of the rice quota program. We find this reform could help transform the agricultural and economic system by allowing scarce resources move from low- to high-productivity sectors, thus increasing the country’s adaptive capacity. However, the rice farmer and vulnerable groups that are prone to climate shocks are adversely affected by the policy. Thus, we introduce alternative intervention policies to complement the reform agenda by providing a cash transfers program to vulnerable groups or a subsidy to support rice farmers. Both offer less impact in economic efficiency gains, but the cash transfer program is superior in terms of supporting the vulnerable group in coping with climate change under the rice reform policy. This shows that the transformational adaptation strategy may create a welfare loss to certain agents but that adding government intervention could act as the second-best policy and become a transition pathway before the whole system transforms to reach the optimal efficiency point when the intervention program is eventually phased out.

Measuring the Environmental Impacts of Economic Change

Measuring the Environmental Impacts of Economic Change PDF Author: Ian A. Coxhead
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agriculture
Languages : en
Pages : 43

Book Description


Agricultural growth, climate resilience, and food security in the Philippines

Agricultural growth, climate resilience, and food security in the Philippines PDF Author: Thomas, Timothy S.
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN: 0896292460
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 12

Book Description
THE FREQUENCY AND INTENSITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE PHILIPPINES HAVE INCREASED IN RECENT years, with detrimental effects for the economy, socioeconomic welfare, and food security. An archipelago known for its climatic and ecological diversity, the Philippines is strongly affected by the adverse impacts of climate change, especially in the agricultural sector. Yet, apart from extreme events, it remains to be seen whether the climate impact will be unequivocally negative, or whether, on balance, some parts of the country may experience gains. An enhanced understanding of how these dynamics will affect the country’s major crops—rice, maize, sugarcane, coconuts, and bananas—is intended to assist Philippine communities in preparing for and adapting to these changes effectively and to assist donors and policy makers in helping them.

Economic Growth, Development Policy and the Environment in the Philippines

Economic Growth, Development Policy and the Environment in the Philippines PDF Author: Ian Coxhead
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description


Is agricultural production in the Philippines at risk due to climate change?

Is agricultural production in the Philippines at risk due to climate change? PDF Author: Jennifer Madonna G. Dait
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 74

Book Description
Climate change impact is particularly severe in developing countries mainly because of low incomes, geographic state or condition, dependence on climate-sensitive sectors and inadequate capability to adapt to global warming (IPCC, 2009). This paper aimed on analyzing the risk posed by climate change using the following variables - temperature, precipitation, incidence of the la Niña and el Niño phenomenon, number of typhoons in the Philippines that hit landfall and carbon emission on Philippine agriculture. Likewise, it focused on the empirical measurement of the hypothesized relationship between agricultural output and the condition or predicted variables - land area used in agricultural production, employment in agriculture, agricultural credit and agricultural expenditure. The study used ordinary least square regression to find out the relationship of the aforementioned variables on output of Philippine agriculture using a time series data from 1980 to 2014. The economic model describing how agricultural output is affected by the identified predictor variables followed a Cobb-Douglas form. Results show that only three factors reflected statistically significant effects on agricultural production in the Philippines based on their respective t-ratios. They are Agricultural Employment (EA), temperature (TEMP), and La Niña (D1). The rest of the predictor variables exert no statistically significant effects on agricultural production in the Philippines although their respective signs are consistent with theoretical expectations similar to the significant factors.

The Agricultural Exodus in the Philippines: Are Wage Differentials Driving the Process?

The Agricultural Exodus in the Philippines: Are Wage Differentials Driving the Process? PDF Author: Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 151359009X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58

Book Description
Lagging labor reallocations outside agriculture amid sustained low agricultural productivity have been a key feature in the Philippines over the past 15 years. An analysis of the labor adjustments in and out of agriculture shows that a variety of factors have influenced this process. We find that the widening of wage differentials with non-agricultural sectors, improvements in labor market efficiency, and better transport infrastructure are largely associated with growing outflows of labor from agriculture, whilst the lack of post-primary education and the presence of agricultural clusters hinder such outflows. In contrast to the traditional view that agricultural employment outflows are largely driven by productivity differences and wage differentials, our results emphasize the roles of education as well as transport infrastructure in facilitating labor reallocations from agriculture to non-agriculture.

Climate change and variability

Climate change and variability PDF Author: Choufani, Jowel
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 128

Book Description
The paper uses a food systems approach to analyze the bidirectional relationships between climate change and food and nutrition along the entire food value chain. It then identifies adaptation and mitigation interventions for each step of the food value chain to move toward a more climate-smart, nutrition-sensitive food system. The study focuses on poor rural farmers, a population especially vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change on nutrition, although we recognize that there are other vulnerable populations, including urban poor and rural populations working outside of agriculture. Although this report does not explicitly exclude overweight and obesity, it focuses primarily on undernutrition because this nutritional status is currently more prevalent than overnutrition among our target population.

Agricultural Commercialization, Economic Development, and Nutrition

Agricultural Commercialization, Economic Development, and Nutrition PDF Author: Joachim Von Braun
Publisher: International Food Policy Research Insitute
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 444

Book Description
Subsistence production: a sign of market failure. Commercialization cannot be left to the market. Household effects of commercialization. Nutrition effects of commercialization. Policy action needed.