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Author: Hans-Dieter Kochs Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319649914 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 398
Book Description
The book focuses on system dependability modeling and calculation, considering the impact of s-dependency and uncertainty. The best suited approaches for practical system dependability modeling and calculation, (1) the minimal cut approach, (2) the Markov process approach, and (3) the Markov minimal cut approach as a combination of (1) and (2) are described in detail and applied to several examples. The stringently used Boolean logic during the whole development process of the approaches is the key for the combination of the approaches on a common basis. For large and complex systems, efficient approximation approaches, e.g. the probable Markov path approach, have been developed, which can take into account s-dependencies be-tween components of complex system structures. A comprehensive analysis of aleatory uncertainty (due to randomness) and epistemic uncertainty (due to lack of knowledge), and their combination, developed on the basis of basic reliability indices and evaluated with the Monte Carlo simulation method, has been carried out. The uncertainty impact on system dependability is investigated and discussed using several examples with different levels of difficulty. The applications cover a wide variety of large and complex (real-world) systems. Actual state-of-the-art definitions of terms of the IEC 60050-192:2015 standard, as well as the dependability indices, are used uniformly in all six chapters of the book.
Author: Hans-Dieter Kochs Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319649914 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 398
Book Description
The book focuses on system dependability modeling and calculation, considering the impact of s-dependency and uncertainty. The best suited approaches for practical system dependability modeling and calculation, (1) the minimal cut approach, (2) the Markov process approach, and (3) the Markov minimal cut approach as a combination of (1) and (2) are described in detail and applied to several examples. The stringently used Boolean logic during the whole development process of the approaches is the key for the combination of the approaches on a common basis. For large and complex systems, efficient approximation approaches, e.g. the probable Markov path approach, have been developed, which can take into account s-dependencies be-tween components of complex system structures. A comprehensive analysis of aleatory uncertainty (due to randomness) and epistemic uncertainty (due to lack of knowledge), and their combination, developed on the basis of basic reliability indices and evaluated with the Monte Carlo simulation method, has been carried out. The uncertainty impact on system dependability is investigated and discussed using several examples with different levels of difficulty. The applications cover a wide variety of large and complex (real-world) systems. Actual state-of-the-art definitions of terms of the IEC 60050-192:2015 standard, as well as the dependability indices, are used uniformly in all six chapters of the book.
Author: Jovan M. Nahman Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3662048922 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 204
Book Description
This book is intended to provide the interested reader with basic information on various issues of the dependability analysis and evaluation of engineering systems with the principal goal to help the reader perform such an analysis and evaluation. By the definition of the IEC International Standard 50(191) dependability is the collective term used to describe the availability peiformance and its influencing factors: reliability peiformance, maintainability peiformance and maintenance support performance. Dependability is a term used for a general description of system performance but not a quality which could be expressed by a single quantitative measure. There are several other quantitative terms, such as reliability, unreliability, time-specific and steady-state availability and unavailability, which together form a basis for evaluating the dependability of a system. A system is taken as dependable if it satisfies all requirements of the customers with regard to various dependability performances and indices. The dependability deals with failures, repairs, preventive maintenance as well as with costs associated with investment and service interruptions or mission failures. Therefore, it is a very important attribute of system quality. The dependability evaluation is strongly based upon experience and statistical data on the behavior of a system and of its elements. Using past experience with the same or similar systems and elements, the prospective operation may be predicted and improved designs and constructions can be conceived. Hence, the dependability analysis makes it possible to learn from the past for better future solutions.
Author: Chao Hu Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319925741 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 350
Book Description
This book presents state-of-the-art probabilistic methods for the reliability analysis and design of engineering products and processes. It seeks to facilitate practical application of probabilistic analysis and design by providing an authoritative, in-depth, and practical description of what probabilistic analysis and design is and how it can be implemented. The text is packed with many practical engineering examples (e.g., electric power transmission systems, aircraft power generating systems, and mechanical transmission systems) and exercise problems. It is an up-to-date, fully illustrated reference suitable for both undergraduate and graduate engineering students, researchers, and professional engineers who are interested in exploring the fundamentals, implementation, and applications of probabilistic analysis and design methods.
Author: Billinton Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 1489913467 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 361
Book Description
The application of quantitative reliability evaluation in electric power sys tems has now evolved to the point at which most utilities use these techniques in one or more areas of their planning, design, and operation. Most of the techniques in use are based on analytical models and resulting analytical evaluation procedures. Improvements in and availability of high-speed digi tal computers have created the opportunity to analyze many of these prob lems using stochastic simulation methods and over the last decade there has been increased interest in and use made of Monte Carlo simulation in quantitative power system reliability assessment. Monte Carlo simulation is not a new concept and recorded applications have existed for at least 50 yr. However, localized high-speed computers with large-capacity storage have made Monte Carlo simulation an available and sometimes preferable option for many power system reliability applications. Monte Carlo simulation is also an integral part of a modern undergrad uate or graduate course on reliability evaluation of general engineering systems or specialized areas such as electric power systems. It is hoped that this textbook will help formalize the many existing applications of Monte Carlo simulation and assist in their integration in teaching programs. This book presents the basic concepts associated with Monte Carlo simulation.
Author: Cao Wang Publisher: Springer Nature ISBN: 3030625052 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 370
Book Description
This book provides structural reliability and design students with fundamental knowledge in structural reliability, as well as an overview of the latest developments in the field of reliability engineering. It addresses the mathematical formulation of analytical tools for structural reliability assessment. This book offers an accessible introduction to structural reliability assessment and a solid foundation for problem-solving. It introduces the topic and background, before dealing with probability models for random variables. It then explores simulation techniques for single random variables, random vectors consisting of different variables, and stochastic processes. The book addresses analytical approaches for structural reliability assessment, including the reliability models for a single structure and those for multiple structures, as well as discussing the approaches for structural time-dependent reliability assessment in the presence of discrete and continuous load processes. This book delivers a timely and pedagogical textbook, including over 170 worked-through examples, detailed solutions, and analytical tools, making it of interest to a wide range of graduate students, researchers, and practitioners in the field of reliability engineering.
Author: Ning Zhang Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 0429847696 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 261
Book Description
The scope of this book covers the modeling and forecast of renewable energy and operation and planning of power system with renewable energy integration.The first part presents mathematical theories of stochastic mathematics; the second presents modeling and analytic techniques for renewable energy generation; the third provides solutions on how to handle the uncertainty of renewable energy in power system operation. It includes advanced stochastic unit commitment models to acquire the optimal generation schedule under uncertainty, efficient algorithms to calculate the probabilistic power, and an efficient operation strategy for renewable power plants participating in electricity markets.
Author: R. K. Saket Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1394226748 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 581
Book Description
A reader-friendly introduction to reliability analysis and its power systems applications The subset of probability theory known as reliability theory analyzes the likelihood of failure in a given component or system under given conditions. It is a critical aspect of engineering as it concerns systems of all kinds, not least modern power systems, with their essential role in sustaining the technologies on which modern life relies. Reliability Analysis of Modern Power Systems is a thorough, accessible book introducing the core concepts of reliability theory as they apply to power systems engineering, as well as the advanced technologies currently driving new frontiers in reliability analysis. It is a must-own for anyone looking to understand and improve the systems that power our world. Readers will also find: Detailed discussion of reliability modeling and simulation of composite systems using Typhoon HIL 404 Reliability assessment of generation systems, transmission systems, distribution systems, and more Information on renewable energy integration for more sustainable power grids Reliability Analysis of Modern Power Systems is ideal for professionals, engineers, and researchers in power system design and reliability engineering, as well as for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in these and related subjects.
Author: Luca Podofillini Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 1315648415 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 730
Book Description
Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems contains the Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, held 7-10 September 2015 in Zurich, Switzerland. It includes about 570 papers accepted for presentation at the conference. These contributions focus on theories and methods in the area of risk, safety and
Author: Chun-Qing Li Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 0323860168 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 626
Book Description
Time-Dependent Reliability Theory and Its Applications introduces the theory of time-dependent reliability and presents methods to determine the reliability of structures over the lifespan of their services. The book contains state-of-the-art solutions to first passage probability derived from the theory of stochastic processes with different types of probability distribution functions, including Gaussian and non-Gaussian distributions and stationary and non-stationary processes. In addition, it provides various methods to determine the probability of failure over time, considering different failure modes and a methodology to predict the service life of structures. Sections also cover the applications of time-dependent reliability to prediction of service life and development of risk cost-optimized maintenance strategy for existing structures. This new book is for those who wants to know how to predict the service life of a structure (buildings, bridges, aircraft structures, etc.) and how to develop a risk-cost, optimized maintenance strategy for these structures. Presents the basic knowledge required to predict service life and develop a maintenance strategy for infrastructure Explains how to predict the remaining safe life of the infrastructure during its lifespan of operation Describes how to carry out maintenance for an infrastructure to ensure its safe and serviceable operation during the designed service life
Author: Hans-Dieter Kochs
Author: Hans-Dieter Kochs
Author: Jovan M. Nahman
Author: Chao Hu
Author: Billinton
Author: Cao Wang
Author: Ning Zhang
Author: A. R. Shah
Author: R. K. Saket
Author: Luca Podofillini
Author: Chun-Qing Li