Author: Steven G. Vick
Publisher: ASCE Publications
ISBN: 0784470863
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 469
Book Description
Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts
Degrees of Belief
Author: Steven G. Vick
Publisher: ASCE Publications
ISBN: 0784470863
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 469
Book Description
Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts
Publisher: ASCE Publications
ISBN: 0784470863
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 469
Book Description
Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts
Implementation of Subjective Probability Estimates in Army Intelligence Procedures
Subjective Probability
Author: Richard Jeffrey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521536684
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 144
Book Description
Sample Text
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521536684
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 144
Book Description
Sample Text
Persuasion
Author: Mike Allen
Publisher: Hampton Press (NJ)
ISBN:
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 296
Book Description
This work examines the status of persuasion research, evaluates the theoretical bases of claims about particular message effects, quantifies the magnitude of effects attributable to message features and refines the prescriptions offered to advocates designing messages.
Publisher: Hampton Press (NJ)
ISBN:
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 296
Book Description
This work examines the status of persuasion research, evaluates the theoretical bases of claims about particular message effects, quantifies the magnitude of effects attributable to message features and refines the prescriptions offered to advocates designing messages.
Cognitive Organization and Change
Author: R. S. Wyer, Jr.
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1317722604
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 513
Book Description
This book grew out of a graduate course in cognitive organization and change that the author taught during his tenure at the University of Illinois at Chicago Circle. Two primary objectives of the course are reflected in this book: first, to provide a general conceptual framework for critically and systematically analyzing research and theory on attitude and opinion change; second, to stimulate research on fundamental problems, related to these phenomena, that are made salient as a result of this analysis. First published in 1974. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1317722604
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 513
Book Description
This book grew out of a graduate course in cognitive organization and change that the author taught during his tenure at the University of Illinois at Chicago Circle. Two primary objectives of the course are reflected in this book: first, to provide a general conceptual framework for critically and systematically analyzing research and theory on attitude and opinion change; second, to stimulate research on fundamental problems, related to these phenomena, that are made salient as a result of this analysis. First published in 1974. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Experts in Uncertainty
Author: Roger Cooke
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0195064658
Category : Decision-making
Languages : en
Pages : 334
Book Description
This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0195064658
Category : Decision-making
Languages : en
Pages : 334
Book Description
This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
Mathematical Models of Attitude Change
Author: John E. Hunter
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483263037
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 356
Book Description
Mathematical Models of Attitude Change, Volume 1: Change in Single Attitudes and Cognitive Structure presents the mathematical models that address the existing verbal attitude change theories, which are translated into families of mathematical models. This book discusses the two types of attitude change, namely, the attitude toward the object of the message and the attitude toward the source of the message. Organized into three parts encompassing 17 chapters, this volume begins with an overview of the mathematical models of attitude change that are derived from several theories. This text then explains the empirical work designed to test selected mathematical models of attitude change. Other chapters consider the predictions made by different models, including reinforcement, information processing, social judgment, balance, dissonance, and congruity. This book discusses as well the attitude-related variable, namely, belief and belief change. The final chapter deals with models of change in hierarchical organized attitudes using alternative theories of attitude change. This book is a valuable resource for psychologists.
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483263037
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 356
Book Description
Mathematical Models of Attitude Change, Volume 1: Change in Single Attitudes and Cognitive Structure presents the mathematical models that address the existing verbal attitude change theories, which are translated into families of mathematical models. This book discusses the two types of attitude change, namely, the attitude toward the object of the message and the attitude toward the source of the message. Organized into three parts encompassing 17 chapters, this volume begins with an overview of the mathematical models of attitude change that are derived from several theories. This text then explains the empirical work designed to test selected mathematical models of attitude change. Other chapters consider the predictions made by different models, including reinforcement, information processing, social judgment, balance, dissonance, and congruity. This book discusses as well the attitude-related variable, namely, belief and belief change. The final chapter deals with models of change in hierarchical organized attitudes using alternative theories of attitude change. This book is a valuable resource for psychologists.
The Oxford Handbook of Assertion
Author: Sanford Goldberg
Publisher:
ISBN: 0190675233
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 903
Book Description
The Oxford Handbook of Assertion explores philosophical themes pertaining to the speech act of assertion: the nature of assertion, assertion's place among the speech acts, empirical issues in theories of assertion, assertion's role in semantics and metasemantics, the place of assertion in the epistemology of testimony, and the social and ethical dimensions of assertion.
Publisher:
ISBN: 0190675233
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 903
Book Description
The Oxford Handbook of Assertion explores philosophical themes pertaining to the speech act of assertion: the nature of assertion, assertion's place among the speech acts, empirical issues in theories of assertion, assertion's role in semantics and metasemantics, the place of assertion in the epistemology of testimony, and the social and ethical dimensions of assertion.
Conflict, Power, and Games
Author: James T. Tedeschi
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351526723
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 280
Book Description
The technological revolution in the social sciences made available a set of research tools and data manipulation techniques that permit the study of complex social processes previously inaccessible or not amenable to our observational powers. One important set of tools took the generic title "experimental games," which were characterized by the interactive protagonists' pursuit of relatively well-defined goals whose achievement is dependent on the behavior of others. James T. Tedeschi, Barry R. Schlenker, and Thomas V. Bonoma, in this work, explicate these highly structured interactions. The grand strategy of scientific inquiry is the development of explanatory systems for natural phenomena. The empirical tactics devised to manipulate, control, observe, and measure events or processes of interest often require as much ingenuity and imagination as theory development itself. Generally the situation is so structured that certain rules govern participant behavior. Within these constraints the social psychological processes of conflict, influence, power, bargaining, and coalition formation can be studied. Concerned with the more formal and technical aspects of games, the authors explain how they are used for purposes of developing and testing scientific theory. The emphasis throughout is on the development and empirical evaluation of a scientific theory of social influence and power in situations where the interests of the interacting parties are in conflict. Experimental games have provided many of the concepts and the preponderance of evidence that have helped to unravel many of the complexities of social behavior. In Conflict, Power, and Games, the authors build a bridge between technical and non-technical approaches in order to shed greater light on interpersonal relations.
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351526723
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 280
Book Description
The technological revolution in the social sciences made available a set of research tools and data manipulation techniques that permit the study of complex social processes previously inaccessible or not amenable to our observational powers. One important set of tools took the generic title "experimental games," which were characterized by the interactive protagonists' pursuit of relatively well-defined goals whose achievement is dependent on the behavior of others. James T. Tedeschi, Barry R. Schlenker, and Thomas V. Bonoma, in this work, explicate these highly structured interactions. The grand strategy of scientific inquiry is the development of explanatory systems for natural phenomena. The empirical tactics devised to manipulate, control, observe, and measure events or processes of interest often require as much ingenuity and imagination as theory development itself. Generally the situation is so structured that certain rules govern participant behavior. Within these constraints the social psychological processes of conflict, influence, power, bargaining, and coalition formation can be studied. Concerned with the more formal and technical aspects of games, the authors explain how they are used for purposes of developing and testing scientific theory. The emphasis throughout is on the development and empirical evaluation of a scientific theory of social influence and power in situations where the interests of the interacting parties are in conflict. Experimental games have provided many of the concepts and the preponderance of evidence that have helped to unravel many of the complexities of social behavior. In Conflict, Power, and Games, the authors build a bridge between technical and non-technical approaches in order to shed greater light on interpersonal relations.
Переклад англомовної психологічної літератури
Author: Черноватий Л. М.
Publisher: Нова Книга
ISBN: 9663823798
Category : Foreign Language Study
Languages : en
Pages : 514
Book Description
Посібник побудований на автотичному матеріалі і охоплює п’ятнадцять розділів, які за змістом відносяться до головних сфер психології (історія психології, методи дослідження, свідомість, інтелект, увага, сприймання, мислення, особистість, пам’ять, емоції, почуття, темперамент, воля, здібності, поведінка, прийняття рішень), забезпечуючи засвоєння фонових знань та знайомство з найбільш вживаною термінологією. Система різноманітних вправ, побудована за циклічним принципом, наявність двомовних тематичних словників у кожному уроці, абеткового словника наприкінці посібника та “Книги для викладача” з ключами до переважної більшості вправ створюють сприятливі умови для ефективного засвоєння змісту посібника в класі і надійного самоконтролю під час роботи вдома. Для студентів вищих навчальних закладів, що спеціалізуються у галузі психології, студентів філологічних та перекладацькіх відділень (факультетів) університетів,фахівців, які прагнуть вдосконалити навички та вміння перекладу психологічної літератури, а також для перекладачів.
Publisher: Нова Книга
ISBN: 9663823798
Category : Foreign Language Study
Languages : en
Pages : 514
Book Description
Посібник побудований на автотичному матеріалі і охоплює п’ятнадцять розділів, які за змістом відносяться до головних сфер психології (історія психології, методи дослідження, свідомість, інтелект, увага, сприймання, мислення, особистість, пам’ять, емоції, почуття, темперамент, воля, здібності, поведінка, прийняття рішень), забезпечуючи засвоєння фонових знань та знайомство з найбільш вживаною термінологією. Система різноманітних вправ, побудована за циклічним принципом, наявність двомовних тематичних словників у кожному уроці, абеткового словника наприкінці посібника та “Книги для викладача” з ключами до переважної більшості вправ створюють сприятливі умови для ефективного засвоєння змісту посібника в класі і надійного самоконтролю під час роботи вдома. Для студентів вищих навчальних закладів, що спеціалізуються у галузі психології, студентів філологічних та перекладацькіх відділень (факультетів) університетів,фахівців, які прагнуть вдосконалити навички та вміння перекладу психологічної літератури, а також для перекладачів.