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Author: William S. Mallios Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 1475767137 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 301
Book Description
Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non-random walk through financial and sports gambling markets, parallels are drawn between modeling short term currency movements and modeling outcomes of athletic encounters. The forecasting concepts and methodologies are identical; only the variables change names. If, in fact, these markets are driven by mechanisms of non-random walk, there must be some explanation for the negative forecasting results. The Analysis of Sports Forecasting: Modeling Parallels Between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets examines this issue.
Author: William S. Mallios Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 1475767137 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 301
Book Description
Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non-random walk through financial and sports gambling markets, parallels are drawn between modeling short term currency movements and modeling outcomes of athletic encounters. The forecasting concepts and methodologies are identical; only the variables change names. If, in fact, these markets are driven by mechanisms of non-random walk, there must be some explanation for the negative forecasting results. The Analysis of Sports Forecasting: Modeling Parallels Between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets examines this issue.
Author: William S. Mallios Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118099532 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 207
Book Description
A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.
Author: William Mallios Publisher: Xlibris Corporation ISBN: 149904271X Category : Sports & Recreation Languages : en Pages : 150
Book Description
Outcomes of major league games—winning/losing margins and total points scored relative to the odds makers’ lines in baseball, basketball and football—are graphed in terms of sports metric candlestick charts and then forecast in terms of adaptive drift modeling. The charts are constructed to reveal ad hoc forecasting patterns that may contribute to effective forecasting. These patterns are then included with variables contained in major sports data bases. The augmented data bases then provide input variables in the drift modeling forecasts.
Author: Antoine Zalatan Publisher: ISBN: Category : Sports & Recreation Languages : en Pages : 276
Book Description
Good decision-making can be better or worse, depending on the quality of the forecasts that underlie the decision-making process. Forecasting Methods in Sports and Recreation discusses and evaluates forecasting methods so as to allow practitioners to compare, choose and utilize the method most suited to their purpose. It surveys the range of forecasting techniques available and guides the user to making the best choice of technique.
Author: Jim Albert Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 1584888695 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 312
Book Description
Since the first athletic events found a fan base, sports and statistics have always maintained a tight and at times mythical relationship. As a way to relay the telling of a game's drama and attest to the prodigious powers of the heroes involved, those reporting on the games tallied up the numbers that they believe best described the action and bes
Author: Joseph Buchdahl Publisher: No Exit Press ISBN: 9781843440192 Category : Gambling Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Few people manage to make money from gambling, and fewer still make a living from it. Written for hardened and novice betters alike, Joseph Buchdahl's essential guide examines, through various numerical techniques, how fixed odds punters may learn to beat the bookmaker, protect profits through a sensible approach to risk management, and turn high-risk gambling into a form of low-risk investment.
Author: William S. Mallios
Author: William S. Mallios
Author: William Mallios
Author: William S. Mallios
Author: Bernard Gittelson
Author: William Mallios
Author: William S. Mallios
Author: Antoine Zalatan
Author: Daniel Memmert
Author: Jim Albert
Author: Joseph Buchdahl