Author: Ying-Chen HungPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Related Variance Risk Premia: Term Structure and Stock Return Predictability
The Variance Risk Premium
Author: Junye LiPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 39
Book Description
This paper examines the properties of the variance risk premium (VRP). We propose a flexible asset pricing model that captures co-jumps in prices and volatility, and self-exciting jump clustering. We estimate the model on equity returns and variance swap rates at different horizons. The total VRP is negative and has a downward-sloping term structure, while its jump component displays an upward-sloping term structure. The abrupt and persistent response of the short-term jump VRP to extreme events makes this specific premium a proxy for investors' fear of a market crash. Furthermore, the use of the VRP level and slope, and of its components, helps improve the short-run predictability of equity excess returns.
Term Structure of Variance Risk Premium and Returns' Predictability
Author: Giacomo BormettiPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 49
Book Description
We derive an analytic relation between equity risk premium and the term structure of variance risk premium (VRP). Motivated by this result, we estimate the VRP term structure using a general and fully analytical discrete-time option pricing framework featuring multiple volatility components and multiple risk premia. We confirm the importance of VRP in improving option pricing performances and show the ability of multi-component GARCH models to produce realistic hump-shaped VRP term structure. We finally uncover the strong predictive power of the shape of the VRP term structure, summarized by its slope, on future stock-index returns.
Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Tim BollerslevPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 58
Book Description
Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Tim BollerslevDynamic Asset Pricing Theory
Author: Darrell DuffiePublisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400829208
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488
Book Description
This is a thoroughly updated edition of Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the standard text for doctoral students and researchers on the theory of asset pricing and portfolio selection in multiperiod settings under uncertainty. The asset pricing results are based on the three increasingly restrictive assumptions: absence of arbitrage, single-agent optimality, and equilibrium. These results are unified with two key concepts, state prices and martingales. Technicalities are given relatively little emphasis, so as to draw connections between these concepts and to make plain the similarities between discrete and continuous-time models. Readers will be particularly intrigued by this latest edition's most significant new feature: a chapter on corporate securities that offers alternative approaches to the valuation of corporate debt. Also, while much of the continuous-time portion of the theory is based on Brownian motion, this third edition introduces jumps--for example, those associated with Poisson arrivals--in order to accommodate surprise events such as bond defaults. Applications include term-structure models, derivative valuation, and hedging methods. Numerical methods covered include Monte Carlo simulation and finite-difference solutions for partial differential equations. Each chapter provides extensive problem exercises and notes to the literature. A system of appendixes reviews the necessary mathematical concepts. And references have been updated throughout. With this new edition, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory remains at the head of the field.
Risk Premia and the VIX Term Structure
Author: Travis L. JohnsonPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50
Book Description
The shape of the VIX term structure conveys information about the price of variance risk rather than expected changes in the VIX, a rejection of the expectations hypothesis. A single principal component, Slope, summarizes nearly all this information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500 variance swaps, VIX futures, and S&P 500 straddles for all maturities and to the exclusion of the rest of the term structure. Slope's predictability is incremental to other proxies for the conditional variance risk premia, is economically significant, and can only partially be explained by variations in observable risk measures.
Variance Risk Premium Components and International Stock Return Predictability
Author: Juan M. LondonoFinancial Markets and the Real Economy
Author: John H. CochranePublisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019158
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 117
Book Description
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.