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Regime Switching Models and the Mental Accounting Framework

Regime Switching Models and the Mental Accounting Framework PDF Author: Felix Andresen
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668486530
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 107

Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,0, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, language: English, abstract: The main goal of this thesis is to combine all of these concepts into a unified framework, evaluate its feasibility and performance, and to perform an analysis of the most common pitfalls and practical considerations. This unified framework uses both the MVPT and MA approach for asset allocation, but at the same time allows for dynamic and fat-tailed distributions of asset returns. It is implemented in approximately 1200 lines of efficient MATLAB code, which is publicly available at https://github.com/FelixAndresen/RSMentalAccounting. The application is programmed in a way that it is readily expandable to a larger number of assets and other investment approaches. The framework is also independent on the choice of assets, which is why the choice of assets for the illustration of the thesis findings was based on the availability of data. The thesis is structured as follows. Chapter 2 reviews the current literature and theoretical concepts. More specifically, Chapter 2.1 introduces the Mental Accounting framework and the connections and differences to Markowitz’s Mean Variance Portfolio Theory. In Chapter 2.2 the most important concepts of dynamic investment management and stochastic programming are introduced. Chapter 2.3 discusses the regime switching models used to generate scenarios for the stochastic programming approach and the important topic of model selection. Chapter 2.4 gives an overview of Gaussian Mixture Models which present a tool to create the expected distribution used to optimize the asset allocation. In Chapter 3 all the pieces from the theoretical parts are brought together to formulate the dynamic programming models and the hypotheses to be tested in the thesis. The market data used to carry out the analysis is discussed in Chapter 4, as well as some necessary methodology on how to calculate, aggregate and interpret asset returns. Chapter 5 presents exemplary and illustrative results, and discusses the strengths and weaknesses of the MVPT and MA investment approaches. The thesis closes with a summary and conclusion in Chapter 6.

Regime Switching Models and the Mental Accounting Framework

Regime Switching Models and the Mental Accounting Framework PDF Author: Felix Andresen
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668486530
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 107

Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,0, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, language: English, abstract: The main goal of this thesis is to combine all of these concepts into a unified framework, evaluate its feasibility and performance, and to perform an analysis of the most common pitfalls and practical considerations. This unified framework uses both the MVPT and MA approach for asset allocation, but at the same time allows for dynamic and fat-tailed distributions of asset returns. It is implemented in approximately 1200 lines of efficient MATLAB code, which is publicly available at https://github.com/FelixAndresen/RSMentalAccounting. The application is programmed in a way that it is readily expandable to a larger number of assets and other investment approaches. The framework is also independent on the choice of assets, which is why the choice of assets for the illustration of the thesis findings was based on the availability of data. The thesis is structured as follows. Chapter 2 reviews the current literature and theoretical concepts. More specifically, Chapter 2.1 introduces the Mental Accounting framework and the connections and differences to Markowitz’s Mean Variance Portfolio Theory. In Chapter 2.2 the most important concepts of dynamic investment management and stochastic programming are introduced. Chapter 2.3 discusses the regime switching models used to generate scenarios for the stochastic programming approach and the important topic of model selection. Chapter 2.4 gives an overview of Gaussian Mixture Models which present a tool to create the expected distribution used to optimize the asset allocation. In Chapter 3 all the pieces from the theoretical parts are brought together to formulate the dynamic programming models and the hypotheses to be tested in the thesis. The market data used to carry out the analysis is discussed in Chapter 4, as well as some necessary methodology on how to calculate, aggregate and interpret asset returns. Chapter 5 presents exemplary and illustrative results, and discusses the strengths and weaknesses of the MVPT and MA investment approaches. The thesis closes with a summary and conclusion in Chapter 6.

Special Issue on Advances in Regime-switching Models for Business Cycle Research and Financial Analysis

Special Issue on Advances in Regime-switching Models for Business Cycle Research and Financial Analysis PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 253

Book Description


Is Regime Switching in Stock Returns Important in Portfolio Decisions?

Is Regime Switching in Stock Returns Important in Portfolio Decisions? PDF Author: Jun Tu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description
The stock market displays regime switching between upturns and downturns. This paper provides a Bayesian framework for making portfolio decisions that takes this regime switching into account, together with asset pricing model uncertainty and parameter uncertainty. The findings reveal that the economic value of accounting for regimes is substantially independent of whether or not model and parameter uncertainties are incorporated: the certainty-equivalent losses associated with ignoring regime switching are generally above 2% per year, and can be as high as 10%. These results suggest that the more realistic regime switching model is fundamentally different from the commonly used single-state model, and hence should be employed instead in portfolio decisions irrespective of concerns about model or parameter uncertainty.

Portfolio Theory and Management

Portfolio Theory and Management PDF Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199311404
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 802

Book Description
Portfolio management is an ongoing process of constructing portfolios that balances an investor's objectives with the portfolio manager's expectations about the future. This dynamic process provides the payoff for investors. Portfolio management evaluates individual assets or investments by their contribution to the risk and return of an investor's portfolio rather than in isolation. This is called the portfolio perspective. Thus, by constructing a diversified portfolio, a portfolio manager can reduce risk for a given level of expected return, compared to investing in an individual asset or security. According to modern portfolio theory (MPT), investors who do not follow a portfolio perspective bear risk that is not rewarded with greater expected return. Portfolio diversification works best when financial markets are operating normally compared to periods of market turmoil such as the 2007-2008 financial crisis. During periods of turmoil, correlations tend to increase thus reducing the benefits of diversification. Portfolio management today emerges as a dynamic process, which continues to evolve at a rapid pace. The purpose of Portfolio Theory and Management is to take readers from the foundations of portfolio management with the contributions of financial pioneers up to the latest trends emerging within the context of special topics. The book includes discussions of portfolio theory and management both before and after the 2007-2008 financial crisis. This volume provides a critical reflection of what worked and what did not work viewed from the perspective of the recent financial crisis. Further, the book is not restricted to the U.S. market but takes a more global focus by highlighting cross-country differences and practices. This 30-chapter book consists of seven sections. These chapters are: (1) portfolio theory and asset pricing, (2) the investment policy statement and fiduciary duties, (3) asset allocation and portfolio construction, (4) risk management, (V) portfolio execution, monitoring, and rebalancing, (6) evaluating and reporting portfolio performance, and (7) special topics.

Regime changes and financial markets

Regime changes and financial markets PDF Author: Andrew Ang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description
Regime switching models can match the tendency of financial markets to often change their behavior abruptly and the phenomenon that the new behavior of financial variables often persists for several periods after such a change. While the regimes captured by regime switching models are identified by an econometric procedure, they often correspond to different periods in regulation, policy, and other secular changes. In empirical estimates, the regime switching means, volatilities, autocorrelations, and cross-covariances of asset returns often differ across regimes, which allow regime switching models to capture the stylized behavior of many financial series including fat tails, heteroskedasticity, skewness, and time-varying correlations. In equilibrium models, regimes in fundamental processes, like consumption or dividend growth, strongly affect the dynamic properties of equilibrium asset prices and can induce non-linear risk-return trade-offs. Regime switches also lead to potentially large consequences for investors' optimal portfolio choice.

Knowledge and Systems Sciences

Knowledge and Systems Sciences PDF Author: Jian Chen
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811331499
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 291

Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 19th International Symposium, KSS 2019, held in Tokyo, Japan, in November 2018. The 20 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 54 submissions. This year KSS 2018 provides opportunities for presenting interesting new research results, facilitating interdisciplinary discussions, and leading to knowledge transfer under the theme of "Knowledge Acquisition from Structured and Unstructured Data for Effective Social Implementation".

The Econometric Implications of Regime Switching Models

The Econometric Implications of Regime Switching Models PDF Author: Alfonso Javier Quesada Medina
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Exit Problems in Regime-Switching Models

Exit Problems in Regime-Switching Models PDF Author: Svetlana Boyarchenko
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This paper provides a general framework for pricing of perpetual American and real options in regime-switching Levy models. In each state of the Markov chain, which determines switches from one Levy process to another one, the payoff stream is a monotone function of the Levy process labelled by the state, which allows for additional switching within each state of the Markov chain (payoffs can be different in different regions of the real line). As applications, we solve exit problems for a price-taking firm.

Application of Regime-switching and Structural Break Models in Financial Economics

Application of Regime-switching and Structural Break Models in Financial Economics PDF Author: Chengping Zhang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Developing countries
Languages : en
Pages : 80

Book Description


Dissertation Abstracts International

Dissertation Abstracts International PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dissertations, Academic
Languages : en
Pages : 610

Book Description