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Realignment Risk and Currency Option Pricing in Target Zones

Realignment Risk and Currency Option Pricing in Target Zones PDF Author: Bernard Dumas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Currency convertibility
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
This paper extends the Krugman target zone model by including a realignment mechanism. Various properties of that realignment mechanism are discussed. The movement of the exchange rate is governed both by a Wiener process on fundamental and by a Poisson jump process with endogenous realignment size. The realignment mechanism is such that (except in cases where a speculative attack occurs) no jump in fundamental is needed to accompany the jump in the exchange rate. A risk neutral valuation of currency options is constructed. Some properties of option values under realignment risk are illustrated by numerical results.

Realignment Risk and Currency Option Pricing in Target Zones

Realignment Risk and Currency Option Pricing in Target Zones PDF Author: Bernard Dumas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Currency convertibility
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
This paper extends the Krugman target zone model by including a realignment mechanism. Various properties of that realignment mechanism are discussed. The movement of the exchange rate is governed both by a Wiener process on fundamental and by a Poisson jump process with endogenous realignment size. The realignment mechanism is such that (except in cases where a speculative attack occurs) no jump in fundamental is needed to accompany the jump in the exchange rate. A risk neutral valuation of currency options is constructed. Some properties of option values under realignment risk are illustrated by numerical results.

Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics

Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics PDF Author: Zhaohui Chen
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814499161
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 218

Book Description
This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets.The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.

Currency Option Pricing in Credible Target Zones

Currency Option Pricing in Credible Target Zones PDF Author: Bernard Dumas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Currency convertibility
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description
This paper develops a model for valuing options on a currency which is maintained within a band. The starting point of our model is the well known Krugman model for exchange-rate behavior within a target zone. Results from model runs provide insight into evidence reported by other authors of mispricing of currency options by extensions of the Black-Scholes model.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3

IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145197339X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

Book Description
This paper analyzes long-term exchange rate modeling. The paper reviews the literature that tests for a unit root in real exchange rates and the closely related work on testing for a unit root in the residual from a regression of the nominal exchange rate on relative prices. It argues that the balance of evidence is supportive of the existence of some form of long-term exchange rate relationship. The paper highlights that the form of this relationship, however, does not accord exactly with a traditional representation of the long-term exchange rate.

The Derivatives Sourcebook

The Derivatives Sourcebook PDF Author: Terence Lim
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019212
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 225

Book Description
The Derivatives Sourcebook is a citation study and classification system that organizes the many strands of the derivatives literature and assigns each citation to a category. Over 1800 research articles are collected and organized into a simple web-based searchable database. We have also included the 1997 Nobel lectures of Robert Merton and Myron Scholes as a backdrop to this literature.

Using Option Prices to Estimate Realignment Probabilities in the European Monetary System

Using Option Prices to Estimate Realignment Probabilities in the European Monetary System PDF Author: Allan M. Malz
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description


Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy

Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy PDF Author: William C. Gruben
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461561752
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 247

Book Description
The dramatic growth of international capital flow has provided unprecedented opportunities and risks in emerging markets. This book is the result of a conference exploring this phenomenon, sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The issues explored include direct versus portfolio investment; exchange rates and economic growth; and optimal exchange rate policy for stabilizing inflation in developing countries. It concludes with a panel discussion on central bank coordination in the midst of exchange rate instability.

Fixed Income Modelling

Fixed Income Modelling PDF Author: Claus Munk
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199575088
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 573

Book Description
A large number of securities related to various interest rates are traded in financial markets. Traders and analysts in the financial industry apply models based on economics, mathematics and probability theory to compute reasonable prices and risk measures for these securities. This book offers a unified presentation of such models and securities.

Foreign Exchange Hedging with Synthetic Options and the Interest Rate Defense of a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime

Foreign Exchange Hedging with Synthetic Options and the Interest Rate Defense of a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime PDF Author: Mr.Michael G. Spencer
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451857004
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.

Exchange Rate Determination and the Collapse of a Target Zone with Stochastic Capital Flows

Exchange Rate Determination and the Collapse of a Target Zone with Stochastic Capital Flows PDF Author: Alejandro Hernández D.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description