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Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873859
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 44

Book Description
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and financial sectors, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a novel Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873859
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 44

Book Description
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and financial sectors, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a novel Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475504187
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 77

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484314603
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 89

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic books
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616355786
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 95

Book Description
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary and fiscal transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Modeling the World Economic Outlook At the IMF

Modeling the World Economic Outlook At the IMF PDF Author: James M. Boughton
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
The World Economic Outlook (WEO) exercise at the IMF evolved during the 1980s, partly in response to demands by policymakers in national finance ministries for objective and internationally comparable projections and policy scenarios. The exercise had begun as a staff initiative, encouraged by the Managing Director (Johannes Witteveen). Gradually, the Executive Board, the Interim Committee, the Group of Seven, and others came to view the discussion of the WEO documents as an important element in their efforts to keep abreast of world economic developments and prospects. Direct and indirect feedback from those discussions informed the staff as to how the exercise should be improved. Driven by this policy relevance, the WEO evolved from a decentralized project that was only haphazardly model-based into a more rigorous and coordinated exercise.

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the Group of Twenty

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the Group of Twenty PDF Author: Francis Vitek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455201359
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49

Book Description
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into twenty national economies along the lines of the Group of Twenty. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and financial sectors, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment.

Economic Forecasting and Policy

Economic Forecasting and Policy PDF Author: N. Carnot
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
ISBN: 9780230243217
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting.

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis PDF Author: Walter C. Labys
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9780709916161
Category : Commodity exchanges
Languages : en
Pages : 209

Book Description


The GVAR Handbook

The GVAR Handbook PDF Author: Filippo di Mauro
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191649082
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 299

Book Description
The GVAR is a global Vector autoregression model of the global economy. The model was initially developed in the early 2000 by Professor Pesaran and co-authors, for the main purpose of analysing credit risk in a globalised economy. Starting from mid-2000 the model was substantially enlarged in the context of a project financed by the ECB, to comprise all major economies and the Euro area as a whole. The purpose of this version was to exploit the rich modelisation of international linkages in order to simulate and analyse global macro scenarios of high policy interest. The rich, yet manageable, specification of international linkages has stimulated a vast literature on the GVAR. Since early 2011, the basic model - and its data base - has also available on a dedicated GVAR-Toolbox website with an easy-to-use interface allowing practical applications by an extended audience, as well as more complex analysis by the expert public. The book provides an overview of the extensions and applications of the GVAR which have been developed in recent years. Such applications are grouped in three main categories: 1) International transmission and forecasting; 2) Finance applications; and 3) Regional applications. By using a language which is accessible to not econometricians, the book reaches out to the extended audience of practitioners and policy makers interested in understanding channels and impacts of international linkages.