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Pension Funding, Share Prices, and National Saving

Pension Funding, Share Prices, and National Saving PDF Author: Martin S. Feldstein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Old age pensions
Languages : en
Pages : 44

Book Description
This paper examines empirically the effect of unfunded pension obligations on corporate share prices and discusses the implications of these estimates for national saving, the decline of the stock market in recent years, and the rationality of corporate financial behavior. The analysis uses the information on inflation-adjusted income and assets that large firms were required to provide for 1976 and subsequent years. The evidence for a sample of nearly 200 manufacturing firms is consistent with the conclusion that share prices fully reflect the value of unfunded pension obligations. Since the conventional accounting measure of the unfunded pension liability has a number of problems (which we examine in the paper), it would be more accurate to say that the data are consistent with the conclusion that shareholders accept the conventional measure as the best available information and reduce share prices by a corresponding amount. The most important implication of the share price response is that the existence of unfunded private pension liabilities does not necessarily entail a reduction in total private saving. Because the pension liability reduces the equity value of the firm, shareholders are given notice of its existence and an incentive to save more themselves. For this reason, unfunded private pensions differ fundamentally from the unfunded Social Security pension and the other unfunded federal government civilian and military pensions

Pension Funding, Share Prices, and National Saving

Pension Funding, Share Prices, and National Saving PDF Author: Martin S. Feldstein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Old age pensions
Languages : en
Pages : 44

Book Description
This paper examines empirically the effect of unfunded pension obligations on corporate share prices and discusses the implications of these estimates for national saving, the decline of the stock market in recent years, and the rationality of corporate financial behavior. The analysis uses the information on inflation-adjusted income and assets that large firms were required to provide for 1976 and subsequent years. The evidence for a sample of nearly 200 manufacturing firms is consistent with the conclusion that share prices fully reflect the value of unfunded pension obligations. Since the conventional accounting measure of the unfunded pension liability has a number of problems (which we examine in the paper), it would be more accurate to say that the data are consistent with the conclusion that shareholders accept the conventional measure as the best available information and reduce share prices by a corresponding amount. The most important implication of the share price response is that the existence of unfunded private pension liabilities does not necessarily entail a reduction in total private saving. Because the pension liability reduces the equity value of the firm, shareholders are given notice of its existence and an incentive to save more themselves. For this reason, unfunded private pensions differ fundamentally from the unfunded Social Security pension and the other unfunded federal government civilian and military pensions

Pension Funds and National Saving

Pension Funds and National Saving PDF Author: Pablo Lopez Murphy
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Pension trusts
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description
"Murphy and Musalem conduct an empirical study of the effect of the accumulation of pension fund financial assets on national saving using a panel of 43 industrial and developing countries. The authors find evidence suggesting that the accumulation of pension fund financial assets might increase national saving when these funds are the result of a mandatory pension program. By contrast, national saving might be unaffected when pension funds are the result of a public program implemented to foster voluntary pension saving"--Abstract.

Social Security financing : implications of government stock investing for the trust fund, the federal budget, and the economy : report to the Special Committee on Aging, U.S. Senate

Social Security financing : implications of government stock investing for the trust fund, the federal budget, and the economy : report to the Special Committee on Aging, U.S. Senate PDF Author:
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1428976922
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 86

Book Description


Pension Funding Decisions, Interest Rate Assumptions and Share Prices

Pension Funding Decisions, Interest Rate Assumptions and Share Prices PDF Author: Martin S. Feldstein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Old age pensions
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
This paper explores how unfunded pension obligations affect the market values of firms. Finns appear to choose the interest rate they use in discounting future benefit obligations so as to balance the tax advantages of a low rate against the more healthy looking annual reports a high rate allows. Investors seem to penetrate this ruse and value firms as if obligations were figured at a standard rate. The rate thus used seems to be much lower than current long term interest rates. Pension liabilities are therefore overemphasized by the market. There is also some evidence that pension assets are undervalued. This suggests that growth of the private pension system might increase savings by investors and firms. [Resumen de autor]

Social Security Financing

Social Security Financing PDF Author: United States. General Accounting Office
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Social security
Languages : en
Pages : 88

Book Description


Financial Aspects of the United States Pension System

Financial Aspects of the United States Pension System PDF Author: Zvi Bodie
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226062899
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 466

Book Description
This book provides valuable information and analysis to managers, policymakers, and investment counselors in the rapidly expanding field of pension funding. American workers, too, need answers and insights on how to invest their money and plan for their retirement. fifteen of America's leading financial analysts address such pressing questions as -What is the current financial status of the elderly, and how vulnerable are they to inflation? -What is the impact of inflation on the private pension system, and what are the effects of alternative indexing schemes? -What roles can the social security system play in the provision of retirement income? -What is the effect of the tax code and the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA) on corporate pension policy? -How well funded are corporate pension plans, and is a firm's unfunded pension liability fully reflected in the market value of its common stock? Many of the conclusions these experts reach contradict and challenge popular views, thus providing fertile ground for innovation in pension planning.

Pension Funding Decisions, Interest Rate Assumptions and Share Prices

Pension Funding Decisions, Interest Rate Assumptions and Share Prices PDF Author: Randall Morck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This paper explores how unfunded pension obligations affect the market values of firms. Finns appear to choose the interest rate they use in discounting future benefit obligations so as to balance the tax advantages of a low rate against the more healthy looking annual reports a high rate allows. Investors seem to penetrate this ruse and value firms as if obligations were figured at a standard rate. The rate thus used seems to be much lower than current long term interest rates. Pension liabilities are therefore overemphasized by the market. There is also some evidence that pension assets are undervalued. This suggests that growth of the private pension system might increase savings by investors and firms

Pension Funds and National Saving

Pension Funds and National Saving PDF Author: Pablo Lopez Murphy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
The authors conduct an empirical study on the effect of the accumulation of pension fund financial assets, on national saving, using a panel of 43 industrial, and developing countries. The authors find evidence suggesting that the accumulation of pension fund financial assets might increase national saving, when these funds are the result of a mandatory pension program. By contrast, national saving might be unaffected, when pension funds are the result of a public program, implemented to foster voluntary pension saving.

Aging and the Macroeconomy

Aging and the Macroeconomy PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309261961
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 230

Book Description
The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.

National Saving and Economic Performance

National Saving and Economic Performance PDF Author: B. Douglas Bernheim
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 9780226044040
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 408

Book Description
"... Papers presented at a conference held at the Stouffer Wailea Hotel, Maui, Hawaii, January 6-7, 1989. ... part of the Research on Taxation program of the National Bureau of Economic Research." -- p. ix.