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Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats PDF Author: James J. Wirtz
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804783721
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear, biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together top international security experts to examine the issues affecting a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work describes the domestic political consideration and international pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances, treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments are covered thoroughly.

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats PDF Author: James J. Wirtz
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804783721
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear, biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together top international security experts to examine the issues affecting a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work describes the domestic political consideration and international pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances, treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments are covered thoroughly.

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats PDF Author: James Wirtz
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804774013
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear, biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together top international security experts to examine the issues affecting a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work describes the domestic political consideration and international pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances, treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments are covered thoroughly.

Proliferation

Proliferation PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arms race
Languages : en
Pages : 120

Book Description


The Politics of Weapons Inspections

The Politics of Weapons Inspections PDF Author: Nathan E. Busch
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 1503601625
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 401

Book Description
Given recent controversies over suspected WMD programs in proliferating countries, there is an increasingly urgent need for effective monitoring and verification regimes—the international mechanisms, including on-site inspections, intended in part to clarify the status of WMD programs in suspected proliferators. Yet the strengths and limitations of these nonproliferation and arms control mechanisms remain unclear. How should these regimes best be implemented? What are the technological, political, and other limitations to these tools? What technologies and other innovations should be utilized to make these regimes most effective? How should recent developments, such as the 2015 Iran nuclear deal or Syria's declared renunciation and actual use of its chemical weapons, influence their architecture? The Politics of Weapons Inspections examines the successes, failures, and lessons that can be learned from WMD monitoring and verification regimes in order to help determine how best to maintain and strengthen these regimes in the future. In addition to examining these regimes' technological, political, and legal contexts, Nathan E. Busch and Joseph F. Pilat reevaluate the track record of monitoring and verification in the historical cases of South Africa, Libya, and Iraq; assess the prospects of using these mechanisms in verifying arms control and disarmament; and apply the lessons learned from these cases to contemporary controversies over suspected or confirmed programs in North Korea, Iran, and Syria. Finally, they provide a forward-looking set of policy recommendations for the future.

Responding to Proliferation Threats

Responding to Proliferation Threats PDF Author: Mitchel B. Wallerstein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nuclear nonproliferation
Languages : en
Pages : 4

Book Description
Iraq's possession of biological and chemical weapons is indicative that proliferation presents not "theoretical" military problems but significant military threats today. Countries of moderate technical capability and economic means are readily able to develop biological weapons. The development of biological weapons can be masked by other weapons programs, as well as by dual-use technologies in legitimate biological/pesticide manufacturing and research facilities. Many states that possess biological or chemical weapons exist in unstable regions where the possibility of U.S. or coalition military involvement is greatest. Most proliferant states aspire to regional hegemony and perceive nuclear, biological, and chemical (NBC) weapons as asymmetrical counters to the superior conventional forces of opponents. A key to deterring the use of biological or chemical weapons lies in developing counterproliferation capabilities (e.g., protective suits, masks, detectors, etc.) that negate the value of using such weapons against U.S. or coalition forces.

Nuclear Proliferation and Arms Control Monitoring, Detection, and Verification

Nuclear Proliferation and Arms Control Monitoring, Detection, and Verification PDF Author: National Academies of Sciences Engineering and Medicine
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780309314343
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
At the request of Congress, this report presents findings and recommendations related to governance of the U.S. government's monitoring, detection, and verification (MDV) enterprise and offers findings and recommendations related to technical MDV capabilities and research, development, test, and evaluation efforts, focused in particular on the nuclear fuel cycle, nuclear test explosions, and arms control.

On the Brink

On the Brink PDF Author: Van Jackson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108473482
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 251

Book Description
Former Pentagon insider Van Jackson explores how Trump and Kim reached - and avoided - the precipice of nuclear war.

Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia

Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia PDF Author: Peter R. Lavoy
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521767210
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 427

Book Description
A unique account of military conflict under the shadow of nuclear escalation, with access to the soldiers and politicians involved.

Nuclear Nonproliferation

Nuclear Nonproliferation PDF Author: David C. Trimble
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781457871047
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
The threat posed by the proliferation of nuclear and radiological weapons remains one of the most pressing U.S. national security challenges, and these threats are evolving. Information produced by the National Nuclear Security Administration's (NNSA) "Over the Horizon" (OTH) initiative about future proliferation threats is intended to support long-term Office of Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation (DNN) planning and other DNN management decisions. This report (1) describes how NNSA assessed potential proliferation threats through its OTH initiative and assesses the limitations, if any, in the process used by the initiative; and (2) examines the extent to which NNSA used information about the potential threats assessed through the OTH initiative in DNN organization and planning decisions. Table and figure. This is a print on demand report.

Preventing Black Market Trade in Nuclear Technology

Preventing Black Market Trade in Nuclear Technology PDF Author: Matthew Bunn
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316730441
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 386

Book Description
Every nuclear weapons program for decades has relied extensively on illicit imports of nuclear-related technologies. This book offers the most detailed public account of how states procure what they need to build nuclear weapons, what is currently being done to stop them, and how global efforts to prevent such trade could be strengthened. While illicit nuclear trade can never be stopped completely, effective steps to block illicit purchases of nuclear technology have sometimes succeeded in slowing nuclear weapons programs and increasing their costs, giving diplomacy more chance to work. Hence, this book argues, preventing illicit transfers wherever possible is a key element of an effective global non-proliferation strategy.