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Author: Michael Nemtsev Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This thesis examines the reaction of stock prices to higher or lower-than-expected announcements of quarterly earnings and future earnings guidance. Expectations are proxied by mean analyst forecasts. For the analysis, we employ an event study with a 41-day event window, daily observation interval and use the market model to calculate abnormal returns. We found that higher-than-expected announcements of current earnings occur more often, but reactions to lower-than-expected announcements are stronger. In contrast, we found that announcements of future earnings guidance and reactions towards them were balanced. In a comparison between reactions to current earnings and future earnings guidance, we found that return behaviour is more strongly related to future earnings guidance.
Author: Michael Nemtsev Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This thesis examines the reaction of stock prices to higher or lower-than-expected announcements of quarterly earnings and future earnings guidance. Expectations are proxied by mean analyst forecasts. For the analysis, we employ an event study with a 41-day event window, daily observation interval and use the market model to calculate abnormal returns. We found that higher-than-expected announcements of current earnings occur more often, but reactions to lower-than-expected announcements are stronger. In contrast, we found that announcements of future earnings guidance and reactions towards them were balanced. In a comparison between reactions to current earnings and future earnings guidance, we found that return behaviour is more strongly related to future earnings guidance.
Author: Benjamin Schmitt Publisher: GRIN Verlag ISBN: 3656972419 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 57
Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.1, EBS European Business School gGmbH (Finance), language: English, abstract: Many authors have already studied about stock price reactions after earnings announcements yet, which is because of the importance of earnings announcements, in particular quarterly earnings announcements, for many investors. However, all major studies concerning this topic deal with long-term scenarios, the stock’s price performance is measured for a time period of at least three quarters. Due to the fact that there are many investors, especially institutional investors such as hedge funds that trade stocks much more frequently, the existing studies are not relevant for them. This paper studies stock price reactions around quarterly earnings announcements for companies listed in Deutscher Aktienindex (DAX) or Midcap DAX (MDAX) with respect to changes of the company’s full-year outlook and of earnings surprise regarding analyst consensus forecast within ten days before and after the announcement date. Hence, this paper aims to analyse short-term reaction to quarterly earnings announcements, which are of relevance for all investors, whose investment strategy is, at least partially, focussing on the short-term performance. The main target group of this analysis are therefore hedge funds and investors that run short-term strategies. Due to the fact that the widespread Event Study Methodology is focused on the long-term, it is irrelevant for this analysis.
Author: John Shon Publisher: Pearson Education ISBN: 0132659549 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 23
Book Description
This Element is an excerpt from Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions (9780137084920) by John Shon, Ph.D., and Ping Zhou, Ph.D. Available in print and digital formats. Understand those crucial quarterly earning announcements: how they work, and how they impact stock prices. Quarterly earnings announcement are the most salient, most anticipated, regularly-recurring announcement that companies make. They are the most watched piece of information that comes directly from the people that know the business the best. They are also considered the most reliable source of information, largely because companies are subject to strict SEC Rule 10b-5 rules...
Author: John Shon Publisher: FT Press ISBN: 0132615851 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 225
Book Description
Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.
Author: Samuel S. Tung Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 28
Book Description
This study investigates the relationship between the dispersion of analysts? earnings forecasts and stock price variability around quarterly earnings announcements. Consistent with theoretical predictions, the empirical analysis shows that stock price variability at the time of earnings announcements is positively related to the degree of analysts? earnings forecast dispersion. The analysis also demonstrates that stock price variability is significantly greater from two days before to two days after the earnings announcement for firms ranked in the bottom third on the basis of analysts? forecast dispersion, whereas it is significantly greater from eight days prior to five days following the earnings announcement for firms in the top third. These results suggest that there is information about the earnings announcement that becomes available to at least a subset of investors prior to the earnings release. The increased level of price variability for five days following the earnings announcement suggests that market participants take different amounts of time to process the information conveyed by the earnings announcement.
Author: Gerald J. Lobo Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This study investigates the relationship between the dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts and stock price variability around quarterly earnings announcements. Consistent with theoretical predictions, the empirical analysis shows that stock price variability at the time of earnings announcements is positively related to the degree of analysts' earnings forecast dispersion. The analysis also demonstrates that stock price variability is significantly greater from two days before to two days after the earnings announcement for firms ranked in the bottom third on the basis of analysts' forecast dispersion, whereas it is significantly greater from eight days prior to five days following the earnings announcement for firms in the top third. These results suggest that there is information about the earnings announcement that becomes available to at least a subset of investors prior to the earnings release. The increased level of price variability for five days following the earnings announcement suggests that market participants take different amounts of time to process the information conveyed by the earnings announcement.
Author: Alika M. Phipps Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 46
Book Description
The Efficient Market Hypothesis, which has been one of the fundamental propositions of finance for over 30 years, implies that an investor, whether he is an amateur or a professional trader, cannot consistently beat the market. In this study, we examine if this theory holds in the period preceding an earnings announcement, by testing whether there is a relationship between stock returns before and after an earnings announcement. We find that there exists a negative correlation between pre-earnings returns and post-earnings returns for small capitalization stocks that could be explained by investor irrationality. This relationship is statistically significant for pre-earnings returns calculated up to a 10 day period preceding an earnings announcement and strongest over a 3 day period. We also tested to see if there was a correlation between the earnings results in the last quarter and the movements in stock price prior to this quarter's earnings announcement, and did not observe any statistically significant outcomes.
Author: Michael Nemtsev
Author: Michael Nemtsev
Author: Benjamin Schmitt
Author: John Shon
Author: John Shon
Author: Robert G. May
Author: Brian R. Bruce
Author: Samuel S. Tung
Author: Gerald J. Lobo
Author: VICTOR L. BERNARD
Author: Alika M. Phipps