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On the Probability of Maximum Severity of Ruin for a Classical and Renewal Risk Model

On the Probability of Maximum Severity of Ruin for a Classical and Renewal Risk Model PDF Author: Palash Ranjan Das
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
The authors of this paper engage ruin theory as a mathematical basis for quantifying the financial risks in insurance industry. Considering a classical risk model with dividend barrier it is calibrated to obtain the maximum probability of ruin when the claim amount distribution is either exponential or Erlangian. It is to be noted that for numerical evaluation, the premium loading factor is taken to be 20% in both the cases. In order to ensure fair comparison, exponential and Erlangian parameters have been chosen in such a way that their mean and the expected total claims are same for both the distributions over a given time interval. Ultimately, it is generalized that the classical risk model by considering a renewal risk model can be used to find an expression for the maximum severity of ruin in the insurance industry.

On the Probability of Maximum Severity of Ruin for a Classical and Renewal Risk Model

On the Probability of Maximum Severity of Ruin for a Classical and Renewal Risk Model PDF Author: Palash Ranjan Das
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
The authors of this paper engage ruin theory as a mathematical basis for quantifying the financial risks in insurance industry. Considering a classical risk model with dividend barrier it is calibrated to obtain the maximum probability of ruin when the claim amount distribution is either exponential or Erlangian. It is to be noted that for numerical evaluation, the premium loading factor is taken to be 20% in both the cases. In order to ensure fair comparison, exponential and Erlangian parameters have been chosen in such a way that their mean and the expected total claims are same for both the distributions over a given time interval. Ultimately, it is generalized that the classical risk model by considering a renewal risk model can be used to find an expression for the maximum severity of ruin in the insurance industry.

Ruin Probabilities

Ruin Probabilities PDF Author: S?ren Asmussen
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9812779310
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

Book Description
The text is a treatment of classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramer-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (for example, for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation or periodicity. Special features of the book are the emphasis on change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas like queueing theory.

Renewal Risk Processes with Stochastic Returns on Investments

Renewal Risk Processes with Stochastic Returns on Investments PDF Author: Corina D. Constantinescu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Risk
Languages : en
Pages : 228

Book Description
This thesis considers one of the classical problems in the actuarial mathematics literature, the decay of the probability of ruin in the collective risk model. The claim number process N(t) is assumed to be a renewal process, the resulting model being referred as the Sparre Andersen risk model. The inter-claim times form a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables. The additional non-classical feature is that the company invests in an asset with stochastic returns. A very general integro-differential equation is derived for expected values of functions of this renewal risk model with stochastic returns. Moreover, as a particular case, an integro-differential equation is derived for the probability of ruin, under very general conditions regarding the claim sizes, claim arrivals and the returns from investment. Through this unified approach, specific integro-differential equations of the ruin probability may be written for various risk model scenarios, allowing the asymptotic analysis of the ruin probabilities.

On the Evaluation of Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities in a Dependent Risk Model

On the Evaluation of Finite-Time Ruin Probabilities in a Dependent Risk Model PDF Author: Dimitrina Dimitrova
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 37

Book Description
This paper establishes some enlightening connections between the explicit formulas of the finite-time ruin probability established by Ignatov and Kaishev (2000, 2004) and Ignatov et al. (2001) for a risk model allowing dependence. The numerical properties of these formulas are investigated and efficient algorithms for computing ruin probability with prescribed accuracy are presented. Extensive numerical comparisons and examples are provided.Research on ruin probability beyond the classical risk model has intensified in recent years. More general ruin probability models assuming dependence between claim amounts and/or claim arrivals and non-linear aggregate premium income have been considered in the actuarial and applied probability literature. Such models are better suited to reflect the dependence in the arrival and severity of losses generated by portfolios of insurance policies. Exploring ruin probability theoretically and numerically, under these more general dependence assumptions, is of utmost importance within the Solvency II framework of internal insolvency-risk model building.

Ruin Probabilities

Ruin Probabilities PDF Author: S?ren Asmussen
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814282529
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 621

Book Description
The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cram‚r?Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber?Shiu functions and dependence.

Characteristics of Ruin Probabilities in Classical Risk Models with and Without Investment, Cox Risk Models and Perturbed Risk Models

Characteristics of Ruin Probabilities in Classical Risk Models with and Without Investment, Cox Risk Models and Perturbed Risk Models PDF Author: Hanspeter Schmidli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Risk
Languages : en
Pages : 58

Book Description


Surplus Analysis of Sparre Andersen Insurance Risk Processes

Surplus Analysis of Sparre Andersen Insurance Risk Processes PDF Author: Gordon E. Willmot
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319713620
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 228

Book Description
This carefully written monograph covers the Sparre Andersen process in an actuarial context using the renewal process as the model for claim counts. A unified reference on Sparre Andersen (renewal risk) processes is included, often missing from existing literature. The authors explore recent results and analyse various risk theoretic quantities associated with the event of ruin, including the time of ruin and the deficit of ruin. Particular attention is given to the explicit identification of defective renewal equation components, which are needed to analyse various risk theoretic quantities and are also relevant in other subject areas of applied probability such as dams and storage processes, as well as queuing theory. Aimed at researchers interested in risk/ruin theory and related areas, this work will also appeal to graduate students in classical and modern risk theory and Gerber-Shiu analysis.

On the Time Value of Ruin for Insurance Risk Models

On the Time Value of Ruin for Insurance Risk Models PDF Author: Shuanming Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Risk (Insurance)
Languages : en
Pages : 366

Book Description


Ruin Probabilities

Ruin Probabilities PDF Author: Yuliya Mishura
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0081020988
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 278

Book Description
Ruin Probabilities: Smoothness, Bounds, Supermartingale Approach deals with continuous-time risk models and covers several aspects of risk theory. The first of them is the smoothness of the survival probabilities. In particular, the book provides a detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities for different risk models. Next, it gives some possible applications of the results concerning the smoothness of the survival probabilities. Additionally, the book introduces the supermartingale approach, which generalizes the martingale one introduced by Gerber, to get upper exponential bounds for the infinite-horizon ruin probabilities in some generalizations of the classical risk model with risky investments. - Provides new original results - Detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities, as well as possible applications of these results - An excellent supplement to current textbooks and monographs in risk theory - Contains a comprehensive list of useful references

The Distribution of the Time to Ruin in the Classical Risk Model

The Distribution of the Time to Ruin in the Classical Risk Model PDF Author: David C. M. Dickson
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780734021885
Category : Risk (Insurance)
Languages : en
Pages : 16

Book Description