Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets PDF Download

Author: Stephen Satchell
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080471420
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 428

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Book Description
Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets, Third Edition assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting-edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It provides a survey of ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return. Editors John Knight and Stephen Satchell have brought together an impressive array of contributors who present research from their area of specialization related to volatility forecasting. Readers with an understanding of volatility measures and risk management strategies will benefit from this collection of up-to-date chapters on the latest techniques in forecasting volatility. Chapters new to this third edition:* What good is a volatility model? Engle and Patton* Applications for portfolio variety Dan diBartolomeo* A comparison of the properties of realized variance for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 equity indices Rob Cornish* Volatility modeling and forecasting in finance Xiao and Aydemir* An investigation of the relative performance of GARCH models versus simple rules in forecasting volatility Thomas A. Silvey - Leading thinkers present newest research on volatility forecasting - International authors cover a broad array of subjects related to volatility forecasting - Assumes basic knowledge of volatility, financial mathematics, and modelling

Author: Florian Auinger
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3658089695
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 102

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Book Description
Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.

Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420099558
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 654

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Book Description
Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel

Author: Ser-Huang Poon
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470856157
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 236

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Book Description
Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.

Author: Stephen J. Taylor
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400839254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Book Description
This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.

Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439804508
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 870

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Book Description
Although emerging market economies consist of 50% of the global population, they are relatively unknown. Filling this knowledge gap, Emerging Markets: Performance, Analysis and Innovation compiles the latest research by noteworthy academics and money managers from around the world. With a focus on both traditional emerging markets and new areas, su

Author: James D. Hamilton
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642511821
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 267

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Book Description
This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubbles or fads in stock prices. A concluding chapter offers useful new results on testing for this kind of regime-switching behaviour. Overall, the book provides a state-of-the-art over view of new directions in methods and results for estimation and inference based on the use of Markov-switching time-series analysis. A special feature of the book is that it includes an illustration of a wide range of applications based on a common methodology. It is expected that the theme of the book will be of particular interest to the macroeconomics readers as well as econometrics professionals, scholars and graduate students. We wish to express our gratitude to the authors for their strong contributions and the reviewers for their assistance and careful attention to detail in their reports.

Author: Victor Sperandeo
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471248479
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 310

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Book Description
The man Barron's dubbed "the ultimate Wall Street pro" returns witha stunning follow-up to his bestselling Trader Vic--Methods of aWall Street Master ("The best investment book of 1992"--The StockTrader's Almanac). Take an advanced class in his patented tradingand investment philosophy and learn how the master makes betterinvestment decisions . . . deciphers economic theories and usesthem to predict investment outcomes . . . cuts through the lies,fallacies, and distortions that muddle and confound trading andinvestment decision making . . . and much more! What the experts said about Trader Vic--Methods of a Wall StreetMaster . . . "Victor Sperandeo is gifted with one of the finest minds I know. Nowonder he's compiled such an amazing record of success as a moneymanager. Every investor can benefit from the wisdom he offers inhis new book. Don't miss it!" --Paul Tudor Jones, Tudor InvestmentCorporation. "Here's a simple review in three steps: 1. Buy this book! 2. Readthis book! 3. See step 2. For those who can't take a hint, VictorSperandeo with T. Sullivan Brown has written a gem, a book of valuefor everyone in the markets, whether egghead, novice, or seasonedspeculator." --John Sweeney, Technical Analysis of Stocks andCommodities. "Get Trader Vic--Methods of a Wall Street Master by VictorSperandeo, read it over and over and you'll never have a losingyear again." --Yale Hirsch, Smart Money.

Author: Hujun Yin
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3540456759
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 612

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Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Third International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2002, held in Manchester, UK in August 2002. The 89 revised papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from more than 150 submissions. The book offers topical sections on data mining, knowledge engineering, text and document processing, internet applications, agent technology, autonomous mining, financial engineering, bioinformatics, learning systems, and pattern recognition.

Author: David E. Rapach
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1849505403
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 691

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Book Description
Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty are active areas of research with implications for practical problems in forecasting. This book addresses forecasting variables from both Macroeconomics and Finance, and considers various methods of dealing with model instability and model uncertainty when forming forecasts.