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Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484381130 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 41
Book Description
We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484381130 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 41
Book Description
We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1455253235 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 23
Book Description
This paper contributes to the current debate on what role financial stability considerations should play in monetary policy decision and how best to integrate macro-prudential and monetary policy frameworks. The paper broadly supports the view that monetary policy easing induces greater risk-taking by banks but also shows that the relationship between real interest rates and banking risk is more complex. Ultimately, it depends on how much skin in the game banks have. The central message of the paper is broadly complementary to those in the recent MCM board paper “Central Banking Lessons from the Crisis.”
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 148433373X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 41
Book Description
We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.
Author: Natalya Martynova Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513517589 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 44
Book Description
Traditional theory suggests that more profitable banks should have lower risk-taking incentives. Then why did many profitable banks choose to invest in untested financial instruments before the crisis, realizing significant losses? We attempt to reconcile theory and evidence. In our setup, banks are endowed with a fixed core business. They take risk by levering up to engage in risky ‘side activities’(such as market-based investments) alongside the core business. A more profitable core business allows a bank to borrow more and take side risks on a larger scale, offsetting lower incentives to take risk of given size. Consequently, more profitable banks may have higher risk-taking incentives. The framework is consistent with cross-sectional patterns of bank risk-taking in the run up to the recent financial crisis.
Author: Mr.Luc Laeven Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1455210838 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 38
Book Description
We provide a theoretical foundation for the claim that prolonged periods of easy monetary conditions increase bank risk taking. The net effect of a monetary policy change on bank monitoring (an inverse measure of risk taking) depends on the balance of three forces: interest rate pass-through, risk shifting, and leverage. When banks can adjust their capital structures, a monetary easing leads to greater leverage and lower monitoring. However, if a bank's capital structure is fixed, the balance depends on the degree of bank capitalization: when facing a policy rate cut, well capitalized banks decrease monitoring, while highly levered banks increase it. Further, the balance of these effects depends on the structure and contestability of the banking industry, and is therefore likely to vary across countries and over time.
Author: Ulrich Bindseil Publisher: OUP Oxford ISBN: 019102645X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 337
Book Description
Since 2007, central banks of industrialized countries have counteracted financial instability, recession, and deflationary risks with unprecedented monetary policy operations. While generally regarded as successful, these measures also led to an exceptional increase in the size of central bank balance sheets. The book first introduces the subject by explaining monetary policy operations in normal times, including the key instruments (open market operations, standing facilities, reserve requirements, and the collateral framework). Second, the book reviews the basic mechanics of financial crises as they have hit economies many times. The book then explains what central banks need to do to when financial markets and banks are impaired to fulfil their monetary policy and financial stability mandates. Besides demonstrating the need for non-conventional monetary policy measures, the book also highlights their dangers, such as moral hazard and increased central bank risk taking. The book draws a number of lessons from the crisis on non-conventional monetary policy operations, assessing what measures have worked well, and how a framework should be designed in future normal times such as to contribute to make financial crises less likely. Central bank monetary policy operations have traditionally been considered as a matter of practice, while the macroeconomic modelling of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy is regarded as a discipline relying on substantial theory ('monetary economics'). However, monetary policy operations can equally benefit from a theory, and from a normative framework to guide policy choices. The limited interest that monetary policy operations have found for many decades in academic economics may well have contributed to the many misunderstandings on central bank actions over recent years. This book provides a basis for a better theoretical understanding of real-world monetary policy operations.
Author: Yener Altunbas Publisher: ISBN: Category : Banks and banking Languages : en Pages : 44
Book Description
This paper investigates the relationship between short-term interest rates and bank risk. Using a unique database that includes quarterly balance sheet information for listed banks operating in the European Union and the United States in the last decade, we find evidence that unusually low interest rates over an extended period of time contributed to an increase in banks' risk. This result holds for a wide range of measures of risk, as well as macroeconomic and institutional controls.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484359623 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 54
Book Description
This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Author: Paul Gaggl Publisher: ISBN: 9781267656896 Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
I study whether expansive monetary policy over an extended period under benign economic conditions induces banks to shift their asset portfolios toward more risky investments. This may contribute to aggregate financial instability. Moreover, I investigate whether such a portfolio adjustment is also likely to be highly correlated among financial institutions. The second phenomenon not only leads to more individual risk but also contributes to systemic risk. I believe these are relevant policy questions for at least two reasons: First, the financial crisis of 2007-08 had a devastating impact on the world economy. Thus, it is important to investigate the role that monetary policy played for the extreme buildup of aggregate risk throughout the mid 2000s. I find that the period of expansive ECB monetary policy in the period 2003-2005 induced banks to significantly increase the default risk allowed in their loan portfolios. Second, policy interest rates across the world are currently very low. My theoretic and empirical research suggests that a significant improvement in economic conditions together with expansive monetary policy could spur another round of excessive risk buildup in financial institutions' asset portfolios. Furthermore, one of the greatest concerns during the financial crisis of 2007-08 was systemic risk within the financial sector. Thus, I ask whether financial institutions intentionally choose portfolios that are highly correlated with their competitors. Based on an extensive matched firm-bank panel I construct multiple time varying measures of bank herding within the Austrian business loan market during 2000-08. I show that bank herding in business lending markets was sizable and significant throughout the period 2000-08. Moreover, banks' tendency to herd into default-risk classes was especially pronounced during the low policy interest rate period 2003-05. This suggests that not only do low and stable monetary policy interest rates encourage more bank risk-taking, but the additional risk is also likely to be correlated across banks.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Author: Natalya Martynova
Author: Mr.Luc Laeven
Author: Ulrich Bindseil
Author: G. W. J. Hendrikse
Author: Yener Altunbas
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Author: Paul Gaggl