Modelling Reality and Personal Modelling PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Modelling Reality and Personal Modelling PDF full book. Access full book title Modelling Reality and Personal Modelling by Richard Flavell. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Richard Flavell Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3642959008 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 414
Book Description
The recent introduction of two European index options on the FTSE Eurotrack 100 and the Eurotop 100 is evidence of a demand from investors to hedge pan-European risk. The FTSE Eurotrack 100 was designed to closely resemble the longer established and widely quoted Morgan Stanley European index. The Eurotrack 100 covers a hundred companies in eleven countries in continental Europe. The index is denominated in DM and' a breakdown by value into the different countries covered is given in figure 1. Capitalisation weights for Figure 1 FT-SE Eurotrack 100 Index Norway mark Germany Italy Switzerland France Netherlands Another recently introduced European index is the Eurotop 100 index denominated in EeUs, this index contains twenty two UK companies which represent 27% by value of this index. The attraction of investments in these indices is that they provide a basis for weighted exposure to Europe, investors can then build on this 240 basis by investment in individual countries. The multinational context of the universe of shares defined by this index raises some new questions for the selection of portfolios, whether the portfolios are chosen for absolute performance or to track the index. Various possible objectives of portfolio selection will be discussed, in all cases the crucial role of the covariance matrix of returns is clear. The extra source of risk present in a multinational portfolio is the combination of country risk coupled with foreign exchange risk. Two models of the return covariance matrix are proposed and examined.
Author: Richard Flavell Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3642959008 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 414
Book Description
The recent introduction of two European index options on the FTSE Eurotrack 100 and the Eurotop 100 is evidence of a demand from investors to hedge pan-European risk. The FTSE Eurotrack 100 was designed to closely resemble the longer established and widely quoted Morgan Stanley European index. The Eurotrack 100 covers a hundred companies in eleven countries in continental Europe. The index is denominated in DM and' a breakdown by value into the different countries covered is given in figure 1. Capitalisation weights for Figure 1 FT-SE Eurotrack 100 Index Norway mark Germany Italy Switzerland France Netherlands Another recently introduced European index is the Eurotop 100 index denominated in EeUs, this index contains twenty two UK companies which represent 27% by value of this index. The attraction of investments in these indices is that they provide a basis for weighted exposure to Europe, investors can then build on this 240 basis by investment in individual countries. The multinational context of the universe of shares defined by this index raises some new questions for the selection of portfolios, whether the portfolios are chosen for absolute performance or to track the index. Various possible objectives of portfolio selection will be discussed, in all cases the crucial role of the covariance matrix of returns is clear. The extra source of risk present in a multinational portfolio is the combination of country risk coupled with foreign exchange risk. Two models of the return covariance matrix are proposed and examined.
Author: Emanuel Derman Publisher: Simon and Schuster ISBN: 1439165017 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 242
Book Description
Now in paperback, “a compelling, accessible, and provocative piece of work that forces us to question many of our assumptions” (Gillian Tett, author of Fool’s Gold). Quants, physicists working on Wall Street as quantitative analysts, have been widely blamed for triggering financial crises with their complex mathematical models. Their formulas were meant to allow Wall Street to prosper without risk. But in this penetrating insider’s look at the recent economic collapse, Emanuel Derman—former head quant at Goldman Sachs—explains the collision between mathematical modeling and economics and what makes financial models so dangerous. Though such models imitate the style of physics and employ the language of mathematics, theories in physics aim for a description of reality—but in finance, models can shoot only for a very limited approximation of reality. Derman uses his firsthand experience in financial theory and practice to explain the complicated tangles that have paralyzed the economy. Models.Behaving.Badly. exposes Wall Street’s love affair with models, and shows us why nobody will ever be able to write a model that can encapsulate human behavior.
Author: Shane Parrish Publisher: Penguin ISBN: 0593719972 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 209
Book Description
Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.
Author: Aaron Marcus Publisher: Marcus Institute ISBN: 0965358534 Category : Art Languages : en Pages : 179
Book Description
Have you ever dreamed about becoming an actor or commercial model but had no idea how to get started? Or, how to take your current career to the next level? Do you live in a small market and think there is no work available, can't find an agent or afraid of being scammed? Actors and commercial models of all ages and sizes, beautiful and real looking, are cast for magazine, newspaper and billboard ads and in TV commercials, films and TV shows. From getting discovered to landing your dream audition and role, How to Become a Successful Actor and Model is the ultimate step-by-step, no luck required guide to becoming a successful actor and model. For over 34 years, Aaron Marcus has worked as a full-time actor and commercial model, booking over 1,250 jobs. Some of his many bookings includes: Gotham, House of Cards, Heart of Life, Irresistible, Thespian, Philomena, Halt and Catch Fire, Project Almanac, The Wire and Do No Harm. He has taken all of the strategies, techniques and lessons he has learned over his career and boiled them down into a simple, sensible, engaging, and fun approach to how actors and models can book the job! This book explains how he did it, and how you can too. Aaron teaches you, in a practical, honest, and economical way, his secrets and strategies for getting started and succeeding no matter where you live. Aaron has written this book to not only help those wanting to break into the industry, but also to help those actors and models who want to take their career to the next level. The chapters in How to Become a Successful Actor and Model are: 1. What is Commercial Modeling? 2. Preparation for Commercial Modeling 3. Head Shots 4. Resumes 5. Composite Sheets 6. Makeup 7. Finding a Good Agent 8. How to Get Work 9. How to Work as a Professional Model 10. Auditioning (Including – How to Shoot Home Auditions) 11. The Realities of Being a Full-time Actor and Model 12. Now What Do You Do? 13. Resources **Bonus** Free list of over 500 agents (agents from every state in the U.S.) and in other countries as well
Author: L. Magnani Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9780306462924 Category : Computers Languages : en Pages : 366
Book Description
The volume is based on the papers that were presented at the Interna tional Conference Model-Based Reasoning in Scientific Discovery (MBR'98), held at the Collegio Ghislieri, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy, in December 1998. The papers explore how scientific thinking uses models and explanatory reasoning to produce creative changes in theories and concepts. The study of diagnostic, visual, spatial, analogical, and temporal rea soning has demonstrated that there are many ways of performing intelligent and creative reasoning that cannot be described with the help only of tradi tional notions of reasoning such as classical logic. Traditional accounts of scientific reasoning have restricted the notion of reasoning primarily to de ductive and inductive arguments. Understanding the contribution of model ing practices to discovery and conceptual change in science requires ex panding scientific reasoning to include complex forms of creative reasoning that are not always successful and can lead to incorrect solutions. The study of these heuristic ways of reasoning is situated at the crossroads of philoso phy, artificial intelligence, cognitive psychology, and logic; that is, at the heart of cognitive science. There are several key ingredients common to the various forms of model based reasoning to be considered in this book. The models are intended as in terpretations of target physical systems, processes, phenomena, or situations. The models are retrieved or constructed on the basis of potentially satisfying salient constraints of the target domain.
Author: Aldrich Chan Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company ISBN: 1324015985 Category : Psychology Languages : en Pages : 288
Book Description
Clinical musings on the nature of reality and “known experience.” Therapists must rely on their clients’ reporting of experience in order to assess, treat, and offer help. Yet we all experience the world through various filters of one sort or another, and our experiences are transformed through several nonconscious processes before reaching our conscious awareness. Science, philosophy, and wisdom traditions share the belief that our awareness is very restricted. How, then, can anyone accurately report their experience, let alone get help with it? Neuropsychologist Aldrich Chan examines how our experience of reality is assembled and shaped by biological, psychological, sociocultural, and existential processes. Each chapter explores processes within these domains that may act as “veils.” Topics in the book include: the default mode network, cognitive distortions, decision-making heuristics, the interconnected mind, memory, and cultural concepts of distress. By understanding the ways in which reality can be distorted, clinicians can more effectively help their clients reach their personal psychotherapeutic goals.
Author: David R. Anderson Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 0387740759 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 203
Book Description
This textbook introduces a science philosophy called "information theoretic" based on Kullback-Leibler information theory. It focuses on a science philosophy based on "multiple working hypotheses" and statistical models to represent them. The text is written for people new to the information-theoretic approaches to statistical inference, whether graduate students, post-docs, or professionals. Readers are however expected to have a background in general statistical principles, regression analysis, and some exposure to likelihood methods. This is not an elementary text as it assumes reasonable competence in modeling and parameter estimation.
Author: J. Marques Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan ISBN: 9781137405609 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Aimed at business students preparing to enter the workforce, Leadership and Mindful Behavior provides readers with guidelines for effective and perceptive leadership. Some of the aspects to be reviewed will be the importance of both soft and hard skills; the concepts of sleepwalking and wakefulness; mental models, respect, change, and compassion.
Author: Richard Flavell
Author: Richard Flavell
Author: Emanuel Derman
Author: Shane Parrish
Author: Aaron Marcus
Author: L. Magnani
Author: Aldrich Chan
Author: Walter Clarke Phillips
Author: David R. Anderson
Author: Jean Shrimpton
Author: J. Marques