Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis PDF Download

Author: Hannah Kosow
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783889853752
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 120

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Author: Rosanna Fornasiero
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030635058
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 298

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Book Description
This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.

Author: George Cairns
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319490672
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 287

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Book Description
Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand – considering the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and the outcomes expected.

Author: Roland W. Scholz
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9780761919469
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 412

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In an embedded case study, the starting and end point is the comprehension of the case as a whole in its real-world context. This book bridges the gap between quantitative and qualitative approaches to complex problems when using this methodology.

Author: G. Wright
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230306896
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 111

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Book Description
Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.

Author: Jerome C. Glenn
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780981894119
Category : Forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Comprehensive and internationally peer-reviewed handbook on tools and methods for forecasting and analysis of global change.

Author: Rafael Ramírez
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0198745699
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 275

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Book Description
This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.

Author: M. Lindgren
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230511627
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description
Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.

Author: Tatsuyoshi Saijo
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811554072
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 236

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Book Description
This book discusses imaginary future generations and how current decision-making will influence those future generations. Markets and democracies focus on the present and therefore tend to make us forget that we are living in the present, with ancestors preceding and descendants succeeding us. Markets are excellent devices to equate supply and demand in the short term, but not for allocating resources between current and future generations, since future generations do not exist yet. Democracy is also not “applicable” for future generations, since citizens vote for candidates who will serve members of their, i.e., the current, generation. In order to overcome these shortcomings, the authors discusses imaginary future generations and future ministries in the context of current decision-making in fields such as the environment, urban management, forestry, water management, and finance. The idea of imaginary future generations comes from the Native American Iroquois, who had strong norms that compelled them to incorporate the interests of people seven generations ahead when making decisions.

Author: Adam Kahane
Publisher: Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN: 1609944909
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 150

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Book Description
Transformative scenario planning is a way that people can work together with others to transform themselves and their relationships with one another and their systems. In this simple and practical book, Kahane explains this methodology and how to use it.