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Author: Barry Siegel Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 21
Book Description
The officer retention forecast model (ORFM) is an integrated set of time-series and econometric models that produce loss rate forecasts for the structured accession planning system for officers (STRAP-O). Loss rate forecasts are generated over a 7-year horizon. The manager has the capability to alter these forecasts through a change in the real value of military pay or through the selection of the forecasting technique. This report describes the structure of ORFM and illustrates its capabilities. (Author).
Author: Barry Siegel Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 21
Book Description
The officer retention forecast model (ORFM) is an integrated set of time-series and econometric models that produce loss rate forecasts for the structured accession planning system for officers (STRAP-O). Loss rate forecasts are generated over a 7-year horizon. The manager has the capability to alter these forecasts through a change in the real value of military pay or through the selection of the forecasting technique. This report describes the structure of ORFM and illustrates its capabilities. (Author).
Author: T. M. Beatty Publisher: ISBN: Category : Employee retention Languages : en Pages : 21
Book Description
Air Force Personnel Managers must be able to accurately forecast the force size. This need is explicit in meeting statutory budget limitations. Further officer losses drive accession, training, and promotion, thus the need for accuracy in forecasting losses cannot be over emphasized. To accomplish this objective loss rates have been generated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) stepwise regression. The objective of this paper is to expose the relative efficacies of alternative methods which could be used viz. Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and OLS standardized coefficient (Beta) predictor models. (Author).
Author: edward S. Bres Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 21
Book Description
Several time-series-based forecasting techniques were used to project Navy unrestricted line officer loss rates, by grade and length of service category. An autoregressive minimum absolute error regression model was selected as the overall best technique, producing a substantial increase in forecasting accuracy over previously used techniques. (Author).
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Time-series analysis Languages : en Pages : 83
Book Description
Accurate prediction of officer loss behavior is essential for the planning of personnel policies and executing the U.S. Army's Officer Personnel Management System (OPMS). Inaccurate predictions of officer strength affect the number of personnel authorizations, the Army's budget, and the necessary number of accessions. Imbalances of officer strength in the basic branches affect the Army's combat readiness as a whole. Captains and majors comprise a critical management population in the United States Army's officer corps. This thesis analyzes U.S. Army officer loss rates for captains and majors and evaluates the fit of several time series models. The results from this thesis validate the time series forecasting technique currently used by the Army G-1, Winters-method additive.
Author: Michael C. Campbell Publisher: ISBN: Category : Employee retention Languages : en Pages : 29
Book Description
The key to effective military personnel planning is accurate loss forecasting. Accurate estimates of future losses enable personnel managers to determine the number of individuals to recruit and promote, as well as the size and cost of future personnel inventories. The thesis describes the generation and analysis of several simple loss rate forecasting models. The models are divided into two classes, those that incorporate eligibility data and those that do not. Aviation officers, particularly pilots, were narrowed down to Lieutenants with four to nine years of commissioned service. They were divided into three communities (jet, prop, and helo). Two methods of loss forecasting were used, BI which is somewhat akin to OP-01s technique and the method I wish to exploit, EAOS. EAOS techniques appear to contribute more to officer loss forecasting than the BI technique. However, BI techniques are still significant but to a lesser degree. The findings are discussed within the context of the study.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Power resources Languages : en Pages : 1430
Book Description
Semiannual, with semiannual and annual indexes. References to all scientific and technical literature coming from DOE, its laboratories, energy centers, and contractors. Includes all works deriving from DOE, other related government-sponsored information, and foreign nonnuclear information. Arranged under 39 categories, e.g., Biomedical sciences, basic studies; Biomedical sciences, applied studies; Health and safety; and Fusion energy. Entry gives bibliographical information and abstract. Corporate, author, subject, report number indexes.
Author: U.S. Army War College Publisher: Lulu.com ISBN: 130405294X Category : Education Languages : en Pages : 625
Book Description
The U.S. Army War College (USAWC) is proud to present the 28th Edition of How the Army Runs: A Senior Leader Reference Handbook, 2011-2012. Publication of this text at this time, when the Army has been at war for almost a decade, has almost completed restructuring of its operating force, and is addressing the structure of the generating force, as well as completing formidable base closure and restationing actions, gives credence to the enduring truth that in order to be successful the Army must sustain and improve itself while it is fully committed to the Nation's bidding. The systems and processes documented and explained in this work are designed to do just that. This text was prepared under the direction of the faculty of the Department of Command, Leadership, and Management. It is intended to be used in an academic environment during the study of the systems and processes used to develop and sustain trained and ready combat forces to be used by the Combatant Commanders.
Author: U.S. Army War College Publisher: Lulu.com ISBN: 0359235743 Category : Reference Languages : en Pages : 552
Book Description
This text explains and synthesizes the functioning and relationships of numerous Defense, Joint, and Army organizations, systems, and processes involved in the development and sustainment of trained and ready forces for the Combatant Commanders. It is designed to be used by the faculty and students at the U.S. Army War College (as well as other training and educational institutions) as they improve their knowledge and understanding of "How the Army Runs." We are proud of the value that senior commanders and staffs place in this text and are pleased to continue to provide this reference.
Author: Barry Siegel
Author: Barry Siegel
Author: T. M. Beatty
Author: edward S. Bres
Author: 
Author: Michael C. Campbell
Author: 
Author: Navy Personnel Research and Development Center (U.S.)
Author: U.S. Army War College
Author: U.S. Army War College
Author: