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Making The (Right) Connections: A Cautionary Account Of WMD Intelligence

Making The (Right) Connections: A Cautionary Account Of WMD Intelligence PDF Author: Charles Tuten
Publisher: Running End Ltd
ISBN: 1881625222
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
Making The (Right) Connections: A Cautionary Account Of WMD Intelligence Can an intelligence service find hidden weapons of mass destruction if it doesn't recognize WMD in plain sight? This hard-hitting monograph, exploiting recent declassification of Cold War materials, presents a timely case study of US intelligence performance. Presenting details of intelligence analysis at work, illustrating realities of inquiry, the convolutions and uncertainties, the known, the missed, the forgotten. Intelligence mirage and reality are contrasted, with the intricate array of made, mishandled, and missed connections providing the unifying theme. The monograph constitutes an intelligence report, reassessing evidence to reach a new conclusion unnoticed by contemporaries, and revealed here for the first time. Intelligence outcomes during missile crises of the late 1950s- early 1960s, and 1980s, are examined and contrasted in this insider's account. Deployments of Soviet long-range nuclear missiles to the German Democratic Republic (East Germany) targeted critical American and NATO assets in Britain, West Germany, Spain, as well as in other European countries (in the first crisis, undetected by Western intelligence services). The account will alter the historical perspective of US intelligence success regarding the October 1962 Cuban missile confrontation. Intelligence misconstruing of information from a key agent, Soviet officer Oleg Penkovsky, is noteworthy. Imagery, clandestine source reporting, and recent Russian revelations are meshed to provide a revised picture of events. The account imparts caveats for historians, and policy analysts evaluating contemporary WMD issues, and is essential reading for anyone seeking to understand the vagaries of intelligence analysis. Much of the material has never before been publicly revealed. The 28 pages include 11 pages with illustrations.

Making The (Right) Connections: A Cautionary Account Of WMD Intelligence

Making The (Right) Connections: A Cautionary Account Of WMD Intelligence PDF Author: Charles Tuten
Publisher: Running End Ltd
ISBN: 1881625222
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
Making The (Right) Connections: A Cautionary Account Of WMD Intelligence Can an intelligence service find hidden weapons of mass destruction if it doesn't recognize WMD in plain sight? This hard-hitting monograph, exploiting recent declassification of Cold War materials, presents a timely case study of US intelligence performance. Presenting details of intelligence analysis at work, illustrating realities of inquiry, the convolutions and uncertainties, the known, the missed, the forgotten. Intelligence mirage and reality are contrasted, with the intricate array of made, mishandled, and missed connections providing the unifying theme. The monograph constitutes an intelligence report, reassessing evidence to reach a new conclusion unnoticed by contemporaries, and revealed here for the first time. Intelligence outcomes during missile crises of the late 1950s- early 1960s, and 1980s, are examined and contrasted in this insider's account. Deployments of Soviet long-range nuclear missiles to the German Democratic Republic (East Germany) targeted critical American and NATO assets in Britain, West Germany, Spain, as well as in other European countries (in the first crisis, undetected by Western intelligence services). The account will alter the historical perspective of US intelligence success regarding the October 1962 Cuban missile confrontation. Intelligence misconstruing of information from a key agent, Soviet officer Oleg Penkovsky, is noteworthy. Imagery, clandestine source reporting, and recent Russian revelations are meshed to provide a revised picture of events. The account imparts caveats for historians, and policy analysts evaluating contemporary WMD issues, and is essential reading for anyone seeking to understand the vagaries of intelligence analysis. Much of the material has never before been publicly revealed. The 28 pages include 11 pages with illustrations.

Debriefing the President

Debriefing the President PDF Author: John Nixon
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0399575839
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 258

Book Description
Debriefing the President presents an astounding, candid portrait of one of our era’s most notorious strongmen. John Nixon, the first man to conduct a prolonged interrogation of Hussein after his capture, offers expert insight into the history and mind of America’s most enigmatic enemy. In December 2003, after one of the largest, most aggressive manhunts in history, US military forces captured Iraqi president Saddam Hussein near his hometown of Tikrit. Beset by body-double rumors and false alarms during a nine-month search, the Bush administration needed positive identification of the prisoner before it could make the announcement that would rocket around the world. At the time, John Nixon was a senior CIA leadership analyst who had spent years studying the Iraqi dictator. Called upon to make the official ID, Nixon looked for telltale scars and tribal tattoos and asked Hussein a list of questions only he could answer. The man was indeed Saddam Hussein, but as Nixon learned in the ensuing weeks, both he and America had greatly misunderstood just who Saddam Hussein really was. After years of parsing Hussein’s leadership from afar, Nixon faithfully recounts his debriefing sessions and subsequently strips away the mythology surrounding an equally brutal and complex man. His account is not an apology, but a sobering examination of how preconceived ideas led Washington policymakers—and the Bush White House—astray. Unflinching and unprecedented, Debriefing the President exposes a fundamental misreading of one of the modern world’s most central figures and presents a new narrative that boldly counters the received account.

Intelligence Community Legal Reference Book

Intelligence Community Legal Reference Book PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic surveillance
Languages : en
Pages : 944

Book Description


Report of the Select Committee on Intelligence on the U.S. Intelligence Community's Prewar Intelligence Assessments on Iraq Together with Additional Views

Report of the Select Committee on Intelligence on the U.S. Intelligence Community's Prewar Intelligence Assessments on Iraq Together with Additional Views PDF Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence
Publisher: Select Committee on Intelligence
ISBN:
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 534

Book Description
The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence presents its report on prewar intelligence regarding Iraq, which contains numerous documents from various U.S. intelligence agencies regarding possible weapons of mass destruction, and other issues relating to Iraq.

A Pretext for War

A Pretext for War PDF Author: James Bamford
Publisher: Anchor
ISBN: 0307275043
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 482

Book Description
A Pretext for War reveals the systematic weaknesses behind the failure to detect or prevent the 9/11 attacks, and details the Bush administration’s subsequent misuse of intelligence to sell preemptive war to the American people. Filled with unprecedented revelations, from the sites of “undisclosed locations” to the actual sources of America’s Middle East policy, A Pretext for War is essential reading for anyone concerned about the security of the United States. Acclaimed author James Bamford–whose classic book The Puzzle Palace first revealed the existence of the National Security Agency–draws on his unparalleled access to top intelligence sources to produce a devastating expose of the intelligence community and the Bush administration.

Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy

Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy PDF Author: Paul R. Pillar
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231527802
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 433

Book Description
A career of nearly three decades with the CIA and the National Intelligence Council showed Paul R. Pillar that intelligence reforms, especially measures enacted since 9/11, can be deeply misguided. They often miss the sources that underwrite failed policy and misperceive our ability to read outside influences. They also misconceive the intelligence-policy relationship and promote changes that weaken intelligence-gathering operations. In this book, Pillar confronts the intelligence myths Americans have come to rely on to explain national tragedies, including the belief that intelligence drives major national security decisions and can be fixed to avoid future failures. Pillar believes these assumptions waste critical resources and create harmful policies, diverting attention away from smarter reform, and they keep Americans from recognizing the limits of obtainable knowledge. Pillar revisits U.S. foreign policy during the Cold War and highlights the small role intelligence played in those decisions, and he demonstrates the negligible effect that America's most notorious intelligence failures had on U.S. policy and interests. He then reviews in detail the events of 9/11 and the 2003 invasion of Iraq, condemning the 9/11 commission and the George W. Bush administration for their portrayals of the role of intelligence. Pillar offers an original approach to better informing U.S. policy, which involves insulating intelligence management from politicization and reducing the politically appointed layer in the executive branch to combat slanted perceptions of foreign threats. Pillar concludes with principles for adapting foreign policy to inevitable uncertainties.

Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040 PDF Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
ISBN: 9781646794973
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158

Book Description
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Intelligence

Intelligence PDF Author: Mark M. Lowenthal
Publisher: CQ Press
ISBN: 1071806394
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 442

Book Description
Mark M. Lowenthal’s trusted guide is the go-to resource for understanding how the intelligence community’s history, structure, procedures, and functions affect policy decisions. In the fully updated Ninth Edition of Intelligence, the author addresses cyber security and cyber intelligence throughout, expands the coverage of collection, comprehensively updates the chapters on nation-state issues and transnational issues, and looks at foreign intelligence services, both large and small.

Analyzing Intelligence

Analyzing Intelligence PDF Author: Roger Z. George
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
ISBN: 1626160260
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 396

Book Description
Analyzing Intelligence, now in a revised and extensively updated second edition, assesses the state of the profession of intelligence analysis from the practitioner's point of view. The contributors—most of whom have held senior positions in the US intelligence community—review the evolution of the field, the rise of new challenges, pitfalls in analysis, and the lessons from new training and techniques designed to deal with 21st century national security problems. This second edition updates this indispensable book with new chapters that highlight advances in applying more analytic rigor to analysis, along with expertise-building, training, and professional development. New chapters by practitioners broaden the original volume’s discussion of the analyst-policymaker relationship by addressing analytic support to the military customer as well as by demonstrating how structured analysis can benefit military commanders on the battlefield. Analyzing Intelligence is written for national security practitioners such as producers and users of intelligence, as well as for scholars and students seeking to understand the nature and role of intelligence analysis, its strengths and weaknesses, and steps that can improve it and lead it to a more recognizable profession. The most comprehensive and up-to-date volume on professional intelligence analysis as practiced in the US Government, Analyzing Intelligence is essential reading for practitioners and users of intelligence analysis, as well as for students and scholars in security studies and related fields.

To Start a War

To Start a War PDF Author: Robert Draper
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0525561064
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 497

Book Description
“Essential . . . one for the ages . . . a must read for all who care about presidential power.” —The Washington Post “Authoritative . . . The most comprehensive account yet of that smoldering wreck of foreign policy, one that haunts us today.” —LA Times One of BookPage's Best Books of 2020 To Start a War paints a vivid and indelible picture of a decision-making process that was fatally compromised by a combination of post-9/11 fear and paranoia, rank naïveté, craven groupthink, and a set of actors with idées fixes who gamed the process relentlessly. Everything was believed; nothing was true. Robert Draper’s fair-mindedness and deep understanding of the principal actors suffuse his account, as does a storytelling genius that is close to sorcery. There are no cheap shots here, which makes the ultimate conclusion all the more damning. In the spirit of Barbara W. Tuchman’s The Guns of August and Marc Bloch’s Strange Defeat, To Start A War will stand as the definitive account of a collective scurrying for evidence that would prove to be not just dubious but entirely false—evidence that was then used to justify a verdict that led to hundreds of thousands of deaths and a flood tide of chaos in the Middle East that shows no signs of ebbing.