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Author: T. Stocker Publisher: ISBN: 9789291691296 Category : Languages : en Pages : 127
Book Description
Climate model results provide the basis for projections of future climate change and increasing numbers of models are likely to contribute to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5). The heterogeneity in the new generation of climate models and an increasing emphasis on estimates of uncertainty in the projections raise questions about how best to evaluate and combine model results in order to improve the reliability of projections. Therefore, an Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections was organized by IPCC's Working Group I with contributions from Working Group II (WGI and WGII). The meeting was held in Boulder, Colorado, USA, from 25 to 27 January 2010. It is important for the success of the IPCC AR5 that this discussion took place early in the AR5 assessment cycle. The Expert Meeting provided a platform to explore the possibility of establishing a common framework that is applicable across the two IPCC Working Groups. The scientific core of this meeting report summarises the discussions and conclusions of the Expert Meeting. It contains a stand-alone Good Practice Guidance Paper for IPCC Lead Authors of AR5, as well as for scientists working in model intercomparison projects. The Guidance Paper briefly summarizes methods used in assessing the quality and reliability of climate model simulations and in combining results from multiple models, and provides recommendations for good practice in using multi-model ensembles. Applications include detection and attribution, model evaluation and global climate projections as well as regional projections relevant for impact and adaptation studies. This meeting report further includes the extended abstracts of the presentations and posters from the Expert Meeting as well as a noncomprehensive bibliography of relevant literature. (LN).
Author: T. Stocker Publisher: ISBN: 9789291691296 Category : Languages : en Pages : 127
Book Description
Climate model results provide the basis for projections of future climate change and increasing numbers of models are likely to contribute to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5). The heterogeneity in the new generation of climate models and an increasing emphasis on estimates of uncertainty in the projections raise questions about how best to evaluate and combine model results in order to improve the reliability of projections. Therefore, an Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections was organized by IPCC's Working Group I with contributions from Working Group II (WGI and WGII). The meeting was held in Boulder, Colorado, USA, from 25 to 27 January 2010. It is important for the success of the IPCC AR5 that this discussion took place early in the AR5 assessment cycle. The Expert Meeting provided a platform to explore the possibility of establishing a common framework that is applicable across the two IPCC Working Groups. The scientific core of this meeting report summarises the discussions and conclusions of the Expert Meeting. It contains a stand-alone Good Practice Guidance Paper for IPCC Lead Authors of AR5, as well as for scientists working in model intercomparison projects. The Guidance Paper briefly summarizes methods used in assessing the quality and reliability of climate model simulations and in combining results from multiple models, and provides recommendations for good practice in using multi-model ensembles. Applications include detection and attribution, model evaluation and global climate projections as well as regional projections relevant for impact and adaptation studies. This meeting report further includes the extended abstracts of the presentations and posters from the Expert Meeting as well as a noncomprehensive bibliography of relevant literature. (LN).
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 9781009157971 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 755
Book Description
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of human-induced climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. This IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate is the most comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of the observed and projected changes to the ocean and cryosphere and their associated impacts and risks, with a focus on resilience, risk management response options, and adaptation measures, considering both their potential and limitations. It brings together knowledge on physical and biogeochemical changes, the interplay with ecosystem changes, and the implications for human communities. It serves policymakers, decision makers, stakeholders, and all interested parties with unbiased, up-to-date, policy-relevant information. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
Author: National Research Council Publisher: National Academies Press ISBN: 0309145856 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 134
Book Description
Climate change is occurring. It is very likely caused by the emission of greenhouse gases from human activities, and poses significant risks for a range of human and natural systems. And these emissions continue to increase, which will result in further change and greater risks. America's Climate Choices makes the case that the environmental, economic, and humanitarian risks posed by climate change indicate a pressing need for substantial action now to limit the magnitude of climate change and to prepare for adapting to its impacts. Although there is some uncertainty about future risk, acting now will reduce the risks posed by climate change and the pressure to make larger, more rapid, and potentially more expensive reductions later. Most actions taken to reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts are common sense investments that will offer protection against natural climate variations and extreme events. In addition, crucial investment decisions made now about equipment and infrastructure can "lock in" commitments to greenhouse gas emissions for decades to come. Finally, while it may be possible to scale back or reverse many responses to climate change, it is difficult or impossible to "undo" climate change, once manifested. Current efforts of local, state, and private-sector actors are important, but not likely to yield progress comparable to what could be achieved with the addition of strong federal policies that establish coherent national goals and incentives, and that promote strong U.S. engagement in international-level response efforts. The inherent complexities and uncertainties of climate change are best met by applying an iterative risk management framework and making efforts to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions; prepare for adapting to impacts; invest in scientific research, technology development, and information systems; and facilitate engagement between scientific and technical experts and the many types of stakeholders making America's climate choices.
Author: Richard Ragaini Publisher: World Scientific ISBN: 981283463X Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 595
Book Description
The Erice International Seminars are multidisciplinary seminars attended by over 100 eminent participants from all fields of science. Each year, a few scientific issues are selected and experts are invited to present contrasting views during the plenary multidisciplinary sessions of the seminar, followed by general debates. These sessions offer a unique opportunity for specialists to enlarge their vision of their related fields by being confronted with ideas and suggestions from high-level scientists in complementary domains of science. Associated workshops allow the experts to further refine and process the ideas evoked during the seminar. This year's topics are all actual. For instance, on climate issues we have focused on the management of a global warming and on new theoretical alternatives to climate modeling. On global monitoring of the planet, we have focused on the US missile defence shield, the energy externalities and waste disposal and the historical dive by Dr Chilingarov on the North Pole shelf. On the medical side, we have investigated the Alzheimer epidemics and the role of infectious agents in cancer.
Author: Vyacheslav Lyubchich Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 1351190814 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 322
Book Description
Evaluating Climate Change Impacts discusses assessing and quantifying climate change and its impacts from a multi-faceted perspective of ecosystem, social, and infrastructure resilience, given through a lens of statistics and data science. It provides a multi-disciplinary view on the implications of climate variability and shows how the new data science paradigm can help us to mitigate climate-induced risk and to enhance climate adaptation strategies. This book consists of chapters solicited from leading topical experts and presents their perspectives on climate change effects in two general areas: natural ecosystems and socio-economic impacts. The chapters unveil topics of atmospheric circulation, climate modeling, and long-term prediction; approach the problems of increasing frequency of extreme events, sea level rise, and forest fires, as well as economic losses, analysis of climate impacts for insurance, agriculture, fisheries, and electric and transport infrastructures. The readers will be exposed to the current research using a variety of methods from physical modeling, statistics, and machine learning, including the global circulation models (GCM) and ocean models, statistical generalized additive models (GAM) and generalized linear models (GLM), state space and graphical models, causality networks, Bayesian ensembles, a variety of index methods and statistical tests, and machine learning methods. The reader will learn about data from various sources, including GCM and ocean model outputs, satellite observations, and data collected by different agencies and research units. Many of the chapters provide references to open source software R and Python code that are available for implementing the methods.
Author: Busch, Per-Olof Publisher: Nordic Council of Ministers ISBN: 9289370114 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 90
Book Description
Available online: https://pub.norden.org/temanord2021-519/ States are on the brink to start negotiations on a global agreement on plastic pollution. In this context, scientists, policymakers and stakeholders voiced requests for strengthening and improving the knowledge base. These requests often include demands for a scientific advisory mechanism or body that operates as two-way interface between science and policy and that informs policy- and decision-making in the global combat against plastic waste in the oceans and the need for a life cycle approach to marine plastic pollution that covers all stages in the plastics life cycle. The report makes the case for a global scientific mechanism on marine litter and microplastics and discusses the conditions to make it work effectively and to enable it to strengthen the global science and knowledge base on marine litter and microplastics.
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / Working Group Technical Support Unit Publisher: ISBN: 9789291691234 Category : Climatic changes Languages : en Pages : 200
Book Description
The Technical Paper addresses the issue of freshwater. Sealevel rise is dealt with only insofar as it can lead to impacts on freshwater in coastal areas and beyond. Climate, freshwater, biophysical and socio-economic systems are interconnected in complex ways. Hence, a change in any one of these can induce a change in any other. Freshwater-related issues are critical in determining key regional and sectoral vulnerabilities. Therefore, the relationship between climate change and freshwater resources is of primary concern to human society and also has implications for all living species. -- page vii.
Author: Elisabeth A. Lloyd Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319650580 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 519
Book Description
This edited collection of works by leading climate scientists and philosophers introduces readers to issues in the foundations, evaluation, confirmation, and application of climate models. It engages with important topics directly affecting public policy, including the role of doubt, the use of satellite data, and the robustness of models. Climate Modelling provides an early and significant contribution to the burgeoning Philosophy of Climate Science field that will help to shape our understanding of these topics in both philosophy and the wider scientific context. It offers insight into the reasons we should believe what climate models say about the world but addresses the issues that inform how reliable and well-confirmed these models are. This book will be of interest to students of climate science, philosophy of science, and of particular relevance to policy makers who depend on the models that forecast future states of the climate and ocean in order to make public policy decisions.
Author: T. Stocker
Author: T. Stocker
Author: 
Author: Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Author: National Research Council
Author: Richard Ragaini
Author: Vyacheslav Lyubchich
Author: Busch, Per-Olof
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / Working Group Technical Support Unit
Author: Elisabeth A. Lloyd