Input Modeling with Phase-Type Distributions and Markov Models

Input Modeling with Phase-Type Distributions and Markov Models PDF Author: Peter Buchholz
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319066749
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 137

Book Description
Containing a summary of several recent results on Markov-based input modeling in a coherent notation, this book introduces and compares algorithms for parameter fitting and gives an overview of available software tools in the area. Due to progress made in recent years with respect to new algorithms to generate PH distributions and Markovian arrival processes from measured data, the models outlined are useful alternatives to other distributions or stochastic processes used for input modeling. Graduate students and researchers in applied probability, operations research and computer science along with practitioners using simulation or analytical models for performance analysis and capacity planning will find the unified notation and up-to-date results presented useful. Input modeling is the key step in model based system analysis to adequately describe the load of a system using stochastic models. The goal of input modeling is to find a stochastic model to describe a sequence of measurements from a real system to model for example the inter-arrival times of packets in a computer network or failure times of components in a manufacturing plant. Typical application areas are performance and dependability analysis of computer systems, communication networks, logistics or manufacturing systems but also the analysis of biological or chemical reaction networks and similar problems. Often the measured values have a high variability and are correlated. It’s been known for a long time that Markov based models like phase type distributions or Markovian arrival processes are very general and allow one to capture even complex behaviors. However, the parameterization of these models results often in a complex and non-linear optimization problem. Only recently, several new results about the modeling capabilities of Markov based models and algorithms to fit the parameters of those models have been published.​

Phase Type Distributions, Volume 2

Phase Type Distributions, Volume 2 PDF Author: András Horváth
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1394329903
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 292

Book Description
Phase type distributions are widely applicable modeling and statistical tools for non-negative random quantities. They are built on Markov chains, which provide a simple, intuitive stochastic interpretation for their use. Phase Type Distribution starts from the Markov chain-based definition of phase type distributions and presents many interesting properties, which follow from the basic definition. As a general family of non-negative distributions with nice analytical properties, phase type distributions can be used for approximating experimental distributions by fitting or by moments matching; and, for discrete event simulation of real word systems with stochastic timing, such as production systems, service operations, communication networks, etc. This book summarizes the up-to-date fitting, matching and simulation methods, and presents the limits of flexibility of phase type distributions of a given order. Additionally, this book lists numerical examples that support the intuitive understanding of the analytical descriptions and software tools that handle phase type distributions.

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling PDF Author: Howard M. Taylor
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483269272
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 410

Book Description
An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling provides information pertinent to the standard concepts and methods of stochastic modeling. This book presents the rich diversity of applications of stochastic processes in the sciences. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of diverse types of stochastic models, which predicts a set of possible outcomes weighed by their likelihoods or probabilities. This text then provides exercises in the applications of simple stochastic analysis to appropriate problems. Other chapters consider the study of general functions of independent, identically distributed, nonnegative random variables representing the successive intervals between renewals. This book discusses as well the numerous examples of Markov branching processes that arise naturally in various scientific disciplines. The final chapter deals with queueing models, which aid the design process by predicting system performance. This book is a valuable resource for students of engineering and management science. Engineers will also find this book useful.

Statistical Methods and Modeling of Seismogenesis

Statistical Methods and Modeling of Seismogenesis PDF Author: Nikolaos Limnios
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1789450373
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 338

Book Description
The study of earthquakes is a multidisciplinary field, an amalgam of geodynamics, mathematics, engineering and more. The overriding commonality between them all is the presence of natural randomness. Stochastic studies (probability, stochastic processes and statistics) can be of different types, for example, the black box approach (one state), the white box approach (multi-state), the simulation of different aspects, and so on. This book has the advantage of bringing together a group of international authors, known for their earthquake-specific approaches, to cover a wide array of these myriad aspects. A variety of topics are presented, including statistical nonparametric and parametric methods, a multi-state system approach, earthquake simulators, post-seismic activity models, time series Markov models with regression, scaling properties and multifractal approaches, selfcorrecting models, the linked stress release model, Markovian arrival models, Poisson-based detection techniques, change point detection techniques on seismicity models, and, finally, semi-Markov models for earthquake forecasting.

Information Technologies and Mathematical Modelling: Queueing Theory and Applications

Information Technologies and Mathematical Modelling: Queueing Theory and Applications PDF Author: Alexander Dudin
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319446150
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 407

Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 15th International Scientific Conference on Information Technologies and Mathematical Modeling, named after A. F. Terpugov, ITMM 2016, held in Katun, Russia, in September 2016. The 33 full papers presented together with 4 short papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 96 submissions. They are devoted to new results in the queueing theory and its applications, addressing specialists in probability theory, random processes, mathematical modeling as well as engineers dealing with logical and technical design and operational management of telecommunication and computer networks.

Ruin Probabilities

Ruin Probabilities PDF Author: S?ren Asmussen
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814282529
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 621

Book Description
The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cram‚r?Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber?Shiu functions and dependence.

Quantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems

Quantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems PDF Author: Jane Hillston
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031684168
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 352

Book Description


Measurement, Modeling and Evaluation of Computing Systems and Dependability and Fault Tolerance

Measurement, Modeling and Evaluation of Computing Systems and Dependability and Fault Tolerance PDF Author: Kai Fischbach
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319053590
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 277

Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 17th International GI/ITG Conference on Measurement, Modeling and Evaluation of Computing Systems and Dependability and Fault-Tolerance, MMB & DFT 2014, held in Bamberg, Germany, in March 2014. The 21 papers presented (2 invited papers, 3 tool papers and 16 full papers) were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. MMB & DFT 2014 cover all aspects of performance and dependability evaluation of systems including networks, computer architectures, distributed systems, workflow systems, software, fault-tolerant and secure systems. The conference also featured 3 satellite workshops namely the International Workshop on Demand Modeling and Quantitative Analysis of Future Generation Energy Networks and Energy-Efficient Systems, FGENET 2014; the International Workshop on Modeling, Analysis and Management of Social Networks and their Applications, SOCNET 2014 and the 2nd Workshop on Network Calculus, WoNeCa 2014.

Systems Performance Modeling

Systems Performance Modeling PDF Author: Adarsh Anand
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3110607638
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 219

Book Description
This book describes methods to improve software performance and safety using advanced mathematical and computational analytics. The main focus is laid on the increase of software reliability by preventive and predictive maintenance with efficient usage of modern testing resources. The editors collect contributions from international researchers in the field.

Man-Machine Interactions 5

Man-Machine Interactions 5 PDF Author: Aleksandra Gruca
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319677926
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 599

Book Description
This Proceedings book provides essential insights into the current state of research in the field of human–computer interactions. It presents the outcomes of the International Conference on Man–Machine Interactions (ICMMI 2017), held on October 3–6, 2017, in Cracow, Poland, which offers a unique international platform for researchers and practitioners to share cutting-edge developments related to technologies, algorithms, tools and systems focused on the means by which humans interact and communicate with computers. This book is the 5th edition in the series and includes a unique selection of high-quality, original papers highlighting the latest theoretical and practical research on technologies, applications and challenges encountered in the rapidly evolving new forms of human–machine relationships. Major research topics covered include human–computer interfaces, bio-data analysis and mining, image analysis and signal processing, decision support and expert systems, pattern recognition, algorithms and optimisations, computer networks, and data management systems. As such, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers in academia, industry and other fields whose work involves man–machine interactions.