Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Cf.: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01232.v1.
Information Content of Treasury Inflation-Indexed Securities
Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Cf.: http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01232.v1.
Tips from TIPS
Author: Stefania D'AmicoPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 56
Book Description
We examine the informational content of TIPS yields from the viewpoint of a general 3-factor no-arbitrage term structure model of inflation and interest rates. Our empirical results indicate that TIPS yields contained a "liquidity premium" that was until recently quite large (1%). Key features of this premium are difficult to account for in a rational pricing framework, suggesting that TIPS may not have been priced efficiently in its early years. Besides the liquidity premium, a time-varying inflation risk premium complicates the interpretation of the TIPS breakeven inflation rate (the difference between the nominal and TIPS yields). Nonetheless, high-frequency variation in the TIPS breakeven rates is similar to the variation in inflation expectations implied by the model, lending support to the view that TIPS breakeven inflation rates are a useful proxy for inflation expectations.
Tips from TIPS
Author: Stefania D'AmicoPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 88
Book Description
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are frequently thought of as risk-free real bonds. Using no-arbitrage term structure models, we show that TIPS yields exceeded risk-free real yields by as much as 100 basis points when TIPS were first issued and up to 300 basis points during the recent financial crisis. This spread reflects predominantly the poorer liquidity of TIPS relative to nominal Treasury securities. Other factors, including the indexation lag and the embedded deflation protection in TIPS, play a much smaller role. Ignoring this spread also significantly distorts the informational content of TIPS breakeven inflation, a widely-used proxy for expected inflation.
Inflation Indexing of Government Securities
Author: United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee. Subcommittee on Trade, Productivity, and Economic GrowthPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government securities
Languages : en
Pages : 96
Book Description
Inflation Expectations
Author: Peter J. N. SinclairPublisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135179778
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402
Book Description
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
Inflation-indexed Securities
Author: Mark DeaconPublisher: Prentice Hall PTR
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 258
Book Description
The entry of the USA into the index-linked bond market has heightened the demand for more complex information about these instruments. This text aims to help the readers understand securities, the motivation of both issuers and of investors, and how their value compares to one another.
Treasury Inflation-Indexed Securities Provide Protection Against Inflation
Author: Walter J. ReinhartPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
A challenge faced by investors as interest rates eventually rise in response to inflationary pressure is how they maintain value and purchasing power. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are a debt instrument offered to protect against inflation. This article describes TIPS, reviews their risk return profile, explains tax considerations, provides several numerical examples, and briefly discusses investment/portfolio factors. The tax treatment of TIPS consists of two components: (1) the taxation of semiannual interest payments, and (2) the taxation of inflation/deflation adjustments to principal. Because TIPS are issued at par and interest is unconditionally payable in cash at least annually at a single fixed rate (called qualified stated interest), they meet the criteria for the more simplified coupon bond method specified by the Treasury regulations. The tax implications negate some of the certainty of inflation protection if they are held in taxable accounts.
Understanding Treasury Inflation Protected Securties
Author: Inflation-indexed Securities
Author: Mark DeaconPublisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470868988
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 360
Book Description
The global market for inflation-indexed securities has ballooned in recent years, and this trend is set to continue. This book examines the rationale behind issuance and investment decisions, and details the issues facing anyone who designs indexed securities, illustrating them wherever possible with actual examples from the international capital markets. In particular, an extensive review of indexed debt markets throughout the world is provided - including for the first time, a comprehensive and consistent set of cash flow and price-yield equations for the instruments already in existence in the major bond markets - forming an important reference for those already experienced in the field, as well as practitioners and academics approaching the subject for the first time. The book also provides unique insight into the development of inflation-indexed derivative products, and the analytical tools required to value such instruments.
Using the Treasury Nominal and Inflation-indexed Spread to Estimate Expected Long-run Changes in the CPI-U Under Inflation Uncertainty, Risk Aversion, and Probability of Deflation
Author: Angelo MascaroPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumer price indexes
Languages : en
Pages : 22
Book Description
Yield spreads between rates on Treasury nominal and inflation-indexed securities are thought to be distorted measures of expected inflation because of various biases. Three sources of bias are investigated in this paper: risk aversion, inflation uncertainty, and failure to account for the explicit option on the redemption value of the Treasury's inflation-indexed security when there is a probability of deflation. The analysis produces estimates of all three biases. It finds that significant bias could arise from the second and third sources, while any bias from the first source appears negligible.