Have World, Country and Industry Risk Changed Over Time? An Investigation of the Developed Stock Markets Volatility

Have World, Country and Industry Risk Changed Over Time? An Investigation of the Developed Stock Markets Volatility PDF Author: Miguel A. Ferreira
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42

Book Description
This paper uses a volatility decomposition method to study the time series behavior of equity volatility at the world, country and local industry levels. Between 1974 and 2001 there is no noticeable long-term trend in any of the volatility measures. Then in the 1990s, there is a sharp increase in local industry volatility compared to market and country volatility. Thus, correlations among local industries have declined. More assets are needed to achieve a given level of diversification, and there is more of a penalty for not being well diversified by industry. Local industry volatility leads the other volatility measures.

Global Investigation on the Country-Level Idiosyncratic Volatility and Its Determinants

Global Investigation on the Country-Level Idiosyncratic Volatility and Its Determinants PDF Author: Mustafa Onur Caglayan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 57

Book Description
Adapting the Fama-French three-factor model to a global context, this paper investigates idiosyncratic volatility as a measure of country-specific risk, and explores its determinants by using the equity and risk data of 47 developed and emerging countries during the period 1995-2016. We find the stock market turnover to have a positive and significant impact on the country-level idiosyncratic volatility, while information disclosure and investor uncertainty avoidance degree are negatively associated with country-level idiosyncratic risk. Moreover, improvements in economic, financial, and political risks, as measured by GDP growth, FX stability, foreign debt health, and non-corruption degree decrease the country-level idiosyncratic volatility significantly. Among all sets of market structure, investor preference, and economic, financial, and political risk variables considered, we find financial risk factors, FX stability and foreign debt health, to have the highest explanatory power over the cross-sectional differences in country-level idiosyncratic risk.

International Finance

International Finance PDF Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199754659
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 701

Book Description
Understanding the current state of affairs and tools available in the study of international finance is increasingly important as few areas in finance can be divorced completely from international issues. International Finance reflects the new diversity of interest in international finance by bringing together a set of chapters that summarizes and synthesizes developments to date in the many and varied areas that are now viewed as having international content. The book attempts to differentiate between what is known, what is believed, and what is still being debated about international finance. The survey nature of this book involves tradeoffs that inevitably had to be made in the process given the vast footprint that constitutes international finance. No single book can cover everything. This book, however, tries to maintain a balance between the micro and macro aspects of international finance. Although each chapter is self-contained, the chapters form a logical whole that follows a logical sequence. The book is organized into five broad categories of interest: (1) exchange rates and risk management, (2) international financial markets and institutions, (3) international investing, (4) international financial management, and (5) special topics. The chapters cover market integration, financial crisis, and the links between financial markets and development in some detail as they relate to these areas. In each instance, the contributors to this book discuss developments in the field to date and explain the importance of each area to finance as a field of study. Consequently, the strategic focus of the book is both broad and narrow, depending on the reader's needs. The entire book provides a broad picture of the current state of international finance, but a reader with more focused interests will find individual chapters illuminating on specific topics.

Stock Market Volatility and Corporate Investment

Stock Market Volatility and Corporate Investment PDF Author: Zuliu Hu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451852584
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

Book Description
Despite concerns are often voiced on the so called “excess volatility” of the stock market, little is known about the implications of market volatility for the real economy. This paper examines whether the stock market volatility affects real fixed investment. The empirical evidence obtained from the US data shows that market volatility has independent effects on investment over and above that of stock returns. Volatility and its changes are negatively related to investment growth. To the extent volatility depresses fixed capital formation and hence future income growth, the results suggest the desirability of reducing stock market volatility.

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics PDF Author: Seungho Jung
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1557759677
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

Book Description
We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Multinational Finance

Multinational Finance PDF Author: Kirt C. Butler
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118282760
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 704

Book Description
An in-depth treatment of the international financial arena Multinational Finance, Fifth Edition assumes the viewpoint of the financial manager of a multinational corporation with investment or financial operations in more than one country. This book provides a framework for evaluating the many opportunities, costs, and risks of multinational operations in a manner that allows readers to see beyond the math and terminology surrounding this field to realize the general principles of multinational financial management. Logically organized and written in a clear, non-technical style, this book includes information on international finance topics such as foreign exchange, currency and derivatives markets, currency risk (transaction, operating, and translation) management, country risk, international taxation, capital structure, cost of capital, and international portfolio diversification. It also offers unique chapters on multinational treasury management, the rationale for hedging currency risks, options on real assets, international corporate governance, asset pricing, and portfolio management. Emphasizes the managerial aspects of multinational finance with graphs, figures, and the use of numerous real-world examples Expands on the treatment of parity disequilibria to include exchange rate expectations that differ from parity and a project's operating exposure to currency risk Provides an overview and comparison of the various derivative instruments and their use in risk hedging Contains valuable insights on valuation and management of a multinational corporation's investments If you're looking for the best way to gain a firm understanding of multinational finance, look no further than the fifth edition of this classic text.

Advances in Financial Planning and Forecasting

Advances in Financial Planning and Forecasting PDF Author: Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher: Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press
ISBN: 9868430763
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 302

Book Description
Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the quantitative analysis of finance and accounting. The publication is a forum for statistical and quantitative analyses of issues in finance and accounting as well as applications of quantitative methods to problems in financial management, financial accounting, and business management. The objective is to promote interaction between academic research in finance and accounting and applied research in the financial community and the accounting profession. The papers in this volume cover a wide range of topics including corporate finance and debt management, earnings management, equity market, auditing, option pricing theory, and interest rate theory. In this volume there are eleven chapters, five of them are corporate finance and debt management: 1. Liquidity and Adverse Selection: Evidence from the Five-or-Fewer Rule Change; 2. Changing Business Environment and the Value of Relevance of Accounting Information; 3. Pricing Risky Securities in Hidden Markov-Modulated Poisson Processes; 4. An Empirical Assessment of Alternative Dividend Expectation Models; 5. Quantitative Market Risk Disclosure, Bond Default Risk and The Cost of Debt: Why Value At Risk? There are two of the other six chapters which cover interest rate theory: 1. Positive Interest Rates and Yields: Additional Serious Considerations; 2. Collapse of Dimensionality in the Interest Rate Term Structure. The remaining four chapters cover financial analysts earnings forecasts, equity market, auditing, and option pricing theory. These four papers are: 1. Investors’ Apparent Under-weighting of Financial Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts: The Role of Share Price Scaling and Omitted Risk Factors; 2. Predicting Stock Price by Applying the Residual Income Model and Bayesian Statistics; 3. Intertemporal Associations Between Non-Audit Services and Auditors’ Tendency to Allow Discretionary Accruals; 4. Put Option Portfolio Insurance vs. Asset Allocation.

Business Cycles

Business Cycles PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 9780691012186
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 442

Book Description
Table of Contents

Size, Risk, and Governance in European Banking

Size, Risk, and Governance in European Banking PDF Author: Jens Hagendorff
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191664723
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 276

Book Description
The financial crisis that erupted in 2007 has brought the issues of the size, risk, and regulation of banks to the attention of a wide audience. It is difficult to open a broadsheet newspaper or a business magazine without being confronted with some aspect of bank behaviour, be it their risk levels, bankers' excessive rewards, the intertwining of bank and sovereign risk, or how they should be regulated to avoid problems in the future. In Europe, the recent and on-going crisis has demonstrated that the European Union (EU) was institutionally ill-prepared to manage a financial crisis, especially one involving large cross-border institutions which are systemically important to a number of countries. This book aims at integrating and synthesizing the various perspectives on the size, risk, and governance of banking as applied to the European markets, providing fresh insights and new analysis of the empirical data. The book is divided into three main sections. The first provides an overview of how the size of banking firms affects stability in the European banking sector, reviewing the quantitative empirical literature and offering new insights as to whether bank size motivates risk-taking where explicit or implicit 'too-big-to fail' policies shield bank creditors from market discipline. The next section discusses the debates relating to each of the different elements of risk in European banking, including new insights from a large dataset of European bank risk in different institutional contexts. The third section focuses on regulation, board monitoring, and opacity in European banking, employing a unique and hand collected dataset on the governance of European banks, as well as data on U.S. banks as a benchmark. The final chapter critically reviews the new insights gained from the chapters above, while offering policy implications as regards the role of size, risk and governance in European banking.

Have European Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Investigation of Volatilities and Correlations in Emu Equity Markets at the Firm, Industry and Market Level

Have European Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Investigation of Volatilities and Correlations in Emu Equity Markets at the Firm, Industry and Market Level PDF Author: Colm Kearney
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35

Book Description
We examine the dynamics of idiosyncratic risk, market risk and return correlations in European equity markets using weekly observations from 3515 stocks listed in the Euro-area stock markets in the period 1974-2004. Similarly to Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel and Xu (2001), we find an increase in idiosyncratic volatility, implying that it now takes more stocks to diversify away idiosyncratic risk. Contrary to their findings, however, market risk is trended upwards and correlations among the stocks are only mildly trended downwards. Market volatility tends to lead the other volatility measures in EMU markets whereas idiosyncratic volatility leads in the US ones. Both the volatility and the correlation measures increase at times of low market returns implying a skewed market portfolio return distribution. We suggest a number of implications of these findings for portfolio management, trading and asset pricing.