Investment under Uncertainty

Investment under Uncertainty PDF Author: Robert K. Dixit
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400830176
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 484

Book Description
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Growth of Firms Under Uncertainty

Growth of Firms Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ashoka Mody
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 314

Book Description


The Firm Under Uncertainty

The Firm Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ren-Raw Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description
Our paper models and empirically tests the production behavior of firms operating under uncertainty. The study compares firms operating in perfect competition with those producing with product market power. Our model predicts that both types of companies produce less under uncertainty from the cost of risk. In addition, our model predicts that companies with market power have a greater market value, face more product market uncertainty, use less leverage but have similar levels of default risk as firms operating under perfect competition. We empirically test our model by comparing manufacturing firms that operate in close to perfect market competition having little product differentiation and operating in low concentrated industries versus those that have product market power using advertising and/or Ramp;D and operating in highly concentrated industries. The empirical evidence supports our hypotheses.We also model and empirically investigate the effect of the quot;option against valuequot; on the firm's performance that occurs to companies when the real product market changes greatly reduce or even eliminates firms' product markets. Long, Wang and Zhang (2006) originally presented this idea and tested it with the machine tool industry to investigate dynamic downward changes in real product markets and the resulting affect on individual firms' values. We also find that smaller companies, those with less capital market following are more likely to experience a product market shift going out of business. This is even after we controlled the default probability estimates based on Merton's Equity Option Pricing.

Uncertainty Advantage

Uncertainty Advantage PDF Author: Gary S. Lynch
Publisher: Archway Publishing
ISBN: 1480839388
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 176

Book Description
Risk and uncertainty may sound scary, but todays best business leaders are navigating both to gain strategic advantage over competitorsand you can, too. This guide for business leaders examines risk and opportunity through the lens of some of the worlds most respected visionaries, including Howard Schultz, Andy Grove, Peter Huntsman, John Krafcik, Peter Leibinger, Doug Hepper, and many more. These visionaries looked beyond financial performance to see opportunitiesand they did so by understanding uncertainty. Then, they decisively acted to create measurable results that coincided with the future they envisioned. Find out how they did it, and learn how to: identify, define, and convert uncertainty into value; become more opportunistic when facing uncertainty; develop the skill to spot where advantages are likely to emerge; and create an environment where managers and leaders complement each other. Filled with case studies on companies such as Hyundai, Starbucks, Roche, and Intel, this guide delivers proven ways to create value and leverage uncertainty. It is the culmination of a decade of research and interaction with dozens of companies and growth leaders who prove that pursuing a market driven strategy to navigating uncertainty will gain measurable market advantage.

Investment Under Uncertainty

Investment Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Robert K. Dixit
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 483

Book Description
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are mad.

Managing Uncertainty

Managing Uncertainty PDF Author: Michel Syrett
Publisher: The Economist
ISBN: 1610395131
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224

Book Description
Managing uncertainty has become a new business imperative. Technological discontinuities, regulatory upheavals, geopolitical shocks, abrupt shifts in consumer tastes or behavior, and many other factors have emerged or intensified in recent years and together conspire to undermine even the most carefully constructed business strategies. Managing Uncertainty: Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in Turbulent Times addresses these new challenges, assessing the sources of business turbulence, how to classify uncertainty, and the different ways in which uncertainty can be embraced to allow greater innovation and growth. Drawing on examples from around the world, the book presents the most recent ideas on what it means to manage uncertainty, from practitioners, academics, and consultants. Addresses the challenges of managing uncertainty in business Presents a step-by-step guide to managing business uncertainty Draws examples from major international companies, including Intel, Procter & Gamble, Siemens, Boeing, Quinetiq, Philips, China Telecom, Ford, Apple, Shell, Glaxo SmithKline and many more Written for business leaders and managers looking for new ways to ensure that their businesses continue to thrive in a world of increasing complexity, Managing Uncertainty presents new and innovative ideas about reducing risk by understanding difficult-to-predict shifts.

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit PDF Author: Frank H. Knight
Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN: 1602060053
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 401

Book Description
A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.

Uncertainty and the Employment Dynamics of Small and Large Businesses

Uncertainty and the Employment Dynamics of Small and Large Businesses PDF Author: Vivek Ghosal
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475552513
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49

Book Description
We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters, and regressionbased forecasting models for GDP growth, inflation, S&P500 stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that greater uncertainty has a negative impact on growth of employment, and the effects are primarily felt by the relatively smaller businesses; the impact on large businesses are generally non-existent or weaker. Our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on employment dynamics, we need to focus on the relatively smaller and entrepreneurial businesses. We discuss implications for the framing of economic policy.

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Change

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Change PDF Author: Harvard Business Review
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
ISBN: 1422158004
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 222

Book Description
Business.

Investment Under Uncertainty and Financial Market Development

Investment Under Uncertainty and Financial Market Development PDF Author: Sergio Lehmann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description