Graphical Models in Time Series Analysis PDF Download

Author: Michael Eichler
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783933214522
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 117

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Author: David Barber
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521196760
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 432

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Book Description
The first unified treatment of time series modelling techniques spanning machine learning, statistics, engineering and computer science.

Author: Granville Tunnicliffe Wilson
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420011502
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 320

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Book Description
Models for Dependent Time Series addresses the issues that arise and the methodology that can be applied when the dependence between time series is described and modeled. Whether you work in the economic, physical, or life sciences, the book shows you how to draw meaningful, applicable, and statistically valid conclusions from multivariate (or vect

Author: Daphne Koller
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262258358
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 1270

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Book Description
A general framework for constructing and using probabilistic models of complex systems that would enable a computer to use available information for making decisions. Most tasks require a person or an automated system to reason—to reach conclusions based on available information. The framework of probabilistic graphical models, presented in this book, provides a general approach for this task. The approach is model-based, allowing interpretable models to be constructed and then manipulated by reasoning algorithms. These models can also be learned automatically from data, allowing the approach to be used in cases where manually constructing a model is difficult or even impossible. Because uncertainty is an inescapable aspect of most real-world applications, the book focuses on probabilistic models, which make the uncertainty explicit and provide models that are more faithful to reality. Probabilistic Graphical Models discusses a variety of models, spanning Bayesian networks, undirected Markov networks, discrete and continuous models, and extensions to deal with dynamical systems and relational data. For each class of models, the text describes the three fundamental cornerstones: representation, inference, and learning, presenting both basic concepts and advanced techniques. Finally, the book considers the use of the proposed framework for causal reasoning and decision making under uncertainty. The main text in each chapter provides the detailed technical development of the key ideas. Most chapters also include boxes with additional material: skill boxes, which describe techniques; case study boxes, which discuss empirical cases related to the approach described in the text, including applications in computer vision, robotics, natural language understanding, and computational biology; and concept boxes, which present significant concepts drawn from the material in the chapter. Instructors (and readers) can group chapters in various combinations, from core topics to more technically advanced material, to suit their particular needs.

Author: Søren Bisgaard
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118056957
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
An intuition-based approach enables you to master time series analysis with ease Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example provides the fundamental techniques in time series analysis using various examples. By introducing necessary theory through examples that showcase the discussed topics, the authors successfully help readers develop an intuitive understanding of seemingly complicated time series models and their implications. The book presents methodologies for time series analysis in a simplified, example-based approach. Using graphics, the authors discuss each presented example in detail and explain the relevant theory while also focusing on the interpretation of results in data analysis. Following a discussion of why autocorrelation is often observed when data is collected in time, subsequent chapters explore related topics, including: Graphical tools in time series analysis Procedures for developing stationary, non-stationary, and seasonal models How to choose the best time series model Constant term and cancellation of terms in ARIMA models Forecasting using transfer function-noise models The final chapter is dedicated to key topics such as spurious relationships, autocorrelation in regression, and multiple time series. Throughout the book, real-world examples illustrate step-by-step procedures and instructions using statistical software packages such as SAS, JMP, Minitab, SCA, and R. A related Web site features PowerPoint slides to accompany each chapter as well as the book's data sets. With its extensive use of graphics and examples to explain key concepts, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example is an excellent book for courses on time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. it also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners and researchers who carry out data and time series analysis in the fields of engineering, business, and economics.

Author: Marianna Bolla
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000392392
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 318

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Book Description
This book gives a brief survey of the theory of multidimensional (multivariate), weakly stationary time series, with emphasis on dimension reduction and prediction. Understanding the covered material requires a certain mathematical maturity, a degree of knowledge in probability theory, linear algebra, and also in real, complex and functional analysis. For this, the cited literature and the Appendix contain all necessary material. The main tools of the book include harmonic analysis, some abstract algebra, and state space methods: linear time-invariant filters, factorization of rational spectral densities, and methods that reduce the rank of the spectral density matrix. Serves to find analogies between classical results (Cramer, Wold, Kolmogorov, Wiener, Kálmán, Rozanov) and up-to-date methods for dimension reduction in multidimensional time series Provides a unified treatment for time and frequency domain inferences by using machinery of complex and harmonic analysis, spectral and Smith--McMillan decompositions. Establishes analogies between the time and frequency domain notions and calculations Discusses the Wold's decomposition and the Kolmogorov's classification together, by distinguishing between different types of singularities. Understanding the remote past helps us to characterize the ideal situation where there is a regular part at present. Examples and constructions are also given Establishes a common outline structure for the state space models, prediction, and innovation algorithms with unified notions and principles, which is applicable to real-life high frequency time series It is an ideal companion for graduate students studying the theory of multivariate time series and researchers working in this field.

Author: Jing Wang
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811680442
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 277

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Book Description
This open access book assesses the potential of data-driven methods in industrial process monitoring engineering. The process modeling, fault detection, classification, isolation, and reasoning are studied in detail. These methods can be used to improve the safety and reliability of industrial processes. Fault diagnosis, including fault detection and reasoning, has attracted engineers and scientists from various fields such as control, machinery, mathematics, and automation engineering. Combining the diagnosis algorithms and application cases, this book establishes a basic framework for this topic and implements various statistical analysis methods for process monitoring. This book is intended for senior undergraduate and graduate students who are interested in fault diagnosis technology, researchers investigating automation and industrial security, professional practitioners and engineers working on engineering modeling and data processing applications. This is an open access book.

Author: Peter J. Green
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780198510550
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 536

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Book Description
Through this text, the author aims to make recent developments in the title subject (a modern strategy for the creation of statistical models to solve 'real world' problems) accessible to graduate students and researchers in the field of statistics.

Author: Michael Irwin Jordan
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262600422
Category : Artificial intelligence
Languages : en
Pages : 450

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Book Description
This book exemplifies the interplay between the general formal framework of graphical models and the exploration of new algorithm and architectures. The selections range from foundational papers of historical importance to results at the cutting edge of research. Graphical models use graphs to represent and manipulate joint probability distributions. They have their roots in artificial intelligence, statistics, and neural networks. The clean mathematical formalism of the graphical models framework makes it possible to understand a wide variety of network-based approaches to computation, and in particular to understand many neural network algorithms and architectures as instances of a broader probabilistic methodology. It also makes it possible to identify novel features of neural network algorithms and architectures and to extend them to more general graphical models.This book exemplifies the interplay between the general formal framework of graphical models and the exploration of new algorithms and architectures. The selections range from foundational papers of historical importance to results at the cutting edge of research. Contributors H. Attias, C. M. Bishop, B. J. Frey, Z. Ghahramani, D. Heckerman, G. E. Hinton, R. Hofmann, R. A. Jacobs, Michael I. Jordan, H. J. Kappen, A. Krogh, R. Neal, S. K. Riis, F. B. Rodríguez, L. K. Saul, Terrence J. Sejnowski, P. Smyth, M. E. Tipping, V. Tresp, Y. Weiss

Author: Raquel Prado
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420093363
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 375

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Book Description
Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using simulation-based methods for inference, Time Series: Modeling, Computation, and Inference integrates mainstream approaches for time series modeling with significant recent developments in methodology and applications of time series analysis. It encompasses a graduate-level account of Bayesian time series modeling and analysis, a broad range of references to state-of-the-art approaches to univariate and multivariate time series analysis, and emerging topics at research frontiers. The book presents overviews of several classes of models and related methodology for inference, statistical computation for model fitting and assessment, and forecasting. The authors also explore the connections between time- and frequency-domain approaches and develop various models and analyses using Bayesian tools, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. They illustrate the models and methods with examples and case studies from a variety of fields, including signal processing, biomedicine, and finance. Data sets, R and MATLAB® code, and other material are available on the authors’ websites. Along with core models and methods, this text offers sophisticated tools for analyzing challenging time series problems. It also demonstrates the growth of time series analysis into new application areas.