Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates PDF Download

Author: Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451853750
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 76

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Book Description
The use of forward interest rates as a monetary policy indicator is demonstrated, using Sweden 1992-1994 as an example. The forward rates are interpreted as indicating market expectations of the time-path of future interest rates, future inflation rates, and future currency depreciation rates. They separate market expectations for the short-, medium-, and long-term more easily than the standard yield curve. Forward rates are estimated with an extended and more flexible version of Nelson and Siegel’s functional form.

Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484395212
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
For about three decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely—even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial drivers of the variation in CIP deviations have also become significant. The variation in CIP deviations seems to be associated with multiple factors, not only regulatory changes. Most of these do not display a uniform importance across currency pairs and time, and some are associated with possible temporary considerations (such as asynchronous monetary policy cycles).

Author: Ronald MacDonald
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134801254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 465

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Book Description
First published in 2007. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence is the second edition of Floating Exchange Rates: Theories and Evidence, and builds on the successful content and structure of the previous edition, but has been comprehensively updated and expanded to include additional literature on the determination of both fixed and floating exchange rates. Core topics covered include: • the purchasing power parity hypothesis and the PPP puzzle; • the monetary and portfolio-balance approaches to exchange rates; • the new open economy macroeconomics approach to exchange rates; and • the determination of exchange rates in target zone models and speculative attack models. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence also includes extensive discussion of recent econometric work on exchange rates with a particular focus on equilibrium exchange rates and measuring exchange rate misalignment, as well as discussion on the non-fundamentals-based approaches to exchange rate behaviour, such as the market microstructure approach. The book will appeal to academics and postgraduate students with an interest in all aspects of international finance and will also be of interest to practitioners concerned with issues relating to equilibrium exchange rates and the forecastability of currencies in terms of macroeconomic fundamentals.

Author: John F. Bilson
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226050998
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 542

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Book Description
This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.

Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451975007
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical literature in acting as if all market participants share the same expectation. The second half then addresses the possibility of heterogeneous expectations, particularly the distinction between “chartists” and “fundamentalists,” and the implications for trading in the foreign exchange market and for the formation of speculative bubbles.

Author: Marno Verbeek
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470517697
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 489

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Book Description
This revised and updated edition of A Guide to Modern Econometrics continues to explore a wide range of topics in modern econometrics by focusing on what is important for doing and understanding empirical work. It serves as a guide to alternative techniques with the emphasis on the intuition behind the approaches and their practical relevance. New material includes Monte Carlo studies, weak instruments, nonstationary panels, count data, duration models and the estimation of treatment effects. Features of this book include: Coverage of a wide range of topics, including time series analysis, cointegration, limited dependent variables, panel data analysis and the generalized method of moments Empirical examples drawn from a wide variety of fields including labour economics, finance, international economics, environmental economics and macroeconomics. End-of-chapter exercises review key concepts in light of empirical examples.

Author: Adam S. Iqbal
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030935558
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 246

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Book Description
One of the great challenges that many participants in foreign exchange (FX) markets face is sifting through the often overwhelming amount of information that is available. Media outlets stream updates on international politics, economics, and other factors that move FX prices twenty-four hours a day. It is difficult to work out what is and what is not important. This book helps its reader overcome these challenges by combining the insights gained from a market practitioner who has traded FX at Goldman Sachs, PIMCO, and Barclays Investment Bank, with textbook-level modern financial macroeconomic theory. The book covers macroeconomics relating to exchange rate determination. While you could obtain this information from a disparate set of sources―textbooks, academic literature, industry research notes, conversations with other market practitioners, and theories cited in media reports―this book brings all of these sources together to translate the information into concrete FX views that are firmly rooted in the macroeconomic theory of risk premiums, interest rates, and inflation, among other topics. The book promotes time consistent thought that avoids the daily temptation to jump from that day’s economic narrative to the next. Of particular interest to buy- and sell-side industry practitioners, finance and economics graduate students, academics, and others interested in FX markets, this book teaches its readers how to do this and improve their own trading and understanding of the FX markets.

Author: Michael Melvin
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128041072
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 345

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Book Description
International Money and Finance, Ninth Edition presents an institutional and historical overview of international finance and international money, illustrating how key economic concepts can illuminate real world problems. With three substantially revised chapters, and all chapters updated, it functions as a finance book that includes an international macroeconomics perspective in its final section. It emphasizes the newest trends in research, neatly defining the intersection of macro and finance. Successfully used worldwide in both finance and economics departments at both undergraduate and graduate levels, the book features current data, revised test banks, and sharp insights about the practical implications of decision-making. - Includes current events, such as the LIBOR and Greek crises - increases emphasis on countries other than the US - Minimizes prerequisites to encourage use by students from varied backgrounds

Author: Jae K. Shim
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420025597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 335

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Book Description
The Encyclopedic Dictionary of International Finance and Banking is a practical reference of proven techniques, strategies, and approaches. It covers virtually all important topics dealing with multinational business finance, money, investments, financial planning, financial economics, and banking. In addition, it explores the application of comput

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages : 212

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Book Description