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Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Financial Modeling, fourth edition

Financial Modeling, fourth edition PDF Author: Simon Benninga
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026232170X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1143

Book Description
A substantially revised edition of a bestselling text combining explanation and implementation using Excel; for classroom use or as a reference for finance practitioners. Financial Modeling is now the standard text for explaining the implementation of financial models in Excel. This long-awaited fourth edition maintains the “cookbook” features and Excel dependence that have made the previous editions so popular. As in previous editions, basic and advanced models in the areas of corporate finance, portfolio management, options, and bonds are explained with detailed Excel spreadsheets. Sections on technical aspects of Excel and on the use of Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) round out the book to make Financial Modeling a complete guide for the financial modeler. The new edition of Financial Modeling includes a number of innovations. A new section explains the principles of Monte Carlo methods and their application to portfolio management and exotic option valuation. A new chapter discusses term structure modeling, with special emphasis on the Nelson-Siegel model. The discussion of corporate valuation using pro forma models has been rounded out with the introduction of a new, simple model for corporate valuation based on accounting data and a minimal number of valuation parameters. New print copies of this book include a card affixed to the inside back cover with a unique access code. Access codes are required to download Excel worksheets and solutions to end-of-chapter exercises. If you have a used copy of this book, you may purchase a digitally-delivered access code separately via the Supplemental Material link on this page. If you purchased an e-book, you may obtain a unique access code by emailing [email protected] or calling 617-253-2889 or 800-207-8354 (toll-free in the U.S. and Canada). Praise for earlier editions “Financial Modeling belongs on the desk of every finance professional. Its no-nonsense, hands-on approach makes it an indispensable tool.” —Hal R. Varian, Dean, School of Information Management and Systems, University of California, Berkeley “Financial Modeling is highly recommended to readers who are interested in an introduction to basic, traditional approaches to financial modeling and analysis, as well as to those who want to learn more about applying spreadsheet software to financial analysis." —Edward Weiss, Journal of Computational Intelligence in Finance “Benninga has a clear writing style and uses numerous illustrations, which make this book one of the best texts on using Excel for finance that I've seen.” —Ed McCarthy, Ticker Magazine

Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates

Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Zurab Kotchlamazashvili
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN: 3832538739
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 210

Book Description
The information about the properties and dynamics of term structure and its modeling hold tremendous interest for financial practitioners and policymakers alike. Accurate forecasting of the term structure of interest rates also plays a very important role for many reasons, particularly for bond portfolio and risk management, hedging derivatives, monetary and debt policy. The present dissertation contains the empirical research for the EU term structure of interest rates. The data analyzed here cover a time series based on the Euro and currencies of other six EU countries. The goal is to examine empirical properties and analyze in-sample and out-of-sample results for corresponding spot rates using 15 competitor GARCH(1,1) models with different distributional assumptions. Alltogether, the work summarizes 1680 x GARCH(1,1) in-sample and over 60000 x GARCH(1,1) out-of-sample estimation results. Moreover, the dissertation consists of 48 figures and 98 tables.

Term Structure of Interest Rates

Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Burton Gordon Malkiel
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400879787
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 294

Book Description
Can expectations alone explain the yield differentials among bonds of different maturities? To what extend do attitudes toward risk and transactions costs influence the behavior of bond investors? Is it possible for the Federal Reserve to "twist" the interest-rate structure in accordance with its policy objectives? These are among the questions treated. Originally published in 1966. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Handbook of Economic Forecasting PDF Author: Graham Elliott
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444627405
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 667

Book Description
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Interest Rate Models, Asset Allocation and Quantitative Techniques for Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds

Interest Rate Models, Asset Allocation and Quantitative Techniques for Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds PDF Author: A. Berkelaar
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230251293
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 401

Book Description
This edited volume contains essential readings for financial analysts and market practitioners working at Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds. It presents the reader with state-of-the-art methods that are directly implementable, and industry 'best-practices' as followed by leading institutions in their field.

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards PDF Author:
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 9291316695
Category : Bank capital
Languages : en
Pages : 294

Book Description


Financial Economics

Financial Economics PDF Author: Antonio Mele
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262046849
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1147

Book Description
A comprehensive reference for financial economics, balancing theoretical explanations, empirical evidence, and the practical relevance of knowledge in the field. This volume offers a comprehensive, integrated treatment of financial economics, tracking the major milestones in the field and providing methodological tools. Doing so, it balances theoretical explanations, empirical evidence, and practical relevance. It illustrates nearly a century of theoretical advances with a vast array of models, showing how real phenomena (and, at times, market practice) have helped economists reformulate existing theories. Throughout, the book offers examples and solved problems that help readers understand the main lessons conveyed by the models analyzed. The book provides a unique and authoritative reference for the field of financial economics. Part I offers the foundations of the field, introducing asset evaluation, information problems in asset markets and corporate finance, and methods of statistical inference. Part II explains the main empirical facts and the challenges these pose for financial economists, which include excess price volatility, market liquidity, market dysfunctionalities, and the countercyclical behavior of market volatility. Part III covers the main instruments that protect institutions against the volatilities and uncertainties of capital markets described in part II. Doing so, it relies on models that have become the market standard, and incorporates practices that emerged from the 2007–2008 financial crisis.

Computer and Information Sciences - ISCIS 2005

Computer and Information Sciences - ISCIS 2005 PDF Author: Pinar Yolum
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3540320857
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 992

Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 20th International Symposium on Computer and Information Sciences, ISCIS 2005, held in Istanbul, Turkey in October 2005. The 92 revised full papers presented together with 4 invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 491 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on computer networks, sensor and satellite networks, security and cryptography, performance evaluation, e-commerce and Web services, multiagent systems, machine learning, information retrieval and natural language processing, image and speech processing, algorithms and database systems, as well as theory of computing.

Journal of Economic Literature

Journal of Economic Literature PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 806

Book Description