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Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter PDF Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521405737
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 574

Book Description
A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter PDF Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521405737
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 574

Book Description
A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models & the Kalman Filter

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models & the Kalman Filter PDF Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781107715905
Category : Electronic books
Languages : en
Pages : 573

Book Description
This book provides a synthesis of concepts and materials that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presenting a comprehensive review of both theoretical and applied concepts. Perhaps the most novel feature of the book is its use of Kalman filtering together with econometric and time series methodology. From a technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. This technique was originally developed in control engineering but is becoming increasingly important in economics and operations research. The book is primarily concerned with modeling economic and social time series and with addressing the special problems that the treatment of such series pose.

Time Series Models

Time Series Models PDF Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 250

Book Description
Stationary stochastic process and their properties in the time domain; The frequency domain; State space models and the kalman filter; Estimation of autoregressive moving average models; Model building and prediction; Selected topics in time series regression.

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods PDF Author: James Durbin
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019964117X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 369

Book Description
This is a comprehensive treatment of the state space approach to time series analysis. A distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that observations are regarded as made up of distinct components, which are each modelled separately.

Time Series Models

Time Series Models PDF Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher: Financial Times/Prentice Hall
ISBN: 9780745012001
Category : Time-series analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 308

Book Description
A companion volume to The Econometric Analysis of Time series, this book focuses on the estimation, testing and specification of dynamic models which are not based on any behavioural theory. It covers univariate and multivariate time series and emphasizes autoregressive moving-average processes.

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods PDF Author: James Durbin
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 9780198523543
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

Book Description
State space time series analysis emerged in the 1960s in engineering, but its applications have spread to other fields. Durbin (statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science) and Koopman (econometrics, Free U., Amsterdam) extol the virtues of such models over the main analytical system currently used for time series data, Box-Jenkins' ARIMA. What distinguishes state space time models is that they separately model components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms. Part I focuses on traditional and new techniques based on the linear Gaussian model. Part II presents new material extending the state space model to non-Gaussian observations. c. Book News Inc.

Investigation of the Structural Properties of Kalman Filter Models for Forecasting Non-stationary Time Series

Investigation of the Structural Properties of Kalman Filter Models for Forecasting Non-stationary Time Series PDF Author: Janice Margaret Stone
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 440

Book Description


Time Series and Dynamic Models

Time Series and Dynamic Models PDF Author: Christian Gourieroux
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521411467
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 686

Book Description
In this book Christian Gourieroux and Alain Monfort provide an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis of modern time series econometrics. They have succeeded in synthesising in an organised and integrated way a broad and diverse literature. While the book does not assume a deep knowledge of economics, one of its most attractive features is the close attention it pays to economic models and phenomena throughout. The coverage represents a major reference tool for graduate students, researchers and applied economists. The book is divided into four sections. Section one gives a detailed treatment of classical seasonal adjustment or smoothing methods. Section two provides a thorough coverage of various mathematical tools. Section three is the heart of the book, and is devoted to a range of important topics including causality, exogeneity shocks, multipliers, cointegration and fractionally integrated models. The final section describes the main contribution of filtering and smoothing theory to time series econometric problems.

Linear Time Series with MATLAB and OCTAVE

Linear Time Series with MATLAB and OCTAVE PDF Author: Víctor Gómez
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030207900
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 355

Book Description
This book presents an introduction to linear univariate and multivariate time series analysis, providing brief theoretical insights into each topic, and from the beginning illustrating the theory with software examples. As such, it quickly introduces readers to the peculiarities of each subject from both theoretical and the practical points of view. It also includes numerous examples and real-world applications that demonstrate how to handle different types of time series data. The associated software package, SSMMATLAB, is written in MATLAB and also runs on the free OCTAVE platform. The book focuses on linear time series models using a state space approach, with the Kalman filter and smoother as the main tools for model estimation, prediction and signal extraction. A chapter on state space models describes these tools and provides examples of their use with general state space models. Other topics discussed in the book include ARIMA; and transfer function and structural models; as well as signal extraction using the canonical decomposition in the univariate case, and VAR, VARMA, cointegrated VARMA, VARX, VARMAX, and multivariate structural models in the multivariate case. It also addresses spectral analysis, the use of fixed filters in a model-based approach, and automatic model identification procedures for ARIMA and transfer function models in the presence of outliers, interventions, complex seasonal patterns and other effects like Easter, trading day, etc. This book is intended for both students and researchers in various fields dealing with time series. The software provides numerous automatic procedures to handle common practical situations, but at the same time, readers with programming skills can write their own programs to deal with specific problems. Although the theoretical introduction to each topic is kept to a minimum, readers can consult the companion book ‘Multivariate Time Series With Linear State Space Structure’, by the same author, if they require more details.

Time-Series Forecasting

Time-Series Forecasting PDF Author: Chris Chatfield
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420036203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 281

Book Description
From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space