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Financial Analysts' Heterogeneous Earnings Expectations and Their Stock Recommendations

Financial Analysts' Heterogeneous Earnings Expectations and Their Stock Recommendations PDF Author: Steven Lustgarten
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
In this study we test whether financial analysts' use their earnings forecasts to make stock recommendations. We hypothesize that if analysts use earnings forecasts as a basis for stock recommendations, the likelihood of a buy (sell) recommendation ought to increase (decrease) when the analyst's earnings forecast becomes more optimistic (pessimistic) relative to the market's expectation. The data supports this hypothesis. We also test the extent to which analysts' stock recommendations are based on public and/or on private earnings information. Private information is measured as the difference between the analysts own earnings forecast and the consensus forecasts of other analysts. Public information is measured as the difference between the consensus forecast and the random walk forecast. Our data show that stock recommendations are related to both private and public earnings information, private information is more important. We also find that the relationship between recommendations and forecasts is stronger where earnings are more value relevant. Factors such as higher earnings persistence and growth opportunities, lower market risk and larger firm size make stock recommendations more responsive to earnings forecasts. Stock recommendations are related to forecasted earnings surprises even when the forecast revision is held constant.

Financial Analysts' Heterogeneous Earnings Expectations and Their Stock Recommendations

Financial Analysts' Heterogeneous Earnings Expectations and Their Stock Recommendations PDF Author: Steven Lustgarten
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
In this study we test whether financial analysts' use their earnings forecasts to make stock recommendations. We hypothesize that if analysts use earnings forecasts as a basis for stock recommendations, the likelihood of a buy (sell) recommendation ought to increase (decrease) when the analyst's earnings forecast becomes more optimistic (pessimistic) relative to the market's expectation. The data supports this hypothesis. We also test the extent to which analysts' stock recommendations are based on public and/or on private earnings information. Private information is measured as the difference between the analysts own earnings forecast and the consensus forecasts of other analysts. Public information is measured as the difference between the consensus forecast and the random walk forecast. Our data show that stock recommendations are related to both private and public earnings information, private information is more important. We also find that the relationship between recommendations and forecasts is stronger where earnings are more value relevant. Factors such as higher earnings persistence and growth opportunities, lower market risk and larger firm size make stock recommendations more responsive to earnings forecasts. Stock recommendations are related to forecasted earnings surprises even when the forecast revision is held constant.

An Analysis of Earnings Per Share Estimates by Financial Analysts

An Analysis of Earnings Per Share Estimates by Financial Analysts PDF Author: Jean Guertin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 159

Book Description


Financial Analyst Stock Recommendations and Earnings Forecast Revisions

Financial Analyst Stock Recommendations and Earnings Forecast Revisions PDF Author: Stanimir Markov
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 202

Book Description


Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth

Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth PDF Author: Andreas Fagereng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484370066
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 69

Book Description
We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their financial assets (a standard deviation of 14%) and on their net worth (a standard deviation of 8%). Second, heterogeneity in returns does not arise merely from differences in the allocation of wealth between safe and risky assets: returns are heterogeneous even within asset classes. Third, returns are positively correlated with wealth: moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the financial wealth distribution increases the return by 3 percentage points - and by 17 percentage points when the same exercise is performed for the return to net worth. Fourth, wealth returns exhibit substantial persistence over time. We argue that while this persistence partly reflects stable differences in risk exposure and assets scale, it also reflects persistent heterogeneity in sophistication and financial information, as well as entrepreneurial talent. Finally, wealth returns are (mildly) correlated across generations. We discuss the implications of these findings for several strands of the wealth inequality debate.

ASEAN Corporate Governance Scorecard

ASEAN Corporate Governance Scorecard PDF Author: Asian Development Bank
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
ISBN: 9292545396
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 133

Book Description
Corporate governance principles provide guidance on how corporations should operate. Adoption of international corporate governance best practices leads to long-term sustainability and resilience, and can be a competitive tool to attract foreign investments. The Asian Development Bank, in partnership with the ASEAN Capital Markets Forum, have jointly developed the ASEAN Corporate Governance Scorecard, an assessment based on publicly available information and benchmarked against international best practices that encourage publicly listed companies to go beyond national legislative requirements. This report can be used by capital market regulators and other stakeholders as a reference to understand the current corporate governance standards across the region. It is also a useful diagnostic tool to guide improvement of corporate governance standards.

Behavioral Finance

Behavioral Finance PDF Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470769688
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1184

Book Description
A definitive guide to the growing field of behavioral finance This reliable resource provides a comprehensive view of behavioral finance and its psychological foundations, as well as its applications to finance. Comprising contributed chapters written by distinguished authors from some of the most influential firms and universities in the world, Behavioral Finance provides a synthesis of the most essential elements of this discipline, including psychological concepts and behavioral biases, the behavioral aspects of asset pricing, asset allocation, and market prices, as well as investor behavior, corporate managerial behavior, and social influences. Uses a structured approach to put behavioral finance in perspective Relies on recent research findings to provide guidance through the maze of theories and concepts Discusses the impact of sub-optimal financial decisions on the efficiency of capital markets, personal wealth, and the performance of corporations Behavioral finance has quickly become part of mainstream finance. If you need to gain a better understanding of this topic, look no further than this book.

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices PDF Author: John G. Cragg
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226116727
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 185

Book Description
John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.

Lifecycle Investing

Lifecycle Investing PDF Author: Ian Ayres
Publisher: ReadHowYouWant.com
ISBN: 1458758427
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 358

Book Description
Diversification provides a well-known way of getting something close to a free lunch: by spreading money across different kinds of investments, investors can earn the same return with lower risk (or a much higher return for the same amount of risk). This strategy, introduced nearly fifty years ago, led to such strategies as index funds. What if we were all missing out on another free lunch that’s right under our noses? InLifecycle Investing, Barry Nalebuff and Ian Ayres-two of the most innovative thinkers in business, law, and economics-have developed tools that will allow nearly any investor to diversify their portfolios over time. By using leveraging when young-a controversial idea that sparked hate mail when the authors first floated it in the pages ofForbes-investors of all stripes, from those just starting to plan to those getting ready to retire, can substantially reduce overall risk while improving their returns. InLifecycle Investing, readers will learn How to figure out the level of exposure and leverage that’s right foryou How the Lifecycle Investing strategy would have performed in the historical market Why it will work even if everyone does it Whennotto adopt the Lifecycle Investing strategy Clearly written and backed by rigorous research,Lifecycle Investingpresents a simple but radical idea that will shake up how we think about retirement investing even as it provides a healthier nest egg in a nicely feathered nest.

Financial Gatekeepers

Financial Gatekeepers PDF Author: Yasuyuki Fuchita
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
ISBN: 0815729820
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 216

Book Description
A Brookings Institution Press and Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research publication Developed country capital markets have devised a set of institutions and actors to help provide investors with timely and accurate information they need to make informed investment decisions. These actors have become known as "financial gatekeepers" and include auditors, financial analysts, and credit rating agencies. Corporate financial reporting scandals in the United States and elsewhere in recent years, however, have called into question the sufficiency of the legal framework governing these gatekeepers. Policymakers have since responded by imposing a series of new obligations, restrictions, and punishments—all with the purpose of strengthening investor confidence in these important actors. Financial Gatekeepers provides an in-depth look at these new frameworks, especially in the United States and Japan. How have they worked? Are further refinements appropriate? These are among the questions addressed in this timely and important volume. Contributors include Leslie Boni (University of New Mexico), Barry Bosworth (Brookings Institution), Tomoo Inoue (Seikei University), Zoe-Vonna Palmrose (University of Southern California), Frank Partnoy (University of San Diego School of Law), George Perry (Brookings Institution), Justin Pettit (UBS), Paul Stevens (Investment Company Institute), Peter Wallison (American Enterprise Institute).

Program and Proceedings

Program and Proceedings PDF Author: American Accounting Association. Annual Meeting
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Accounting
Languages : en
Pages : 208

Book Description