Author: Tim BollerslevPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 58
Book Description
Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia
Author: Tim BollerslevPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 58
Book Description
Volatility of Volatility, Expected Stock Return and Variance Risk Premium
Author: Ruoyang WangPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34
Book Description
Theory suggests a relationship between both volatility of volatility, variance risk premium, and the equity risk premium. We empirically investigate the relationship between volatility of volatility and the equity risk premium, and the relationship between the variance risk premium and the equity risk premium. We find that volatility of volatility alone explains 5 to 10% of the total variation of equity risk premium, and together with VIX data, it explains more than 20% of the total variation of equity premium. We fail to find a significant relationship between volatility of volatility and the variance risk premium.We use six measures of volatility of volatility based on non-parametric models, a GARCH model and VVIX data.
Variance Premium, Downside Risk and Expected Stock Returns
Author: Bruno FeunouPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic books
Languages : en
Pages : 50
Book Description
'We decompose total variance into its bad and good components and measure the premia associated with their fluctuations using stock and option data from a large cross-section of firms. The total variance risk premium (VRP) represents the premium paid to insure against fluctuations in bad variance (called bad VRP), net of the premium received to compensate for fluctuations in good variance (called good VRP). Bad VRP provides a direct assessment of the degree to which asset downside risk may become extreme, while good VRP proxies for the degree to which asset upside potential may shrink. We find that bad VRP is important economically; in the cross-section, a one-standard-deviation increase is associated with an increase of up to 13% in annualized expected excess returns. Simultaneously going long on stocks with high bad VRP and short on stocks with low bad VRP yields an annualized risk-adjusted expected excess return of 18%. This result remains significant in double-sort strategies and cross-sectional regressions controlling for a host of firm characteristics and exposures to regular and downside risk factors'--Abstract, p. ii.
The Variance Risk Premium
Author: Junye LiPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 39
Book Description
This paper examines the properties of the variance risk premium (VRP). We propose a flexible asset pricing model that captures co-jumps in prices and volatility, and self-exciting jump clustering. We estimate the model on equity returns and variance swap rates at different horizons. The total VRP is negative and has a downward-sloping term structure, while its jump component displays an upward-sloping term structure. The abrupt and persistent response of the short-term jump VRP to extreme events makes this specific premium a proxy for investors' fear of a market crash. Furthermore, the use of the VRP level and slope, and of its components, helps improve the short-run predictability of equity excess returns.
Moment Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
Author: Richard D. F. HarrisPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41
Book Description
We investigate the determinants of moment risk premia (MRP) and their relationship with stock returns. Stocks with high beta, idiosyncratic volatility and maximum return are associated with a high variance risk premium (VRP). The skew risk premium (SRP) is mainly driven by return reversals, the maximum return and idiosyncratic skewness, while the kurtosis risk premium (KRP) is associated with all firm characteristics. We find that both the VRP and SRP are negatively related to stock returns, while the KRP has no relation with stock returns. However, the negative relation between the SRP and stock returns is robust to the inclusion of firm-level variables, while the VRP is not.
Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory
Author: Darrell DuffiePublisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400829208
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488
Book Description
This is a thoroughly updated edition of Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the standard text for doctoral students and researchers on the theory of asset pricing and portfolio selection in multiperiod settings under uncertainty. The asset pricing results are based on the three increasingly restrictive assumptions: absence of arbitrage, single-agent optimality, and equilibrium. These results are unified with two key concepts, state prices and martingales. Technicalities are given relatively little emphasis, so as to draw connections between these concepts and to make plain the similarities between discrete and continuous-time models. Readers will be particularly intrigued by this latest edition's most significant new feature: a chapter on corporate securities that offers alternative approaches to the valuation of corporate debt. Also, while much of the continuous-time portion of the theory is based on Brownian motion, this third edition introduces jumps--for example, those associated with Poisson arrivals--in order to accommodate surprise events such as bond defaults. Applications include term-structure models, derivative valuation, and hedging methods. Numerical methods covered include Monte Carlo simulation and finite-difference solutions for partial differential equations. Each chapter provides extensive problem exercises and notes to the literature. A system of appendixes reviews the necessary mathematical concepts. And references have been updated throughout. With this new edition, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory remains at the head of the field.
Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets
Author: François M. LonginPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : International finance
Languages : en
Pages : 44
Book Description
Volatility and Time Series Econometrics
Author: Mark WatsonPublisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199549494
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 432
Book Description
A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics
Expected Stock Returns and the Correlation Risk Premium
Author: Adrian BussPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Portfolio management
Languages : en
Pages : 53
Book Description
We show that the correlation risk premium can predict future market excess returns in-sample and out-of-sample for long horizons and contains information that is non-redundant relative to the variance risk premium. To exploit this predictability, we develop a novel estimation methodology that uses contemporaneous increments of option-implied variables, efficiently removing any lag in estimation of variance and correlation risk betas. The methodology leads to considerable out-of-sample predictability, with an R2 of 7.0% at an annual horizon, and substantial economic gains for investors. The results are supported by a multi-asset general-equilibrium model in which variance and correlation risk are endogenously priced.
Author: Toshiaki Ogawa