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Applied Time Series Analysis with R

Applied Time Series Analysis with R PDF Author: Wayne A. Woodward
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1498734316
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 460

Book Description
Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis with R, Second Edition includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides an R-based software package to aid in addressing time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The material is organized in an optimal format for graduate students in statistics as well as in the natural and social sciences to learn to use and understand the tools of applied time series analysis. Features Gives readers the ability to actually solve significant real-world problems Addresses many types of nonstationary time series and cutting-edge methodologies Promotes understanding of the data and associated models rather than viewing it as the output of a "black box" Provides the R package tswge available on CRAN which contains functions and over 100 real and simulated data sets to accompany the book. Extensive help regarding the use of tswge functions is provided in appendices and on an associated website. Over 150 exercises and extensive support for instructors The second edition includes additional real-data examples, uses R-based code that helps students easily analyze data, generate realizations from models, and explore the associated characteristics. It also adds discussion of new advances in the analysis of long memory data and data with time-varying frequencies (TVF).

Applied Time Series Analysis with R

Applied Time Series Analysis with R PDF Author: Wayne A. Woodward
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1498734316
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 460

Book Description
Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis with R, Second Edition includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides an R-based software package to aid in addressing time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The material is organized in an optimal format for graduate students in statistics as well as in the natural and social sciences to learn to use and understand the tools of applied time series analysis. Features Gives readers the ability to actually solve significant real-world problems Addresses many types of nonstationary time series and cutting-edge methodologies Promotes understanding of the data and associated models rather than viewing it as the output of a "black box" Provides the R package tswge available on CRAN which contains functions and over 100 real and simulated data sets to accompany the book. Extensive help regarding the use of tswge functions is provided in appendices and on an associated website. Over 150 exercises and extensive support for instructors The second edition includes additional real-data examples, uses R-based code that helps students easily analyze data, generate realizations from models, and explore the associated characteristics. It also adds discussion of new advances in the analysis of long memory data and data with time-varying frequencies (TVF).

Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics

Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics PDF Author: J. Grasman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401109621
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 662

Book Description
Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. For research workers at universities and (semi)governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.

Handbook of Learning and Approximate Dynamic Programming

Handbook of Learning and Approximate Dynamic Programming PDF Author: Jennie Si
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471660545
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 670

Book Description
A complete resource to Approximate Dynamic Programming (ADP), including on-line simulation code Provides a tutorial that readers can use to start implementing the learning algorithms provided in the book Includes ideas, directions, and recent results on current research issues and addresses applications where ADP has been successfully implemented The contributors are leading researchers in the field

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Dynamic Factor Models

Dynamic Factor Models PDF Author: Jörg Breitung
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783865580979
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description


Applied Time Series Analysis

Applied Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Wayne A. Woodward
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439818371
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 566

Book Description
Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics, closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides software to address time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The authors organize the information in such a format that graduate students in applied science, statistics, and economics can satisfactorily navigate their way through the book while maintaining mathematical rigor. One of the unique features of Applied Time Series Analysis is the associated software, GW-WINKS, designed to help students easily generate realizations from models and explore the associated model and data characteristics. The text explores many important new methodologies that have developed in time series, such as ARCH and GARCH processes, time varying frequencies (TVF), wavelets, and more. Other programs (some written in R and some requiring S-plus) are available on an associated website for performing computations related to the material in the final four chapters.

Model-Based Processing

Model-Based Processing PDF Author: James V. Candy
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119457777
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 541

Book Description
A bridge between the application of subspace-based methods for parameter estimation in signal processing and subspace-based system identification in control systems Model-Based Processing: An Applied Subspace Identification Approach provides expert insight on developing models for designing model-based signal processors (MBSP) employing subspace identification techniques to achieve model-based identification (MBID) and enables readers to evaluate overall performance using validation and statistical analysis methods. Focusing on subspace approaches to system identification problems, this book teaches readers to identify models quickly and incorporate them into various processing problems including state estimation, tracking, detection, classification, controls, communications, and other applications that require reliable models that can be adapted to dynamic environments. The extraction of a model from data is vital to numerous applications, from the detection of submarines to determining the epicenter of an earthquake to controlling an autonomous vehicles—all requiring a fundamental understanding of their underlying processes and measurement instrumentation. Emphasizing real-world solutions to a variety of model development problems, this text demonstrates how model-based subspace identification system identification enables the extraction of a model from measured data sequences from simple time series polynomials to complex constructs of parametrically adaptive, nonlinear distributed systems. In addition, this resource features: Kalman filtering for linear, linearized, and nonlinear systems; modern unscented Kalman filters; as well as Bayesian particle filters Practical processor designs including comprehensive methods of performance analysis Provides a link between model development and practical applications in model-based signal processing Offers in-depth examination of the subspace approach that applies subspace algorithms to synthesized examples and actual applications Enables readers to bridge the gap from statistical signal processing to subspace identification Includes appendices, problem sets, case studies, examples, and notes for MATLAB Model-Based Processing: An Applied Subspace Identification Approach is essential reading for advanced undergraduate and graduate students of engineering and science as well as engineers working in industry and academia.

 PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 460

Book Description


Encyclopedia of Financial Models, Volume III

Encyclopedia of Financial Models, Volume III PDF Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118539834
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1060

Book Description
Volume 3 of the Encyclopedia of Financial Models The need for serious coverage of financial modeling has never been greater, especially with the size, diversity, and efficiency of modern capital markets. With this in mind, the Encyclopedia of Financial Models has been created to help a broad spectrum of individuals—ranging from finance professionals to academics and students—understand financial modeling and make use of the various models currently available. Incorporating timely research and in-depth analysis, Volume 3 of the Encyclopedia of Financial Models covers both established and cutting-edge models and discusses their real-world applications. Edited by Frank Fabozzi, this volume includes contributions from global financial experts as well as academics with extensive consulting experience in this field. Organized alphabetically by category, this reliable resource consists of forty-four informative entries and provides readers with a balanced understanding of today’s dynamic world of financial modeling. Volume 3 covers Mortgage-Backed Securities Analysis and Valuation, Operational Risk, Optimization Tools, Probability Theory, Risk Measures, Software for Financial Modeling, Stochastic Processes and Tools, Term Structure Modeling, Trading Cost Models, and Volatility Emphasizes both technical and implementation issues, providing researchers, educators, students, and practitioners with the necessary background to deal with issues related to financial modeling The 3-Volume Set contains coverage of the fundamentals and advances in financial modeling and provides the mathematical and statistical techniques needed to develop and test financial models Financial models have become increasingly commonplace, as well as complex. They are essential in a wide range of financial endeavors, and the Encyclopedia of Financial Models will help put them in perspective.

Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models

Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models PDF Author: Carsten Wehn
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0124158757
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 658

Book Description
It is widely acknowledged that many financial modelling techniques failed during the financial crisis, and in our post-crisis environment many techniques are being reconsidered. This single volume provides a guide to lessons learned for practitioners and a reference for academics. Including reviews of traditional approaches, real examples, and case studies, contributors consider portfolio theory; methods for valuing equities and equity derivatives, interest rate derivatives, and hybrid products; and techniques for calculating risks and implementing investment strategies. Describing new approaches without losing sight of their classical antecedents, this collection of original articles presents a timely perspective on our post-crisis paradigm. Highlights pre-crisis best classical practices, identifies post-crisis key issues, and examines emerging approaches to solving those issues Singles out key factors one must consider when valuing or calculating risks in the post-crisis environment Presents material in a homogenous, practical, clear, and not overly technical manner