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Author: Md Fardous Alom Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783847349020 Category : Languages : en Pages : 152
Book Description
The skyrocketing prices of oil and food are matters of great concerns for consumers, producers, national and international bodies. This book adresses this aspect in five independent but related essays. The first two essays model the extent of volatility of oil and food price shocks. Third essay examines the cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices while the fourth essay investigates the spillover effects of oil prices on the food prices of selected Asia and Pacific countries. Finally, the fifth essay assesses the economic impacts of oil and food prices in the context of selected Asia and Pacific countries. Overall, the findings show that both oil and food prices have persistence effets on the volatility while the evidence of asymmetry is mixed; there is considerable cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices; oil prices positively spillover to food prices and the impacts of oil and food prices to macroeconomic variables are dependent on the economic characteristics of individual economies.
Author: Md Fardous Alom Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783847349020 Category : Languages : en Pages : 152
Book Description
The skyrocketing prices of oil and food are matters of great concerns for consumers, producers, national and international bodies. This book adresses this aspect in five independent but related essays. The first two essays model the extent of volatility of oil and food price shocks. Third essay examines the cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices while the fourth essay investigates the spillover effects of oil prices on the food prices of selected Asia and Pacific countries. Finally, the fifth essay assesses the economic impacts of oil and food prices in the context of selected Asia and Pacific countries. Overall, the findings show that both oil and food prices have persistence effets on the volatility while the evidence of asymmetry is mixed; there is considerable cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices; oil prices positively spillover to food prices and the impacts of oil and food prices to macroeconomic variables are dependent on the economic characteristics of individual economies.
Author: Bhaskar Bagchi Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing ISBN: 1786355531 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 225
Book Description
This book examines the dynamic relationship and volatility spillovers between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of emerging economies. Unfortunately very little research has been conducted to analyze the volatility spillovers and dynamic relationship between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of India.
Author: Romita Mukherjee Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 464
Book Description
A large volume of research has acknowledged the role of oil price shocks to generate a significant stagflationary impact on U.S. and other oil importing nations. Recent research however shows a paradigm shift in this oil price-macroeconomy relationship since the mid 1980s, during which the U.S. economy has been relatively resilient to oil shocks. Both output contraction and inflationary expectations have been milder in the post mid 1980s than before. But the 2007-08 oil shock episode has re-emphasized the immense impact of the ebbs and flows of oil prices on the U.S. economys ups and downs. Global oil price peaked at $148 a barrel in June 2008. With the mortgage crisis and credit crunch, oil was another blow too many. The U.S. economy swamped into one of the greatest recessions of all times. According to Hamilton (2009), the 2007-08 oil shock had a significant contribution to the recent recession. While a lot of work have been done on the effects of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy, relatively little work has investigated what triggers oil price increase. My research illustrates why it is important to study the cause of an oil price rise. First, the effects of oil price rise on the macro variables depend heavily on what causes the shock. Secondly, whereas the oil price hikes of the 1970s and early 1980s can mostly be attributed to exogenous events in OPEC (Arab Oil Embargo, Iran-Iraq War, Iranian Revolution), a significant source of oil price spikes in the post mid 1980 era have been an increase in global oil demand confronting stagnating oil production. From a policy perspective, of course, policies aimed at dealing with higher oil prices must take careful account of what causes oil prices to rise. Empirical research that demonstrates the resilience of U.S. economy to oil price shocks builds on the implicit assumption that as oil price varies, everything else in the global economy is held constant. Thus all variations in oil prices are taken as alike and exogenous. This overlooks the possibility that oil price rise sparked off by diverse events can potentially lead to different repercussions. This thesis is an attempt to develop framework to study the endogenous increase in oil price. The oil price increase arises from increase in U.S. growth rate, increase in foreign growth rate and a purely exogenous oil supply shock by OPEC. The most important result is that the source of oil price rise has changed after the mid 1980s - whereas before the mid 1980s, bulk of the variation in oil price was due to supply shocks by OPEC, post mid 1980s, most of the variation in oil price is explained by increase in U.S. and foreign growth. Furthermore, if the origin of the oil price rise is the same, then the responses of most U.S. macroeconomic variables display remarkable similarity in the pre and post mid 1980s. This result gives us a new way to look at the resilience of the U.S. economic activity to oil price rise since the mid 1980s. The resilience can be explained to a significant extent by the fact that the type of shocks resulting in oil price rise has changed.
Author: Mr. Kangni R Kpodar Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1616356154 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 34
Book Description
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.
Author: Joshua S. Graff Zivin Publisher: University of Chicago Press ISBN: 0226988031 Category : Art Languages : en Pages : 310
Book Description
Using economic models and empirical analysis, this volume examines a wide range of agricultural and biofuel policy issues and their effects on American agricultural and related agrarian insurance markets. Beginning with a look at the distribution of funds by insurance programs—created to support farmers but often benefiting crop processors instead—the book then examines the demand for biofuel and the effects of biofuel policies on agricultural price uncertainty. Also discussed are genetically engineered crops, which are assuming an increasingly important role in arbitrating tensions between energy production, environmental protection, and the global food supply. Other contributions discuss the major effects of genetic engineering on worldwide food markets. By addressing some of the most challenging topics at the intersection of agriculture and biotechnology, this volume informs crucial debates.
Author: Matthias Kalkuhl Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319282018 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 620
Book Description
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.
Author: Javier López Lara Publisher: MDPI ISBN: 3039360965 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 246
Book Description
This book presents 16 selected papers from the 7th International Conference on The Application of Physical Modelling in Coastal and Port Engineering and Science, Coastlab18. The conference was organized in Santander, Spain, from 22 to 26 May, 2018, by the Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de la Universidad de Cantabria, IHCantabria. Coastlab18 welcomed 175 attendees from 18 different countries. The technical program included three renowned keynote lectures and 120 presentations focused on theoretical and practical aspects related to physical modelling in the field of coastal and ocean engineering. Coastal and ocean structures, breakwaters, revetments, laboratory technologies, measurement systems, coastal field measurement and monitoring, combined physical and numerical modelling, physical modelling case studies, tsunamis, and coastal hydrodynamics were the main topics covered in the conference. This book attempts to cover, as completely as possible, all the topics presented during the conference. The papers were accepted after a peer-review process based on their full text.
Author: Gary Koop Publisher: Now Publishers Inc ISBN: 160198362X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 104
Book Description
Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics provides a survey of the Bayesian methods used in modern empirical macroeconomics. These models have been developed to address the fact that most questions of interest to empirical macroeconomists involve several variables and must be addressed using multivariate time series methods. Many different multivariate time series models have been used in macroeconomics, but Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models have been among the most popular. Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics reviews and extends the Bayesian literature on VARs, TVP-VARs and TVP-FAVARs with a focus on the practitioner. The authors go beyond simply defining each model, but specify how to use them in practice, discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each and offer tips on when and why each model can be used.
Author: Md Fardous Alom
Author: Md Fardous Alom
Author: Fardous Alom
Author: Bhaskar Bagchi
Author: Romita Mukherjee
Author: Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
Author: Joshua S. Graff Zivin
Author: Bobur Sobirov
Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Author: Javier López Lara
Author: Gary Koop