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Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Compared to the previous twenty years, residential investments in the US appear more stable after the mid-1980s. Chapter 2 explores key hypotheses regarding the underlying causes. In particular, it uses estimated DSGE models to examine whether a more responsive interest rate policy stabilizes the housing market by keeping inflation in check. These estimations indeed found a policy that has become more responsive over time. Counter-factual analysis confirms that the change stabilizes inflation as well as nominal interest rate. It does not, however, find the change in policy to have stabilizing effect on real economic activity including housing investment. It finds that smaller TFP shocks make modest contributions, while the biggest contributing factor to the fall in the housing volatility is a reduction in the sensitivity of the investment to demand variations. Chapter 3 constructs a richly specified model for the housing market to examine the empirical relevance of various costs and frictions, including the investment adjustment cost, sticky construction costs, search frictions, and sluggish adjustment of house prices. Using the US national-level quarterly data from 1985 and 2007, we find that the gradual adjustment of house prices is the most important and irreplaceable feature of the model. The key to developing an optimization-based empirical housing model, therefore, is to provide a structural interpretation for the slow adjustment in house prices. Chapter 4 uses US national-level time series of residential investment, price index of new houses, consumption and interest rate to explore whether the US, as a nation, experienced a drop in the price elasticity of supply of new housing. Maximum likelihood estimations with a simple stock-and-flow model found a statistically significant drop of the elasticity from 10 to 2.2, when the quarterly data between 1971 and 2007 are split at 1985. A richer model with mechanisms of gradual adjustment also indicates such a reduct.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Compared to the previous twenty years, residential investments in the US appear more stable after the mid-1980s. Chapter 2 explores key hypotheses regarding the underlying causes. In particular, it uses estimated DSGE models to examine whether a more responsive interest rate policy stabilizes the housing market by keeping inflation in check. These estimations indeed found a policy that has become more responsive over time. Counter-factual analysis confirms that the change stabilizes inflation as well as nominal interest rate. It does not, however, find the change in policy to have stabilizing effect on real economic activity including housing investment. It finds that smaller TFP shocks make modest contributions, while the biggest contributing factor to the fall in the housing volatility is a reduction in the sensitivity of the investment to demand variations. Chapter 3 constructs a richly specified model for the housing market to examine the empirical relevance of various costs and frictions, including the investment adjustment cost, sticky construction costs, search frictions, and sluggish adjustment of house prices. Using the US national-level quarterly data from 1985 and 2007, we find that the gradual adjustment of house prices is the most important and irreplaceable feature of the model. The key to developing an optimization-based empirical housing model, therefore, is to provide a structural interpretation for the slow adjustment in house prices. Chapter 4 uses US national-level time series of residential investment, price index of new houses, consumption and interest rate to explore whether the US, as a nation, experienced a drop in the price elasticity of supply of new housing. Maximum likelihood estimations with a simple stock-and-flow model found a statistically significant drop of the elasticity from 10 to 2.2, when the quarterly data between 1971 and 2007 are split at 1985. A richer model with mechanisms of gradual adjustment also indicates such a reduct.
Author: Stefanie J. Huber Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
This thesis sheds light on certain macroeconomic aspects of the housing market. Chapter 1 explores a novel channel for house price bubble formation: the demand for housing consumption. I argue that the lower the demand for housing consumption, the larger the maximum bubble size, and the larger economies' vulnerability to house price bubbles. In terms of policy implications, I show that a help-to-buy scheme makes the economy more bubble-prone, while rental subsidies are an effective tool to reduce the prevalence of house price bubbles. Using a laboratory experiment, Chapter 2 supports the theoretical and empirical findings of Chapter 1. Chapter 3 investigates whether the persistent cross-country differences in homeownership rates are driven by cultural tastes. Analyzing the homeownership attitudes of second-generation immigrants in the United States leads to robust evidence for this hypothesis.
Author: Rob Nijskens Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3030116743 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 220
Book Description
This open access book discusses booming housing markets in cities around the globe, and the resulting challenges for policymakers and central banks. Cities are booming everywhere, leading to a growing demand for urban housing. In many cities this demand is out-pacing supply, which causes house prices to soar and increases the pressure on rental markets. These developments are posing major challenges for policymakers, central banks and other authorities responsible for ensuring financial stability, and economic well-being in general.This volume collects views from high-level policymakers and researchers, providing essential insights into these challenges, their impact on society, the economy and financial stability, and possible policy responses. The respective chapters address issues such as the popularity of cities, the question of a credit-fueled housing bubble, the role of housing supply frictions and potential policy solutions. Given its scope, the book offers a revealing read and valuable guide for everyone involved in practical policymaking for housing markets, mortgage credit and financial stability.
Author: Taejun Lim Publisher: ISBN: Category : Entrepreneurship Languages : en Pages : 113
Book Description
"This thesis examines the role of housing as collateral and occupational choices in aggregate economies. Chapter 1 studies the impact of house price fuctuations on small businesses. The unprecedented upheavals in the U.S. housing market since 2000 and corresponding oscillations in home equity values profoundly affected the net worth and borrowing capacities of individual households. I develop a quantitative model where changes in house prices influence households' borrowing capacities, which in turn influence the entry-exit and expansion-contraction decisions of small business owners. I show that the housing collateral effect can explain the empirically observed strong correlation between house prices and small business activities (as measured by the number of businesses and the number of employees in the small business sector). Next, I conduct an experiment to measure how much of the shrinkage in small business activities during the recent recession can be explained by the housing collateral effect. I argue that the decrease in the value of housing as collateral, following the housing market crash in 2007, can account for 53 percent of the decrease in the number of small businesses and 98 percent of the decrease in the level of small business employment. In Chapter 2, I present an occupational choice model which emphasizes the use of housing as collateral and apply the model to examine the magnitude of the effect of a housing boom on economic growth in countries at different stages of financial development. The model results are twofold. First, a housing boom mitigates capital misallocation which results from an incomplete financial system, by expanding a business owner's borrowing capacity through an increase in collateral value, and thus boosts economy. Second, the impact of a housing boom is greater in countries with less developed financial systems. I provide empirical evidence to support the model results. To get around an endogeneity issue regarding housing booms (whether hous- ing booms boost economy through increases in collateral value or some other third factor boosts economy and thereby increases house prices), I focus on an essential difference between financial institutions (banks) and financial markets (stock mar- kets): only the former requires the provision of collateral in credit transactions. I use two sets of indicators - one for financial institutions and the other for financial markets - to proxy the level of financial development. The analysis of 23 housing boom episodes in 55 countries from 1997 to 2012 reveals that economic growth and financial development are inversely related when the level of financial development is measured by financial institutions, but unrelated when the level of financial development is measured by financial markets. The collateral impact of a housing boom also turns out to be greater in countries whose economies rely more on small firms. Both these empirical findings are in favor of the model results."--Pages v-vi.
Author: Peter Malpass Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1135217092 Category : Architecture Languages : en Pages : 279
Book Description
This book of specially commissioned essays by distinguished housing scholars addresses the big issues in contemporary debates about housing and housing policy in the UK. Setting out a distinctive and coherent analysis, it steers a course between those accounts that rely on economic theory and analysis and those that emphasize policy. It is informed by the idea that the 1970s was a pivotal decade in the second half of the twentieth century, and that since that time there has been a profound transformation in the housing system and housing policy in the UK. The contributors describe, analyze and explain aspects of that transformation, as a basis for understanding the present and thinking about the future. The analysis of housing is set within an understanding of the wider changes affecting the economy and the welfare state since the crises of the mid 1970s.
Author: Boaz Abramson Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
This dissertation studies the macroeconomic implications of government policies and house- hold decisions for housing market outcomes. The first chapter, "The Welfare Effects of Eviction and Homelessness Policies", studies the effects of various rental market policies that address evictions and homelessness. I find that "Right-to-Counsel" drives up rents so much that homelessness increases, and welfare is dampened. While lawyers make it harder to evict delinquent tenants, they are unable to prevent evictions because defaults on rent are driven by persistent shocks to income that cannot easily be smoothed across time. In contrast, rental assistance lowers tenants default risk and as a result reduces both homelessness and evictions and increases welfare. the second chapter, "Self-Assessed Financial Literacy in Housing Markets", studies the role of financial knowledge in home- ownership decisions. I show that households who self-assess them- selves to be more financially literate are more likely to own a house and take a more levered position on their house. I find that this is because households with higher levels of self-assessed financial knowledge have access to more accommodating mortgage terms and better risk-return tradeoffs in the housing market.
Author: Karl E. Case Publisher: Lincoln Inst of Land Policy ISBN: 9781558441842 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 417
Book Description
Based on the work of Karl "Chip" Case, who is renowned for his scientific contributions to the economics of housing and public policy, this is a must read during a time of restructuring our nation's system of housing finance.
Author: Guozhong Zhu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 234
Book Description
This dissertation studies households' housing decision in the presence of income risks, and its implication on within-cohort income/consumption inequality and the nature of income risks facing households. It is composed of three chapters. The first chapter presents evidence from Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) and Consumer Expenditure Survey (PSID) that housing consumption and housing investment are negatively affected by income risks. Within a household portfolio choice model, the negative effect can be attributed to the illiquidity of housing investment and the positive correlation between house price and income. The second chapter provides empirical evidence that the secular rise of income and consumption inequalities in the United States is age-dependent. It is more significant among younger households. With this feature, biasedness arises from the traditional methodology of decomposing inequality into age effect, year effect and cohort effect. A simple but effective remedy for the problem is proposed. The third chapter of the dissertation studies the age-profile of within-cohort income/consumption inequality, using the methodology proposed in the second chapter. It documents the age-profile of housing consumption inequality which is almost flat. This stands in contrast to the well-documented fact that within-cohort nonhousing consumption inequality rises with age, which has been argued to be evidence for persistent, uninsurable income shocks to households. This argument is challenged by the finding that housing consumption inequality has a flat age-profile. Within the framework of standard lifecycle model, the coexistence of rising nonhousing consumption inequality and flat housing consumption inequality constitutes a puzzle. A potential resolution lies in the negative effect of income uncertainty on housing decision which diminishes with age, as shown in the first chapter of the dissertation.
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Author: Stefanie J. Huber
Author: Joao Bernardo Neto Aurelio Duarte
Author: Rob Nijskens
Author: Kun Duan
Author: Taejun Lim
Author: Peter Malpass
Author: Boaz Abramson
Author: Karl E. Case
Author: Guozhong Zhu