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China's Capital Markets

China's Capital Markets PDF Author: Kam C. Chan
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 9781847205315
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 368

Book Description
'This book is a welcome addition to Edward Elgar's series on the Chinese economy. It provides a wealth of information on the historical development and the current state of the Chinese financial system. Particularly useful for readers who do not have access to the original Chinese literature are the overviews of each market and the many detailed accounts of the historical development of markets and regulations.' - Nicolaas Groenewold, Pacific Affairs

Efficiency Tests of Agricultural Commodity Futures Markets in China

Efficiency Tests of Agricultural Commodity Futures Markets in China PDF Author: Hong Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The efficiency of the Chinese wheat and soybean futures markets is studied. Formal statistical tests were conducted based on Johansen's cointegration approach for three different cash markets and six different futures forecasting horizons ranging from 1 week to 4 months. The results suggest a long-term equilibrium relationship between the futures price and cash price for soybeans and weak short-term efficiency in the soybean futures market. The futures market for wheat is inefficient, which may be caused by over-speculation and government intervention.

The Information Transmission Between China and the US Agricultural Commodity Markets

The Information Transmission Between China and the US Agricultural Commodity Markets PDF Author: Di Mo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 45

Book Description
This study examines both long-run and short-run linkages between futures and spot prices for a wide range of agricultural commodities in China and the US. We use the Johansen cointegration test to examine the long-run equilibrium relationship in both multivariate and bivariate contexts. The VECM model is used to examine the information transmission in the short-run. Finally, we use Granger causality test to investigate how the information transmission pattern changes under different economic conditions. We find long-run equilibrium relationships between spot and futures prices in the Chinese markets, as well as the futures prices in China and the US. The long-run relationship is consistent with the LOP theory, which indicates that prices of identical assets in different markets should have the same stream of future cash flows after all adjustments. The short-run analyses show the robust bidirectional relationship between futures and spot prices in China, and the futures prices in China and the US. The findings indicate that Chinese agricultural commodity futures played a significant role in the global commodity futures markets. The GFC subsample results are mixed. In general, the domestic information becomes more important compared to the information in the international markets during the crisis and post crisis periods. Whereas, the US futures markets play important price discovery role than Chinese ones during and after crisis in the bivariate context. The findings of this study contribute to the existing literature on information transmission in agriculture commodity markets in the emerging nations by including the futures markets in China and the futures markets of USA, which is a global dominant market. Study also includes the underlying asset market to provide the relationship among all three asset markets. The findings of this study may have important implication for policy makers in emerging markets who seek to develop policies for stability of the commodity prices.

Efficiency Tests of Futures Markets for UK Agricultural Commodities

Efficiency Tests of Futures Markets for UK Agricultural Commodities PDF Author: Anneliese Julia Aulton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18

Book Description


Speculative Activity and Returns Volatility of Chinese Major Agricultural Commodity Futures

Speculative Activity and Returns Volatility of Chinese Major Agricultural Commodity Futures PDF Author: Martin T. Bohl
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Nonparametric Tests of Commodity Futures Market Efficiency

Nonparametric Tests of Commodity Futures Market Efficiency PDF Author: Andrew M. McKenzie
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Commodity futures markets carry out two important marketing functions with respect to agricultural products: (1) a price discovery role and (2) a price risk management role. The relative effectiveness with which futures markets fulfill these two roles is dependent on the efficiency of the futures market and its ability to provide unbiased forecasts of subsequent futures prices at contract maturity. Our results indicate that futures price returns for live cattle, hogs, corn, rice and soybean meal violate the standard OLS assumption of normality. However, nonparametric statistics results did not materially conflict with our OLS parametric results. Further modeling indicated live cattle, hogs and soybean meal futures returns are better specified using GARCH type models, which allow for a non-constant error variance over time.

Agricultural Commodity Price Hikes Since 2006

Agricultural Commodity Price Hikes Since 2006 PDF Author: Velmurugan Palaniappan Shanmugam
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 22

Book Description
Well established and efficient agricultural commodity futures markets, are expected to perform the role of price discovery and risk management more effectively. The results of the Johansen's cointegration tests have shown that the spot and futures markets for the 12 agricultural commodities are cointegrated (during the main and sub-periods of study). This suggests that the markets are efficient and the agriculture commodity futures exchanges (CBOT, KCBT, CME, & ICE) provide efficient hedge against price risks emerging in respective commodities. The Granger causality test results show bi-directional flow of information in majority of the commodities during the main as well as the two sub-periods. This shows both the spot and future markets are equally responsible for the price discovery process. However, examination of the F-statistics indicates a strong flow of information from the futures markets to spot markets than the reverse. The unidirectional causal relationships exhibited by commodities such as wheat, soybean, lean hogs and cocoa, imply that the futures markets help discover prices in the spot markets and that the markets are efficient. The causal relationship results suggest that information flow from futures markets to spot markets appears to have increased over the years. This apparent increase in information flows could be attributed to the increase in the relative importance of electronic trading of futures contracts in recent years, which results in more transparent and widely accessible prices. The results meet our three criteria of market efficiency and suggest that there is no need for changes in the existing regulations of the agricultural futures market.

Agricultural Commodity Futures and Risk Management

Agricultural Commodity Futures and Risk Management PDF Author: Tarun Kumar Soni
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18

Book Description
The paper aims to study the market efficiency, unbiasedness among seventeen agricultural commodities futures contracts traded at National Multi-Commodity Exchange of India ltd. (NMCE). The paper uses a two step approach by first testing long run relationship using Johansen's cointegration approach and subsequently, the dynamic OLS approach proposed by Stock and Watson (1993) was used to estimate the coefficients in the cointegration equation, followed by Wald test to test the statistical significance of each coefficient. The Wald chi-square test statistics indicate that futures markets are not efficient in predicting the future ready prices. The results also testify the fact that the futures contracts are not perfect hedge against the variations in ready prices. The results have important implications on the previous research done on the same issue which have simply tested the efficiency on the basis of cointegration results, ignoring the restrictions on cointegrating vectors may result in incorrect assessment of price discovery and risk management functions of commodity exchanges. Further, the results also urge for further reforms in the agricultural commodity futures through increasing awareness, wider participation, better infrastructure etc. so as to make futures market more efficient in the long run and perform their role of price discovery and risk management more efficiently and effectively.

China's Capital Markets

China's Capital Markets PDF Author: Kam C. Chan
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 9781847205315
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 368

Book Description
'This book is a welcome addition to Edward Elgar's series on the Chinese economy. It provides a wealth of information on the historical development and the current state of the Chinese financial system. Particularly useful for readers who do not have access to the original Chinese literature are the overviews of each market and the many detailed accounts of the historical development of markets and regulations.' - Nicolaas Groenewold, Pacific Affairs

The Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics

The Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics PDF Author: Dr. Ghada Mohamed
Publisher: Dr. Ghada Mohamed
ISBN:
Category : Antiques & Collectibles
Languages : en
Pages : 92

Book Description
The Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics Volume 1 - Issue 1 2012 Founder: Dr. Ghada Gomaa A. Mohamed Edited by: Daniel May & Ghada Mohamed ISSN 1923-6514 (Online): Library & Archives Canada Authors: Suppanunta Romprasert, Arif Nindito, and John Adams https://epe.lac-bac.gc.ca/100/201/300/scientific_jrn_agricultural_economics/2012/v01n01.pdf

Indian Economy: Empirical Analysis On Monetary And Financial Issues In India

Indian Economy: Empirical Analysis On Monetary And Financial Issues In India PDF Author: Shigeyuki Hamori
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 981457192X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 175

Book Description
India's financial sector has undergone significant changes following the start of the economic liberalization in the early 1990s. In addition to providing important information on monetary and financial issues in India, this book also provides examples to analyze a developing economy by using macro-financial data. The book also focuses on three main topics, that is, monetary policy, financial markets and finance-poverty nexus, and provides new insights into these issues by applying some recently developed quantitative techniques.