Author: Joseph John SpenglerPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Declining Population Growth Revisited
Author: Joseph John SpenglerPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
On the Cusp
Author: Charles S. PearsonPublisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0190223928
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 257
Book Description
For much of its history, human population growth increased at a glacial pace. The demographic rate only soared about 200 years ago, climaxing between the years 1950 and 2000. In that 50-year span, the population grew more than it had in the previous 5,000 years. Though these raw numbers are impressive, they conceal the fact that the growth rate of population topped out in the 1960s and may be negative later this century. The population boom is approaching a population bust, despite the current world population of seven billion people. In On the Cusp, economist Charles Pearson explores the meaning of this population trend from the arc of demographic growth to decline. He reviews Thomas Malthus's famous, but mistaken, 1798 argument that human population would exceed the earth's carrying capacity. That argument has resurfaced, however, in the current environmental era and under the threat of global warming. Analyzing population trends through dual lenses -- demography and economics -- Pearson examines the potential opportunities and challenges of population decline and aging. Aging is almost universal and will accelerate. Mitigating untoward economic effects may require policies to boost fertility (which has plunged), increase immigration, and work longer, harder, and smarter -- as well as undertake pension and health care reform, all of which have hidden costs. The writing is rigorous but not technical, and is complemented by a helpful set of figures and tables. Sharp, bold, and occasionally funny, Pearson's research has thought-provoking implications for future public policies. He ends his analysis with a modestly hopeful conclusion, noting that both the rich and the poor face a new demographic order. General readers and students alike will find On the Cusp an informative and engaging read.
Facing Zero Population Growth
Author: Joseph John SpenglerPublisher: Durham, N.C. : Duke University Press
ISBN:
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 314
Book Description
The Limits to Growth
Author: Donella H. MeadowsPublisher: Universe Pub
ISBN: 9780876632222
Category : Economic development.
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Examines the factors which limit human economic and population growth and outlines the steps necessary for achieving a balance between population and production. Bibliogs
Population Matters
Author: Nancy BirdsallPublisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191529532
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 457
Book Description
The effect of demography on economic performance has been the subject of intense debate in economics for nearly two centuries. In recent years opinion has swung between the Malthusian views of Coale and Hoover, and the cornucopian views of Julian Simon. Unfortunately, until recently, data were too weak and analytical models too limited to provide clear insights into the relationship. As a result, economists as a group have not been clear or conclusive. This volume, which is based on a collection of papers that heavily rely on data from the 1980s and 1990s and on new analytical approaches, sheds important new light on demographic—economic relationships, and it provides clearer policy conclusions than any recent work on the subject. In particular, evidence from developing countries throughout the world shows a pattern in recent decades that was not evident earlier: countries with higher rates of population growth have tended to see less economic growth. An analysis of the role of demography in the "Asian economic miracle" strongly suggests that changes in age structures resulting from declining fertility create a one-time "demographic gift" or window of opportunity, when the working age population has relatively few dependants, of either young or old age, to support. Countries which recognize and seize on this opportunity can, as the Asian tigers did, realize healthy bursts in economic output. But such results are by no means assured: only for countries with otherwise sound economic policies will the window of opportunity yield such dramatic results. Finally, several of the studies demonstrate the likelihood of a causal relationship between high fertility and poverty. While the direction of causality is not always clear and very likely is reciprocal (poverty contributes to high fertility and high fertility reinforces poverty), the studies support the view that lower fertility at the country level helps create a path out of poverty for many families. Population Matters represents an important further step in our understanding of the contribution of population change to economic performance. As such, it will be a useful volume for policymakers both in developing countries and in international development agencies.
The Population Bomb
Author: Paul R. EhrlichPublisher:
ISBN: 9781568495873
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
The Case for Fewer People
Author: Lindsey GrantPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 768
Book Description
A collection of essays of the subject of Negative Population Growth. Amongst the remarkable changes that occurred in the industrialized world in the twentieth century, the most fundamental change of all was the quadrupling of human population--a growth three times as large as the human race had experienced in all its previous history. The alarming increase in world population has profoundly altered mankind's relationship to the Earth natural resources. This scholarly compendium presents a collection of writings on the subject of population change, its consequences and the impact of human crowding on the future of mankind.--From publisher description.
The "Second India" Revisited
Author: Robert C. RepettoPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 116
Book Description
This work compares the forecasts of the Second India study of the 1960s - which investigated how the nation would cope with the inevitable doubling of its population by the year 2000 - with the actual effects of India's population growth.
Population and Development
Author: Tim DysonPublisher:
ISBN: 9788131604144
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
The demographic transition and its related effects of population growth, fertility decline and ageing populations are fraught with problems and controversy. When discussed in relation to the global south and the modern project of development, the questions and answers become more problematic. "Population and Development" expertly guides the reader through the demographic transition's origins in the Enlightenment and Europe, through to the rest of the world. While the phenomenon continues to cause unsustainable population growth with disastrous economic and environmental implications, the author examines how its processes have underlain previous periods of sustained economic growth; helped to liberate women from the domestic domain; and contributed greatly to the rise of modern democracy. This accessible and expert analysis will enable any student or expert in development studies to understand complex and vital demographic theory.
Empty Planet
Author: Darrell BrickerPublisher: Signal
ISBN: 0771050895
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 246
Book Description
From the authors of the bestselling The Big Shift, a provocative argument that the global population will soon begin to decline, dramatically reshaping the social, political, and economic landscape. For half a century, statisticians, pundits, and politicians have warned that a burgeoning planetary population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources. But a growing number of experts are sounding a different kind of alarm. Rather than growing exponentially, they argue, the global population is headed for a steep decline. Throughout history, depopulation was the product of catastrophe: ice ages, plagues, the collapse of civilizations. This time, however, we're thinning ourselves deliberately, by choosing to have fewer babies than we need to replace ourselves. In much of the developed and developing world, that decline is already underway, as urbanization, women's empowerment, and waning religiosity lead to smaller and smaller families. In Empty Planet, Ibbitson and Bricker travel from South Florida to Sao Paulo, Seoul to Nairobi, Brussels to Delhi to Beijing, drawing on a wealth of research and firsthand reporting to illustrate the dramatic consequences of this population decline--and to show us why the rest of the developing world will soon join in. They find that a smaller global population will bring with it a number of benefits: fewer workers will command higher wages; good jobs will prompt innovation; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women. But enormous disruption lies ahead, too. We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia, as aging populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and social security. The United States is well-positioned to successfully navigate these coming demographic shifts--that is, unless growing isolationism and anti-immigrant backlash lead us to close ourselves off just as openness becomes more critical to our survival than ever before. Rigorously researched and deeply compelling, Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent--but one that we can shape, if we choose.