Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Currency Risk Premia Redux PDF full book. Access full book title Currency Risk Premia Redux by Federico Nucera. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Federico Nucera Publisher: ISBN: Category : Assets (Accounting) Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
We study a large currency cross section using asset pricing methods which account for omitted-variable and measurement-error biases. First, we show that the pricing kernel includes at least three latent factors which resemble (but are not identical to) a strong U.S. “Dollar” factor, and two weak, high Sharpe ratio “Carry” and “Momentum” slope factors. Evidence for an additional “Value” factor is weaker. Second, using this pricing kernel, we find that only a small fraction of the over 100 nontradable candidate factors considered have a statistically significant risk premium -- mostly relating to volatility, uncertainty and liquidity conditions, rather than macro variables.
Author: Federico Nucera Publisher: ISBN: Category : Assets (Accounting) Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
We study a large currency cross section using asset pricing methods which account for omitted-variable and measurement-error biases. First, we show that the pricing kernel includes at least three latent factors which resemble (but are not identical to) a strong U.S. “Dollar” factor, and two weak, high Sharpe ratio “Carry” and “Momentum” slope factors. Evidence for an additional “Value” factor is weaker. Second, using this pricing kernel, we find that only a small fraction of the over 100 nontradable candidate factors considered have a statistically significant risk premium -- mostly relating to volatility, uncertainty and liquidity conditions, rather than macro variables.
Author: Shaun K. Roache Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not be compensated for currency risk. However, data covering 33 industry portfolios across seven major stock markets suggest that not only is exchange rate risk priced in many markets, but that it is time-varying and sensitive to currency-specific shocks. With stock market investors typically exhibiting "home bias," this suggests that investors are using equity asset proxies to hedge the exchange rate risks to consumption.
Author: Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451845790 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 40
Book Description
This paper challenges the conventional view that foreign exchange risk premiums are small, not volatile, and unrelated to macroeconomic variables. For the Italian lira (1987-94), unconditional risk premiums—constructed using survey data to measure exchange rate expectations—are found to be sizable (relative to the dimension of the forward premium), highly volatile (relative to the variability of the forward bias), and predictable. Estimation of structural models of the risk premium suggests that anticipated fiscal contractions in Italy and lower uncertainty about the future path of fiscal policy are associated with a lower risk premium on lira-denominated assets.
Author: Alastair Graham Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1135957258 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 134
Book Description
The Currency Risk Management series offers readers, researchers, and financial professional a time-tested training tool for understanding and working in the increasingly complex currency markets. This series breaks new ground in simplicity, clarity, and ease of application in risk management practice.
Author: Pasquale Della Corte Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 71
Book Description
We discover a new currency strategy with highly desirable return and diversification properties, which uses the predictive capability of currency volatility risk premia for currency returns. The volatility risk premium -- the difference between expected realized volatility and model-free implied volatility -- reflects the costs of insuring against currency volatility fluctuations, and the strategy sells high-insurance-cost currencies and buys low-insurance-cost currencies. The returns to the strategy are mainly generated by movements in spot exchange rates rather than interest rate differentials, and the strategy carries a large weight in a minimum-variance portfolio of commonly employed currency strategies. We explore alternative explanations for the profitability of the strategy, which cannot be understood using traditional risk factors.
Author: Kerstin Bernoth Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling period. The FFP appears to be a pre-crisis phenomenon and is only observed for maturities longer than about one month. When examining whether the observed excess returns of futures contracts represent a fair compensation for currency risk, we find that non-durable consumption risk and market risk can explain excess currency returns. But only in the pre-crisis period and when the maturity of the assets is longer than about three months.
Author: Pasquale Della Corte Publisher: ISBN: Category : Foreign exchange rates Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
We investigate the predictive information content in foreign exchange volatility risk premia for exchange rate returns. The volatility risk premium is the difference between realized volatility and a model-free measure of expected volatility that is derived from currency options, and reflects the cost of insurance against volatility fluctuations in the underlying currency. We find that a portfolio that sells currencies with high insurance costs and buys currencies with low insurance costs generates sizeable out-of-sample returns and Sharpe ratios. These returns are almost entirely obtained via predictability of spot exchange rates rather than interest rate differentials, and these predictable spot returns are far stronger than those from carry trade and momentum strategies. Canonical risk factors cannot price the returns from this strategy, which can be understood, however, in terms of a simple mechanism with time-varying limits to arbitrage.
Author: John J. Stephens Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 0470848081 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 218
Book Description
Control the number one cause of financial loss currency fluctuation With cross-border commerce now the global norm, companies must now face the greatest threat to their financial stability: financial losses due to currency fluctuations. Written by an international business and banking expert, Managing Currency Risk is an authoritative, accessible look at the variety of methods used to minimize currency risk. Written for the financial market novice, the book explains the nature and uses of a variety of financial instruments without complicated mathematical equations. Discussed in detail are all forms of currency derivatives, such as forward foreign exchange, OTC currency options, currency swaps, currency futures, and options which are illustrated with international examples and case studies. A practical guide on every aspect of currency risk, Managing Currency Risk also serves as a guide to navigating your firm through turbulent economic times.
Author: Federico Nucera
Author: Federico Nucera
Author: Shaun K. Roache
Author: Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni
Author: Shaun K. Roache
Author: Alastair Graham
Author: 
Author: Pasquale Della Corte
Author: Kerstin Bernoth
Author: Pasquale Della Corte
Author: John J. Stephens