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Credit Conditions and the Cyclical Behavior of Inventories

Credit Conditions and the Cyclical Behavior of Inventories PDF Author: A. K. Kashyap
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description
This paper examines micro data on U.S. firms' inventories during different macroeconomic episodes. Much of the analysis focuses on the 1981-82 recession, a recession that was apparently precipitated by tight monetary policy. We find important cross-sectional effects in this period: firms that were "bank-dependent" were much more prone to shed inventories than their non-bank-dependent counterparts. In contrast, such cross-sectional differences are largely absent during a period of "loose" monetary policy later in the 1980s. Our findings are consistent with the view that 1) there is a bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission; 2) the lending channel is likely to be particularly important in explaining inventory fluctuations during downturns

Credit Conditions and the Cyclical Behavior of Inventories

Credit Conditions and the Cyclical Behavior of Inventories PDF Author: A. K. Kashyap
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description
This paper examines micro data on U.S. firms' inventories during different macroeconomic episodes. Much of the analysis focuses on the 1981-82 recession, a recession that was apparently precipitated by tight monetary policy. We find important cross-sectional effects in this period: firms that were "bank-dependent" were much more prone to shed inventories than their non-bank-dependent counterparts. In contrast, such cross-sectional differences are largely absent during a period of "loose" monetary policy later in the 1980s. Our findings are consistent with the view that 1) there is a bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission; 2) the lending channel is likely to be particularly important in explaining inventory fluctuations during downturns

The Cyclical Behavior of Inventories

The Cyclical Behavior of Inventories PDF Author: Alessandro Sembenelli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This paper employs data for a panel of firms from France, Italy and the UK to study the effect of the recession of the early '90s on inventory investment, controlling for cyclical fluctuations at the firm level. The results clearly show some common patterns across countries, pointing to the relevance of financial factors in propagating initial recessionary shocks. However, Italian firms, especially if "small and young", seem more likely to suffer from a reduction in the value of collateralizable assets possibly originated by restrictive policy actions.

Credit Frictions, Collateral and the Cyclical Behavior of the Finance Premium

Credit Frictions, Collateral and the Cyclical Behavior of the Finance Premium PDF Author: Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This paper examines the behavior of the finance premium after technology and monetary shocks in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model where borrowers use a fraction of their production (output) as collateral. We show that this simple framework is capable of producing a countercyclical finance premium, while matching the well-documented stylized facts of macro dynamics. A key feature is the endogenous derivation of the default probability from break-even conditions, which results in the loan rate being set as a countercyclical finance premium over the cost of borrowing from the central bank. The latter is shown to provide an accelerator effect through which shocks can amplify the loan spread and the dynamic response of macro variables.

Money, Credit, and the Cyclical Behavior of Household Investment

Money, Credit, and the Cyclical Behavior of Household Investment PDF Author: Victor E. Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description


The Seasonal and Cyclical Behavior of Inventories

The Seasonal and Cyclical Behavior of Inventories PDF Author: James A. Kahn
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description


Credit Frictions, Collateral and the Cyclical Behavior of the Finance Premium

Credit Frictions, Collateral and the Cyclical Behavior of the Finance Premium PDF Author: Pierre-Richard Agnor
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19

Book Description
This paper examines the impact of monetary shocks on the loan spread in a DSGE model that combines the cost channel effect of monetary transmission with the role of collateral under asymmetric information. Its key feature is the endogenous derivation of the default probability that results in a lending rate being set as a countercyclical risk premium over the cost of borrowing from the central bank. The endogenous probability of default is shown to provide an accelerator effect through which monetary shocks can amplify the loan spread. The behavior of the spread appears to be consistent with existing empirical evidence.

Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing Corporations

Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing Corporations PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Manufactures
Languages : en
Pages : 944

Book Description


Inventory, Business Cycles and Monetary Transmission

Inventory, Business Cycles and Monetary Transmission PDF Author: Riccardo Fiorito
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642468063
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 288

Book Description
Inventory changes constitute in all countries a small fraction of the Gross National Product but also a major source or an indicator of cyclical fluctuations. In this volume both possible ways of propagation are investigated by examining in the first part what macroeconomists have learned and still have to learn about inventories in the light of statistical definitions and problems. In the second part, the role of monetary shocks in propagating business cycles is considered through liquidity effects and in relation to inventory adjustment. A possible linkage between inventory and labor market is shown. Finally, new evidence and theoretical insights are provided on the linear-quadratic inventory model and its ability to discriminate econometrically among competing firm behavior.

The American Business Cycle

The American Business Cycle PDF Author: Robert J. Gordon
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226304590
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 882

Book Description
In recent decades the American economy has experienced the worst peace-time inflation in its history and the highest unemployment rate since the Great Depression. These circumstances have prompted renewed interest in the concept of business cycles, which Joseph Schumpeter suggested are "like the beat of the heart, of the essence of the organism that displays them." In The American Business Cycle, some of the most prominent macroeconomics in the United States focuses on the questions, To what extent are business cycles propelled by external shocks? How have post-1946 cycles differed from earlier cycles? And, what are the major factors that contribute to business cycles? They extend their investigation in some areas as far back as 1875 to afford a deeper understanding of both economic history and the most recent economic fluctuations. Seven papers address specific aspects of economic activity: consumption, investment, inventory change, fiscal policy, monetary behavior, open economy, and the labor market. Five papers focus on aggregate economic activity. In a number of cases, the papers present findings that challenge widely accepted models and assumptions. In addition to its substantive findings, The American Business Cycle includes an appendix containing both the first published history of the NBER business-cycle dating chronology and many previously unpublished historical data series.

Handbook of Macroeconomics

Handbook of Macroeconomics PDF Author: John B. Taylor
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 9780444501578
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 576

Book Description
Annotation Part 6: Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy. 19. Asset prices, consumption, and the business cycle (J.Y. Campbell). 20. Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system (R.J. Shiller). 21. The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework (B. Bernanke, M. Gertler and S. Gilchrist). Part 7: Monetary and Fiscal Policy. 22. Political economics and macroeconomic policy (T. Persson, G. Tabellini). 23. Issues in the design of monetary policy rules (B.T. McCallum). 24. Inflation stabilization and BOP crises in developing countries (G.A. Calvo, C.A. Vegh). 25. Government debt (D.W. Elmendorf, N.G. Mankiw). 26. Optimal fiscal and monetary policy (V.V. Chari, P.J. Kehoe).