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Author: Anthony John Richards Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 36
Book Description
This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However, this paper finds some evidence for the long-horizon predictability of relative returns, and the existence of “winner-loser” reversals across 16 national equity markets. A conclusion is that national stock market indices include a common world component and two country-specific components, one permanent and one transitory.
Author: Anthony John Richards Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 36
Book Description
This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However, this paper finds some evidence for the long-horizon predictability of relative returns, and the existence of “winner-loser” reversals across 16 national equity markets. A conclusion is that national stock market indices include a common world component and two country-specific components, one permanent and one transitory.
Author: Anthony J. Richards Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 30
Book Description
This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However, this paper finds some evidence for the long-horizon predictability of relative returns, and the existence of quot;winner-loserquot; reversals across 16 national equity markets. A conclusion is that national stock market indices include a common world component and two country-specific components, one permanent and one transitory.
Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel Publisher: University of Chicago Press ISBN: 0226260216 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 428
Book Description
This timely volume addresses three important recent trends in the internationalization of United States equity markets: extensive market integration through foreign investment and links among stock prices around the world; increasing securitization as countries such as Japan come to rely more than ever before on markets in equities and bonds at the expense of banks; and the opening of national financial systems of newly industrializing countries to international financial flows and institutions, as governments remove capital controls and other barriers. Eight essays examine such issues as the current extent of international market integration, gains to U.S. investors through international diversification, home-country bias in investing, the role of time and location around the world in stock trading, and the behavior of country funds. Other, long-standing questions about equity markets are also addressed, including market efficiency and the accuracy of models of expected returns, with a particular focus on variances, covariances, and the price of risk according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model.
Author: Louis Gagnon Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 37
Book Description
Using intraday prices for the Samp;P 500 and Nikkei Stock Average and aggregate trading volume for the New York and Tokyo Stock Exchanges, we show how short-run comovements between national stock market returns vary over time in a way related to the trading volume and liquidity in those markets. We frame our analysis in the context of the equilibrium models of trading developed by Campbell, Grossman and Wang (1993) and Blume, Easley and O?Hara (1994) which predict that trading volume acts as a signal of the information content of a given price move. While we find that there exists significant short-run dependence in returns and volatility between Japan and the U.S., we offer new evidence that these return quot;spilloversquot; are sensitive to interactions with trading volume in both markets. The cross-market effects with volume are revealed in both close-to-open and open-to-close returns and often exhibit non-linearities which are not predicted by theory.
Author: Kristin Forbes Publisher: ISBN: Category : Contagion (Social psychology) Languages : en Pages : 54
Book Description
This paper examines stock market co-movements. It begins with a discussion of several conceptual issues involved in measuring these movements and how to test for contagion. Standard tests examine if cross-market correlation in stock market returns increase during a period of crisis. The measure of cross-market correlations central to this standard analysis, however, is biased. The unadjusted correlation coefficient is conditional on market movements over the time period under consideration, so that during a period of turmoil when stock market volatility increases, standard estimates of cross-market correlations will be biased upward. It is straightforward to adjust the correlation coefficient to correct for this bias. The remainder of the paper applies these concepts to test for stock market contagion during the 1997 East Asian crises, the 1994 Mexican peso collapse, and the 1987 U.S. stock market crash. In each of these cases, tests based on the unadjusted correlation coefficients find evidence of contagion in several countries, while tests based on the adjusted coefficients find virtually no contagion. This suggests that high market co-movements during these periods were a continuation of strong cross-market linkages. In other words, during these three crises there was no contagion, only interdependence.
Author: Anthony John Richards
Author: Anthony John Richards
Author: Anthony J. Richards
Author: Anthony Richards
Author: Bharti Publications
Author: Stijn Claessens
Author: Yin-Wong Cheung
Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel
Author: Louis Gagnon
Author: Kristin Forbes
Author: Hersh Shefrin