Author: Carl-Axel S. Staël von HolsteinPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bayesian statistical decision theory
Languages : en
Pages : 248
Book Description
Assessment and Evaluation of Subjective Probability Distributions
Author: Carl-Axel S. Staël von HolsteinPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bayesian statistical decision theory
Languages : en
Pages : 248
Book Description
Research Paper RM.
Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forests and forestry
Languages : en
Pages : 248
Book Description
NBS Special Publication
Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weights and measures
Languages : en
Pages : 592
Book Description
Item Banking: Interactive Testing and Self-Assessment
Author: Dieudonne A. LeclercqPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642580335
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 275
Book Description
Assessment has long been recognized as a key feature in learning efficacy, especially through formative evaluation. Item banking, the storage and classification of test items, is an essential part of systematic assessment. This volume is based on a NATO Advanced Research Workshop held as part of the Special Programme on Advanced Educational Technology. The workshop brought together scholars from around the world to discuss and critically analyze the issues and problems associated with Subjective Probability Measurement (SPM) or the more generic research area called self-assessment. Recent advances in computer technology (expert systems, interactive video disks, and hypermedia) along with the developing sophistication of self-assessment scoring systems based on SPM made this conference particularly important and timely. The book is divided into three main parts: - The input: item banking and hypermedia - The process: subjective probabilities - The output: teaching and learning feedbacks. In summary, although SPM is a difficult theoretical concept for most educators to comprehend, the sophisticated nature of modern computer systems coupled with comprehensive formative and summative evaluation and self-assessment systems make SPM transparent to the user.
Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs
Author: H. JungermannPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401012768
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 525
Book Description
It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.
Studies in Subjective Probability
Author: Henry Ely KyburgPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 278
Book Description
Truth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge.
The Economic Value of Improved Fuels and Fire Behavior Information
Author: Stephen M. BarragerPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Fire ecology
Languages : en
Pages : 40
Book Description
Uncertainty
Author: Millett Granger MorganPublisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521427449
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 354
Book Description
A risk analysis textbook which is intended as a basic text for students as well as a reference for practitioners and researchers. It provides a basis for policy analysis and draws upon a variety of case studies.
The Evaluation of Risk in Business Investment
Author: J.C. HullPublisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 1483296296
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 192
Book Description
Provides finance specialists in industry and students of management with a comprehensive set of practical procedures for evaluating the total risk in the major capital investment decisions facing a business. It discusses in detail how companies can make effective use of sensitivity analyses, risk simulations and other techniques, and deals in depth with important issues, such as: How should the results of a sensitivity analysis be interpreted?; How can adequate subjective probability distributions be obtained? How can dependencies between variables be dealt with in a practical way?; The emphasis throughout is on 'how to do it' and the reader needs only a slight knowledge of statistics. A particularly important feature of the book is the FORTRAN subroutines in Appendices A and B which the author prepared for calculating risk evaluations
The Probabilistic Mind
Author: Nick ChaterPublisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0199216096
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 535
Book Description
The Probabilistic Mind is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited Rational Models of Cognition (OUP, 1998). It brings together developmetns in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using probabilistic Bayesian methods.