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An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty

An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ruth Beyth-Marom
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134923937
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 169

Book Description
Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.

An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty

An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ruth Beyth-Marom
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134923937
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 169

Book Description
Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.

An Elementary Approach to Thinking Under Uncertainty

An Elementary Approach to Thinking Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ruth Beyth-Marom
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9780898593792
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 154

Book Description
'With admirable clarity, Mrs Peters sums up what determines competence in spelling and the traditional and new approaches to its teaching.' -Times Literary Supplement

An Elementary Approach to Thinking Under Uncertainty

An Elementary Approach to Thinking Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ruth Beyth-Marom
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Intuition
Languages : en
Pages : 296

Book Description
This technical report is a prototype elementary textbook for teaching reasoning processes and decision making under conditions of uncertainty. It is written at an introductory level and designed to be usable for nontechnical personnel. The text is based on a translation of a Hebrew book and adapted for the American student audience. The original material is based on the study of intuitive thought processes and capitalizes on information about cognitive biases that typically lead to faulty decisions and judgments. Methods are outlined for processing partial unreliable information in the following categories: when choosing the most likely among a set of possible solutions; when estimating a numerical value as the solution in a quantitative problem; when assessing the probability of occurrence of an event; and when estimating the chances of an event in exceptional problems. Practice problems are provided at the end of most chapters. In addition, a list of technical references and an outline of related topics for further study are presented at the conclusion of the text. Military command, control, and intelligence personnel should find this text applicable and easily adapted for the training of human information processing and decision making. (Author).

An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty

An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Ruth Beyth-Marom
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134923864
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 161

Book Description
Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.

Assessing Uncertainty in Expert Judgments about Natural Resources

Assessing Uncertainty in Expert Judgments about Natural Resources PDF Author: David A. Cleaves
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forest health
Languages : en
Pages : 24

Book Description


Improving Statistical Reasoning

Improving Statistical Reasoning PDF Author: Peter Sedlmeier
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1135705763
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 249

Book Description
This book describes an approach to understanding, modeling, and improving the probabilistic reasoning of ordinary adults, comparing their reasoning to that of "experts." For specialists in judgment and decision making and all cognitive scientists.

Ignorance and Uncertainty

Ignorance and Uncertainty PDF Author: Michael Smithson
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461236282
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 404

Book Description
Ignorance and Uncertainty overviews a variety of approaches to the problem of indeterminacies in human thought and behavior. This book examines, in depth, trends in the psychology of judgment and decision-making under uncertainty or ignorance. Research from the fields of cognitive psychology, social psychology, organizational studies, sociology, and social anthroplogy are reviewed here in anticipation of what Dr. Smithson characterizes as the beginning of a "creative dialogue between these researchers". Ignorance and Uncertainty offers the conceptual framework for understanding the paradigms associated with current research. It discusses the ways in which attitudes toward ignorance and uncertainty are changing, and addresses issues previously ignored.

Cognitive Strategies in Stochastic Thinking

Cognitive Strategies in Stochastic Thinking PDF Author: Roland W. Scholz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 940093825X
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 228

Book Description


Current Trends in Knowledge Acquisition

Current Trends in Knowledge Acquisition PDF Author: Bob Wielinga
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 9789051990362
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 390

Book Description
Knowledge acquisition has become a major area of artificial intelligence and cognitive science research. The papers in this book show that the area of knowledge acquisition for knowledge-based systems is still a diverse field in which a large number of research topics are being addressed. However, several main themes run through the papers. First, the issues of integrating knowledge from different sources and K.A. tools is a salient topic in many papers. A second major topic in the papers is that of knowledge modelling. Research in knowledge-based systems emphasises the use of generic models of reasoning and its underlying knowledge. An important trend in the area of knowledge modelling aims at the formalisation of knowledge models. Where the field of knowledge acquisition was without tools and techniques years ago, now there is a rapidly growing body of techniques and tools. Apart from the integrated workbenches already mentioned above, several papers in this book present new tools. Although knowledge acquisition and machine learning have been considered as separate subfields of AI, there is a tendency for the two fields to come together. This publication combines machine learning techniques with more conventional knowledge elicitation techniques. A framework is presented in which reasoning, problem solving and learning together form a knowledge intensive system that can acquire knowledge from its own experience.

Exploring Probability in School

Exploring Probability in School PDF Author: Graham A. Jones
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387245308
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 394

Book Description
Exploring Probability in School provides a new perspective into research on the teaching and learning of probability. It creates this perspective by recognizing and analysing the special challenges faced by teachers and learners in contemporary classrooms where probability has recently become a mainstream part of the curriculum from early childhood through high school. The authors of the book discuss the nature of probability, look at the meaning of probabilistic literacy, and examine student access to powerful ideas in probability during the elementary, middle, and high school years. Moreover, they assemble and analyse research-based pedagogical knowledge for teachers that can enhance the learning of probability throughout these school years. With the book’s rich application of probability research to classroom practice, it will not only be essential reading for researchers and graduate students involved in probability education; it will also capture the interest of educational policy makers, curriculum personnel, teacher educators, and teachers.