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Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices

Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices PDF Author: Philip K. Verleger
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 9780881320695
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 220

Book Description
The author traces the development of petroleum commodity markets, then examines the quest by producers and consumers for stability in world oil markets. He finds that modest producer and consumer gains can be realized through negotiations that achieve removal of barriers to trade, elimination of hurdles to foreign investment, and strengthening of financial institutions.

Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices

Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices PDF Author: Philip K. Verleger
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 9780881320695
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 220

Book Description
The author traces the development of petroleum commodity markets, then examines the quest by producers and consumers for stability in world oil markets. He finds that modest producer and consumer gains can be realized through negotiations that achieve removal of barriers to trade, elimination of hurdles to foreign investment, and strengthening of financial institutions.

Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices

Adjusting to Volatile Energy Prices PDF Author: Philip K. Verleger
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780881321746
Category : Petroleum industry and trade
Languages : en
Pages : 288

Book Description
Verleger examines this quest for stability in world oil markets. He finds that modest gains can be achieved through negotiations between producers and consumers if agreements emphasize the removal of barriers to trade, elimination of hurdles to foreign investment in the energy sector, and improvement of institutions that guarantee against contractual default. commodities and concludes that, given their failure and the structure of current oil markets, the probability for success of an agreement on oil is remote. Moreover, he shows that an oil price stabilization agreement would impose enormous costs on consumers and that such an agreement is unnecessary given the introduction of new financial instruments that reduce the risk of price fluctuations for both consumers and producers.

Crude Awakenings

Crude Awakenings PDF Author: Steve A. Yetiv
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 0801458188
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 249

Book Description
"The real story of global oil over the past twenty-five years is not about the spillover effects of Palestinians fighting Israelis, or terrorist attacks on U.S. forces in Saudi Arabia and Yemen, or Iraq's stormy relationship with Kuwait. It is not even about periodic small- and large-scale U.S. attacks on Iraq. Rather, the real story is about longer-term developments that have changed the international relations of the Middle East, politics at the global level, and world oil markets. These developments have increased oil stability."—from the Introduction Thirty years after OAPEC shattered world markets for oil, the Western world remains profoundly dependent on foreign, particularly Middle Eastern, sources of petroleum. U.S. political rhetoric is suffused with claims about the vulnerability caused by this dependence. Hence, many political analysts assume that a search for stability of petroleum supplies is an important element of contemporary American foreign policy. Steve A. Yetiv argues that common assumptions about oil markets are wrong. Although prices remain volatile, Yetiv's account portrays a world market in petroleum products far more benign and predictable than the one to which we are accustomed. In Crude Awakenings, he identifies and analyzes real and potential threats to the global energy supply, including wars, revolutions, coups, dangerous alliances, oil embargoes, Islamic radicalism, and transnational terrorism. However, he also shows how some of these threats have been mitigated and how global oil security has been reinforced.

Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1994

Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1994 PDF Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on the Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : United States
Languages : en
Pages : 1540

Book Description


Rethinking Emergency Energy Policy

Rethinking Emergency Energy Policy PDF Author: Richard Farmer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Emergency power supply
Languages : en
Pages : 62

Book Description


Canadian Energy Policy and the Struggle for Sustainable Development

Canadian Energy Policy and the Struggle for Sustainable Development PDF Author: G. Bruce Doern
Publisher: University of Toronto Press
ISBN: 9780802085610
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 364

Book Description
In recent years, energy policy has been increasingly linked to concepts of sustainable development. In this timely collection, editor G. Bruce Doern presents an overview of Canadian energy policy, gathering together the top Canadian scholars in the field in an examination of the twenty-year period broadly benchmarked by energy liberalization and free trade in the mid-1980s, and by Canada's ratification of the Kyoto Protocol in 2002. The contributors examine issues including electricity restructuring in the wake of the August 2003 blackout, the implications of the Bush Administration's energy policies, energy security, northern pipelines and Aboriginal energy issues, provincial changes in energy policy, and overall federal-provincial changes in regulatory governance. They also demonstrate that, since per capita energy usage has actually increased in the past several years, sustainable development remains very much a struggle rather than an achievement. When the Kyoto Protocol and its requirements for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are factored in, the Canadian record is especially dubious in basic energy terms. Canadian Energy Policy and the Struggle for Sustainable Development is key to understanding many of the issues in Canada's endeavour to live up to its energy-related environmental responsibilities.

Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices

Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices PDF Author: Walter C. Labys
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
ISBN: 1351917099
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 260

Book Description
Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.

Soft Computing Applications in Business

Soft Computing Applications in Business PDF Author: Bhanu Prasad
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540790047
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

Book Description
Soft computing techniques are widely used in most businesses. This book consists of several important papers on the applications of soft computing techniques for the business field. The soft computing techniques used in this book include (or very closely related to): Bayesian networks, biclustering methods, case-based reasoning, data mining, Dempster-Shafer theory, ensemble learning, evolutionary programming, fuzzy decision trees, hidden Markov models, intelligent agents, k-means clustering, maximum likelihood Hebbian learning, neural networks, opportunistic scheduling, probability distributions combined with Monte Carlo methods, rough sets, self organizing maps, support vector machines, uncertain reasoning, other statistical and machine learning techniques, and combinations of these techniques. The businesses or business problems addressed in this book include (or very closely related to): analysis of correlations between currency exchange rates, analysis of USA banks and Moody’s bank financial strength rating, arrears management, business risk identification, company audit fee evaluation, dental treatments, business internal control, intelligent tutoring systems and educational assessment, modeling agent behavior, motor insurance industry, personal loan defaults, pricing strategies for increasing the market share, pricing strategies in supply chain management, probabilistic sales forecasting, user relevance feedback analysis for online text retrieval, and world crude oil spot price forecasting.

Volatility of Oil Prices

Volatility of Oil Prices PDF Author: Mr.Peter Wickham
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451954727
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20

Book Description
This paper examines the behavior of crude oil prices since 1980, and in particular the volatility of these prices. The empirical analysis covers “spot” prices for one of the key internationally traded crudes, namely Dated Brent Blend. A GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic) model, which allows the conditional variance to be time-variant, is estimated for the period which includes the oil price slump of 1986 and the surge in prices in 1990 as a result of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. The paper also discusses the growth of futures and derivative markets and the dynamic links between spot and futures markets.

Risk and Uncertainty in the Changing Global Energy Market

Risk and Uncertainty in the Changing Global Energy Market PDF Author: The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
Publisher: Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
ISBN: 9948005724
Category : Antiques & Collectibles
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
The complex dynamics of the world energy market make it virtually impossible to map clearly the contours of the emerging global scenario. However, realistic trend evaluation, risk assessment, change management strategies and provision for eventualities are imperatives for nations, organizations and companies that have a major stake in the energy industry. Uncertainties may originate from many quarters-geopolitical factors, market forces, energy security issues, environmental and safety concerns. These risk factors call for careful analysis and effective solutions. ECSSR's Eighth Annual Energy Conference, held in Abu Dhabi from October 19-20, 2002 assembled a panel of energy experts to identify and assess the major risks and uncertainties affecting the global energy market. The conference presentations contained in this book shed light on issues such as geopolitical and military risks, supply disruptions, accidents and contingencies, infrastructure constraints, price fluctuations, market uncertainties and technical challenges. For both energy producers and consumers there are valuable guidelines on minimizing foreseeable risks through techniques such as energy supply diversification, import reduction moves, developing alternative energy sources, building strategic links with suppliers, signing regional cooperation agreements, maintaining oil stockpiling, implementing pricing strategies, enhancing energy conservation, increasing energy efficiency and countering speculative trading.