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Author: Srdan Boljanovic Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783659469541 Category : Languages : en Pages : 56
Book Description
Is Serbia's permanent current account deficit sustainable in medium and long term? In the first part of the book author tries to answer this question analysing factors such as current account structure, the cause of the current account deficit, the structure and volume of foreign capital inflow, the level of economic growth, real exchange rate appreciation, the structure and level of external debt, the level of foreign reserves, financial system stability, openness of the economy, political and macroeconomic stability and global factors.In the second part of the book the theoretical model created by Milesi-Ferretti and Razin is used to access Serbia's medium-term current account sustainability. On the basis of Reisen's theoretical work (Reisen methodology) and by adding net reinvested earnings from foreign direct investment to the model, a new (modified) model for assessing the long-term sustainability of a country's current account deficit is presented. The created model was used for assessing the long-term sustainability of Serbia's current account deficit.
Author: Srdan Boljanovic Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783659469541 Category : Languages : en Pages : 56
Book Description
Is Serbia's permanent current account deficit sustainable in medium and long term? In the first part of the book author tries to answer this question analysing factors such as current account structure, the cause of the current account deficit, the structure and volume of foreign capital inflow, the level of economic growth, real exchange rate appreciation, the structure and level of external debt, the level of foreign reserves, financial system stability, openness of the economy, political and macroeconomic stability and global factors.In the second part of the book the theoretical model created by Milesi-Ferretti and Razin is used to access Serbia's medium-term current account sustainability. On the basis of Reisen's theoretical work (Reisen methodology) and by adding net reinvested earnings from foreign direct investment to the model, a new (modified) model for assessing the long-term sustainability of a country's current account deficit is presented. The created model was used for assessing the long-term sustainability of Serbia's current account deficit.
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484317327 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 148
Book Description
This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that Serbia’s economy has strengthened impressively since the adoption of the economic program supported by the Stand-By Arrangement. Economic growth is expected to reach 3 percent in 2017. The fiscal deficit should narrow to 1.1 percent of GDP—the lowest level since 2005—and public debt is heading down faster than projected. Contrary to expectations, the larger than planned fiscal tightening has been associated with increased growth, reflecting the confidence engendered by decisively tackling the public debt sustainability concerns. Moreover, unemployment is falling sharply, along with the level of banks’ nonperforming loans, while inflation has been maintained at low levels.
Author: International Monetary Fund Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451833547 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 100
Book Description
This paper examines Serbia and Montenegro’s Third Review Under the Extended Arrangement and Requests for Waiver of Performance Criterion. Serbia and Montenegro’s recent economic performance has been mixed, combining excellent progress in some areas with an uncomfortably large current account deficit and modest growth in output and exports from low levels. The envisaged tightening of fiscal policy is broadly appropriate—albeit overly reliant on revenue measures. Achieving the fiscal deficit target will help narrow the current account deficit and place the fiscal and external accounts on sustainable paths.
Author: International Monetary Fund Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1455205621 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 92
Book Description
This 2010 Article IV Consultation highlights that the authorities’ adjustment program has contributed to limiting the fallout of the global crisis on Serbia. Although the output slump has been limited relative to regional peers, the decline in domestic demand has been significant, resulting in a strong external adjustment. The outlook for 2010 points to a slow but balanced recovery. The pickup in growth will likely be moderate, reflecting slow trading-partner recovery, protracted corporate deleveraging, nominal freezes in public wages and pensions, and lagging labor market adjustment.
Author: Erokhin, Vasily Publisher: IGI Global ISBN: 1522504524 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 434
Book Description
In the era of globalization, foreign trade has an immense impact upon modern economies. To succeed in the global marketplace, sustainable development in trade practices is an imperative goal for countries to reach. Global Perspectives on Trade Integration and Economies in Transition is an authoritative reference source for the latest research on the dynamics of transitional economies and how certain obstacles can disrupt the effectiveness of the transition process. Highlighting the value of trade incorporation at the national and international levels, this book is ideally designed for researchers, professionals, government officials, policy makers, and upper-level students interested in the intersection of globalization, trade, and international economics.
Author: International Monetary Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513583182 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 107
Book Description
Recent economic developments. Supported by a large policy package, Serbia’s economy rebounded quickly from the initial COVID-19 shock, recording a 1 percent contraction of real GDP in 2020. Job losses have mostly been contained to the informal sector, thanks to policy measures aimed at preserving formal employment. A supplementary budget for 2021 was adopted in April boosting capital expenditure and extending policy support to households and corporates, against the background of third and fourth waves of infections and related containment measures, as well as a weaker-than-expected economic recovery in key trading partners. Inflation remains low. After rising again in late February, infections tapered, helped by new containment measures and the rapid vaccine rollout.
Author: Francis K. Mbroh Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1000409791 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 172
Book Description
Within the theoretical framework of the trade-growth and structural transformation-growth nexuses, the book examines the evolution of African (goods and service) trade in terms of value and share of global commerce relative to other regions during the period 1948–2017. It also identifies and discusses discernible changes in the composition and structure of African exports and imports between 1995 and 2015 and their implications for economic development in Africa. The study attributes Africa's laggard trade performance during the period primarily to sub-optimal macroeconomic policies and lack of bold export development policies and initiatives, among other factors. It also offers an incisive discussion of several inhibitions to the structural transformation of African exports and imports, including lack of finance, globalization, tariff, and non-tariff measures in global markets. The discussion of the evolution of African trade during the period 1948–2017 based on statistics and publications of international organizations, including the UNCTAD, the World Bank, and the African Development Bank, among others, is the first of its kind in terms of scope and depth of review of African trade. The analyses of cross-border trade during 1948–2017 and their implications for Africa’s economic development prospects constitute a useful reference material for academics and students of African and development studies and African and international policymakers.
Author: Craig Burnside Publisher: World Bank Publications ISBN: 9780821358740 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 312
Book Description
Topics discussed in this publication include: an introduction to theoretical and practical aspects of fiscal sustainability; theoretical prerequisites for fiscal sustainability analysis; debt indicators in the measurement of vulnerability; cyclical adjustment of budget surplus; pro-cyclical fiscal policy using Mexico's fiscal accounts as a case study; fiscal rules and the experience of Chile; currency crises and models for deal with financing costs.
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 106
Book Description
In the wake of the Covid pandemic, Serbia embarked on a well-paced consolidation path to rebuild buffers, supported by a program under the Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI). Given higher energy prices and domestic electricity production problems, high global inflation, weaker trading partner growth, and spillovers from Russia’s war in Ukraine, the authorities have requested financial support under a two-year Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) of SDR 1,898.92 million (290 percent of quota, about EUR 2.4 billion). The SBA supports economic and financial policies to address external and fiscal financing needs, maintain macroeconomic and financial stability, and continue to strengthen the economy’s performance and resilience through structural reforms. The PCI was cancelled upon approval of the SBA.
Author: Srdan Boljanovic
Author: Srdan Boljanovic
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Author: International Monetary Fund
Author: Erokhin, Vasily
Author: International Monetary
Author: Francis K. Mbroh
Author: Craig Burnside
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Author: Aleksandar Marković