A Stochastic Model of the Calibration of Subjective Probabilities PDF Download

Author: Lyle A. Brenner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Author: Keith J. Holyoak
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0199313792
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 865

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Book Description
The Oxford Handbook of Thinking and Reasoning brings together the contributions of many of the leading researchers in thinking and reasoning to create the most comprehensive overview of research on thinking and reasoning that has ever been available.

Author: Derek J. Koehler
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470752912
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 680

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Book Description
The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

Author: Thomas Gilovich
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139643665
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 902

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Book Description
Is our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This book, first published in 2002, examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky).

Author: John Dunlosky
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199336741
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 593

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The Oxford Handbook of Metamemory investigates the human ability to evaluate and control learning and information retrieval processes. Each chapter in this authoritative guide highlights a different facet of metamemory research, including classical metamemory judgments; applications of metamemory research to the classroom and courtroom; and cutting-edge perspectives on continuing debates and theory. Chapters also provide broad historical overviews of each research area and discussions of promising directions for future research. The breadth and depth of coverage on offer in this Handbook make it ideal for seminars on metamemory or metacognition. It would also be a valuable supplement for advanced courses on cognitive psychology, of use especially to graduate students and more seasoned researchers who are interested in exploring metamemory for the first time.

Author: Ron Sun
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521674107
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 767

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A cutting-edge reference source for the interdisciplinary field of computational cognitive modeling.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dissertations, Academic
Languages : en
Pages : 868

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Book Description

Author: Peter Juslin
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1135668736
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 353

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Research on human judgment and decision making has been strongly guided by a normative/descriptive approach, according to which human decision making is compared to the normative models provided by decision theory, statistics, and the probability calculus. A common empirical finding has been that human behavior deviates from the prescriptions by normative models--that judgments and decisions are subject to cognitive biases. It is interesting to note that Swedish research on judgment and decision making made an early departure from this dominating mainstream tradition, albeit in two different ways. The Neo-Brunswikian research highlights the relationship between the laboratory task and the adaptation to a natural environment. The process-tracing approach attempts to identify the cognitive processes before, during, and after a decision. This volume summarizes current Swedish research on judgment and decision making, covering topics, such as dynamic decision making, confidence research, the search for dominance structures and differentiation, and social decision making.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 1036

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Author: Karel Kovar
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781901502077
Category : Groundwater
Languages : en
Pages : 566

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