A Nonparametric approach to the construction of prediction intervals for time series forecasts.Working Paper No.63 PDF Download

Author: W.Allen Spivey and William W. Wecker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 14

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Author: Chris Chatfield
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420036203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 281

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Book Description
From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space

Author: Jason Brownlee
Publisher: Machine Learning Mastery
ISBN:
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 291

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Book Description
Statistics is a pillar of machine learning. You cannot develop a deep understanding and application of machine learning without it. Cut through the equations, Greek letters, and confusion, and discover the topics in statistics that you need to know. Using clear explanations, standard Python libraries, and step-by-step tutorial lessons, you will discover the importance of statistical methods to machine learning, summary stats, hypothesis testing, nonparametric stats, resampling methods, and much more.

Author: Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475725264
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 429

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Book Description
Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Author: Bruno Apolloni
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 1586039849
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 276

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A collection of selected papers from the 18th WIRN workshop, the annual meeting of the Italian Neural Networks Society (SIREN). It is divided in two general subjects, 'models' and 'applications' and two specific ones, 'economy and complexity' and 'remote sensing image processing'.

Author: Badi H. Baltagi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 047099830X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 736

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Book Description
A Companion to Theoretical Econometrics provides a comprehensive reference to the basics of econometrics. This companion focuses on the foundations of the field and at the same time integrates popular topics often encountered by practitioners. The chapters are written by international experts and provide up-to-date research in areas not usually covered by standard econometric texts. Focuses on the foundations of econometrics. Integrates real-world topics encountered by professionals and practitioners. Draws on up-to-date research in areas not covered by standard econometrics texts. Organized to provide clear, accessible information and point to further readings.

Author: Jianqing Fan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387693955
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 565

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Book Description
This is the first book that integrates useful parametric and nonparametric techniques with time series modeling and prediction, the two important goals of time series analysis. Such a book will benefit researchers and practitioners in various fields such as econometricians, meteorologists, biologists, among others who wish to learn useful time series methods within a short period of time. The book also intends to serve as a reference or text book for graduate students in statistics and econometrics.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic journals
Languages : en
Pages : 1298

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Book Description
A scientific and educational journal not only for professional statisticians but also for economists, business executives, research directors, government officials, university professors, and others who are seriously interested in the application of statistical methods to practical problems, in the development of more useful methods, and in the improvement of basic statistical data.

Author: Marco Micocci
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439817545
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 766

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Book Description
As pension fund systems decrease and dependency ratios increase, risk management is becoming more complex in public and private pension plans. Pension Fund Risk Management: Financial and Actuarial Modeling sheds new light on the current state of pension fund risk management and provides new technical tools for addressing pension risk from an integr

Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030258203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452

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Book Description
This book summarizes the state of the art in generalized linear models (GLMs) and their various extensions: GAMs, mixed models and credibility, and some nonlinear variants (GNMs). In order to deal with tail events, analytical tools from Extreme Value Theory are presented. Going beyond mean modeling, it considers volatility modeling (double GLMs) and the general modeling of location, scale and shape parameters (GAMLSS). Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and case studies, providing numerical illustrations using the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. This is the first of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance. Although closely related to the other two volumes, this volume can be read independently.