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Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries?

Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries? PDF Author: Emilio J. Medina-Smith
Publisher: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

Book Description
The export-led growth hypothesis (ELGH) postulates that export growth is one of the determinants of economic growth. This study tests the hypothesis by examining the economy of Costa Rica, using data going back to 1950. It found that although exports had a positive effect on growth, their impact was relatively. It thus challenges some of the empirical literature on ELGH and expresses doubts about using exports as a comprehensive development strategy.

Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries?

Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries? PDF Author: Emilio J. Medina-Smith
Publisher: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

Book Description
The export-led growth hypothesis (ELGH) postulates that export growth is one of the determinants of economic growth. This study tests the hypothesis by examining the economy of Costa Rica, using data going back to 1950. It found that although exports had a positive effect on growth, their impact was relatively. It thus challenges some of the empirical literature on ELGH and expresses doubts about using exports as a comprehensive development strategy.

Long-Run Economic Growth

Long-Run Economic Growth PDF Author: Steven Durlauf
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642612113
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 204

Book Description
One of the most enduring questions in economics involves how a nation could accelerate the pace of its economic development. One of the most enduring answers to this question is to promote exports -either because doing so directly influences development via encouraging production of goods for export, or because export promotion permits accumulation of foreign exchange which permits importation of high-quality goods and services, which can in turn be used to expand the nation's production possibilities. In either case, growth is said to be export-led; the latter case is the so-called "two-gap" hypothesis (McKinnon, 1964; Findlay, 1973). The early work on export-led growth consisted of static cross-country com parisons (Michaely, 1977; Balassa, 1978; Tyler, 1981; Kormendi and Meguire, 1985). These studies generally concluded that there is strong evidence in favour of export-led growth because export growth and income growth are highly correlated. However, Kravis pointed out in 1970 that the question is an essen tially dynamic one: as he put it, are exports the handmaiden or the engine of growth? To make this determination one needs to look at time series to see whether or not exports are driving income. This approach has been taken in a number of papers (Jung and Marshall, 1985; Chow, 1987; Serletis, 1992; Kunst and Marin, 1989; Marin, 1992; Afxentiou and Serletis, 1991), designed to assess whether or not individual countries exhibit statistically significant evidence of export-led growth using Granger causality tests.

On Exports and Economic Growth

On Exports and Economic Growth PDF Author: Gershon Feder
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 9780686397656
Category : Commerce
Languages : en
Pages : 24

Book Description


Does What You Export Matter?

Does What You Export Matter? PDF Author: Daniel Lederman
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821384910
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 153

Book Description
Does what economies export matter for development? If so, can industrial policies improve on the export basket generated by the market? This book approaches these questions from a variety of conceptual and policy viewpoints. Reviewing the theoretical arguments in favor of industrial policies, the authors first ask whether existing indicators allow policy makers to identify growth-promoting sectors with confidence. To this end, they assess, and ultimately cast doubt upon, the reliability of many popular indicators advocated by proponents of industrial policy. Second, and central to their critique, the authors document extraordinary differences in the performance of countries exporting seemingly identical products, be they natural resources or 'high-tech' goods. Further, they argue that globalization has so fragmented the production process that even talking about exported goods as opposed to tasks may be misleading. Reviewing evidence from history and from around the world, the authors conclude that policy makers should focus less on what is produced, and more on how it is produced. They analyze alternative approaches to picking winners but conclude by favoring 'horizontal-ish' policies--for instance, those that build human capital or foment innovation in existing and future products—that only incidentally favor some sectors over others.

Global Economic Prospects, June 2021

Global Economic Prospects, June 2021 PDF Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464816662
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 339

Book Description
The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.

Economic Growth: Theory and Practice

Economic Growth: Theory and Practice PDF Author: Gökhan Karhan
Publisher: Eğitim Yayınevi
ISBN: 6057557506
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 129

Book Description
Although the subject of economic growth is tried to be expressed mathematically, the contribution of growth to social and cultural life is indisputable. Since economic growth has become the focal point of countries, many studies have been carried out on this issue. In this sense, we are pleased to bring this book which we believe will contribute to the literature to our esteemed readers. Hope to be useful...

India

India PDF Author: Vijay Joshi
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 9780821326527
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 420

Book Description
Presents a history of India's macroeconomy and recent developments in its political economy. Valuable lessons from India's stabilization policies explain how structural adjustment can also benefit long-term growth in the subcontinent. This analysis looks at various government policies that have influenced imports and exports, national investment and savings, gross national and domestic product, and the balance of payments. It specifically examines the degree to which stabilization has reformed agriculture and industry and has improved the relationship between the public and private sectors. A brief introduction to the Indian economy is given, and India's basic economic controls are reviewed. These include the government's national budget and its regulation of prices, production, investment, interest rates, and credit allocation. Also discussed are recent trends in investment and public spending.

Anatomy and Consequences of Exchange Control Regimes

Anatomy and Consequences of Exchange Control Regimes PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Growth Theories in Light of the East Asian Experience

Growth Theories in Light of the East Asian Experience PDF Author: Takatoshi Ito
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226386988
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 324

Book Description
The contributors to this volume analyze the growth experiences of Japan, Korea, China, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan in light of the recently developed endogenous growth theory to provide an understanding of the economic boom in East Asia. The theory explored in this volume attributes the phenomenal economic success of these countries to, among other factors, the role of an outward orientation—a focus on exporting rather than on protecting home markets. In addition, the importance of exchange rate behavior, of the supportive role of government policy, and of the accumulation and promotion of physical and human capital are explored in detail. This collection also examines the extent to which growth in each country became self-sustaining once it began. Demonstrating the relevance of endogenous growth theory for studying this important region, this fourth volume in the NBER-East Asia Seminar on Economics series will be of interest to observers of East Asian affairs.

World Development Report 2020

World Development Report 2020 PDF Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464814953
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 545

Book Description
Global value chains (GVCs) powered the surge of international trade after 1990 and now account for almost half of all trade. This shift enabled an unprecedented economic convergence: poor countries grew rapidly and began to catch up with richer countries. Since the 2008 global financial crisis, however, the growth of trade has been sluggish and the expansion of GVCs has stalled. Meanwhile, serious threats have emerged to the model of trade-led growth. New technologies could draw production closer to the consumer and reduce the demand for labor. And trade conflicts among large countries could lead to a retrenchment or a segmentation of GVCs. World Development Report 2020: Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains examines whether there is still a path to development through GVCs and trade. It concludes that technological change is, at this stage, more a boon than a curse. GVCs can continue to boost growth, create better jobs, and reduce poverty provided that developing countries implement deeper reforms to promote GVC participation; industrial countries pursue open, predictable policies; and all countries revive multilateral cooperation.